Value
7.4/10data confidence 83%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 8.2 |
| P/S | 5.7 |
| Fwd P/E | 4.3 |
| PEG | 10.0 |
| Analyst target | 9.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 28.5x
- ▸PEG: 0.13
- ▸Attractively valued
AMSC · Why this verdict
Why American Superconductor Corpora (AMSC) is rated HOLD
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictHOLD
Overall score6.4/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroRISK_OFF
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
5.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 10.0 |
| ROA | 1.4 |
| Gross margin | 2.2 |
| Op margin | 2.0 |
| Net margin | 10.0 |
| Current ratio | 8.2 |
| FCF quality | 0.4 |
| Moat | 6.8 |
| Piotroski F | 8.9 |
- ▸Excellent ROE: 36%
- ▸Strong margins: 45%
- ▸Earnings quality RED FLAG: 5% FCF/NI
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
Growth
9.9/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 9.9 |
| EPS growth | 10.0 |
- ▸Strong growth: 30% YoY
Momentum
3.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 8.1 |
| MACD | 0.0 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 4.0 |
| Volume | 4.3 |
- ▸Uptrend pullback (RSI 34) - buy opportunity
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Above 200-day MA
Sentiment
7.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 6.8 |
| Price target | 9.5 |
| erm sentiment | 5.0 |
- ▸Light analyst coverage (3.0) — signal dampened
- ▸Analyst upside: 51%
Insider
3.4/10data confidence 75%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 3.0 |
| insider conviction | 2.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸Notable insider selling — $6,175,188 (0.306% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
6.8/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 5.0 |
| quality rank | 9.5 |
| growth rank | 8.9 |
- ▸Attractive P/E vs peers
- ▸Superior ROE vs peers
Technical
6.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 9.5 |
| support resistance | 8.7 |
| 52w position | 2.3 |
| gap | 5.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
4.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 5.9 |
| days to cover | 8.3 |
| volatility | 0.0 |
| put call | 6.8 |
| implied vol | 0.0 |
| beta | 0.0 |
| debt equity | 6.7 |
- ▸High IV: 111%
Catalyst
7.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 10.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 10.0 |
- ▸Perfect beat streak: 4Q
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Maintain position. Not compelling to add more.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_HOLDPassed (7)
- ASYMMETRY:1.9>=1.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:58d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
- MOMENTUM:3.5<4.5
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
1.88
Upside
+28.1%
Downside
15.0%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupUNKNOWN — No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — Beta 3.19>1.3, MCap $2.0B<$5B
Investment implication
None of the engine's positive-conviction paths (C-quality, D-momentum) triggered — the F-path HOLD reflects balanced signals. Strongest-cleared gate: ASYMMETRY:1.9>=1.5. Top dim: Growth at 9.9; weakest: Insider at 3.4. No conviction either direction.
The strongest dimensions are Growth at 9.9, Catalyst at 7.5, and Value at 7.4; the weakest are Insider at 3.4, Momentum at 3.5, and Risk (lower is worse) at 4.0. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 1.88 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.