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AMRXAmneal Pharmaceuticals, Inc.Hold5.2·$17.15+1.06%
HoldHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Amneal has delivered three consecutive earnings beats with an average positive surprise above 30%, but the stock sits within 0.2% of its resistance target with a risk/reward ratio of 0.03 — potential loss is roughly 34 times potential gain — making the setup a clear hold-only rather than an entry.

Thesis pillars

  • Distributor Concentration RiskStable
  • Earnings Beat DisciplineStable
  • Overbought At ResistanceStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Amneal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (AMRX) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $17.15, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: Cencora, McKesson, Cardinal Health, CVS Health (71.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Amneal Pharmaceuticals develops, manufactures and distributes generic medicines (Affordable Medicines segment), branded CNS and endocrine drugs (Specialty), and handles pharma distribution for government agencies and institutions (AvKARE), operating principally in the U.S.,... Read more

QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield1.85%
Stop $16.03Target $17.50(resistance)A.R:R -1.0:1
Analyst target$17.25+0.6%4 analysts
$17.50our TP
$17.15price
$17.25mean
$16
$19

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $17.15, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: Cencora, McKesson, Cardinal Health, CVS Health (71.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.2/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 32d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Amneal Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

About Amneal Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

Amneal Pharmaceuticals markets five commercially available biosimilars in the U.S. — ALYMSYS, Releuko, Flynetra, Boncresa, and Oziltus (the latter two receiving FDA approval in December 2025) — alongside branded Parkinson's drugs CREXONT (launched September 2024) and RYTARY, plus the thyroid treatment UNITHROID. The company operates three segments across the U.S., India, and Ireland, with four wholesaler customers — Cencora, McKesson, Cardinal Health, and CVS Health — collectively representing approximately 71% of net revenue in 2025.

Amneal earns generic-segment revenue through ANDAs sold via major wholesalers and GPOs, with first-to-file exclusivity periods providing the highest-margin windows before competition erodes pricing. As of December 2025, the company had 61 pending ANDAs and 43 products in development, 95% being non-oral solids. Specialty products are promoted to neurologists and endocrinologists through a dedicated field-based sales force, with product value concentrated in the exclusivity window — in 2025, RYTARY lost exclusivity, with multiple generic versions anticipated in subsequent periods. The AvKARE segment distributes pharmaceuticals primarily to the U.S. Department of Defense and U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs. Competitors in U.S. generics and biosimilars include Teva Pharmaceutical Industries, Viatris, Sandoz Group, and Hikma Pharmaceuticals.

Show full overview

In August 2025, the FDA issued a Warning Letter to Amneal's manufacturing facility in Gujarat, India, following an inspection classified as Official Action Indicated. Because FDA manufacturing approval is site-specific, the Gujarat corrective-action outcome may affect supply for products manufactured at that facility. The company's growing injectables platform — including the May 2025 collaboration with ApiJect Systems for blow-fill-seal equipment at Brookhaven, New York, and December 2025 approvals from its Ireland facility — diversifies the manufacturing base, but the Warning Letter remained unresolved as of the 10-K filing date.

See also: Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

From Amneal Pharmaceuticals, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202632d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.58)
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: Cencora, McKesson, Cardinal Health, CVS Health (71.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.0% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)46.4
P/E (Fwd)15.3
Mkt Cap$5.5B
EV/EBITDA12.1
Profit Mgn4.0%
ROE
Rev Growth3.9%
Beta1.26
DividendNone
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C2.00bearish
IV105%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerCencora, McKesson, Cardinal Health, CVS Health71%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our four largest customers, Cencora, Inc., McKesson Drug Co., Cardinal Health, Inc. and CVS Health Corporation, accounted for approximately 71%...of total net sales'
  • MEDIUMProducttop-5 significant product families25%
    10-K Item 1A: 'our significant product families...accounted for 25% of our consolidated net revenue'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.5
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
4.3
Growth Rank
4.4
Quality Rank
5.1
GatesA.R:R -1.0=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.3>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 32d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
68 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $13.00Resistance $17.86

Price Targets

$16
$18
A.Upside+2.0%
A.R:R-1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-14.5% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (32d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AMRX stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $17.15, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: Cencora, McKesson, Cardinal Health, CVS Health (71.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $17.50 (+2.0%), stop $16.03 (−7.0%), A.R:R -1.0:1. Score 5.2/10, high confidence.

What is the AMRX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $17.50 (+2.0% upside). Target $17.50 (+2.0%), stop $16.03 (−7.0%), A.R:R -1.0:1. Stop-loss: $16.03.

What are the risks of investing in AMRX?

Concentration risk — Customer: Cencora, McKesson, Cardinal Health, CVS Health (71.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.0% away).

Is AMRX overvalued or undervalued?

Amneal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. trades at a P/E of 46.4 (forward 15.3). TrendMatrix value score: 6.4/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about AMRX?

11 analysts cover AMRX with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $17.

What does Amneal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. do?Amneal Pharmaceuticals develops, manufactures and distributes generic medicines (Affordable Medicines segment), branded...

Amneal Pharmaceuticals develops, manufactures and distributes generic medicines (Affordable Medicines segment), branded CNS and endocrine drugs (Specialty), and handles pharma distribution for government agencies and institutions (AvKARE), operating principally in the U.S., India, and Ireland. The four largest customers — Cencora, McKesson, Cardinal Health, and CVS — account for approximately 71% of consolidated net revenue.

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