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AMPXAmprius Technologies, Inc.Sell4.7·$12.50-8.01%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Revenue has grown approximately 153% year-over-year—among the highest growth rates in the sector—but the business is cash-burning at approximately 39% of revenue, lacks a competitive moat, broke a three-quarter earnings beat streak with a significant miss, and carries weak price momentum; the growth optionality is real but currently outweighed by fundamental fragility and quality well below the 4.0 minimum threshold.

Thesis pillars

  • Recent Earnings Miss Breaks StreakStable
  • Severe Quality Deficit Cash BurnStable
  • Exceptional Revenue Growth TrajectoryStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Amprius Technologies, Inc. (AMPX) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Electrical Equipment & Parts

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $12.50: Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10 and A.R:R 3.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 16%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Our disruptive silicon anode technology is intended to enable batteries with high energy density, high power density and fast charging capabilities over a wide range of operating temperatures. This results in our batteries providing superior performance compared to conventional... Read more

$12.50+55.5% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#19 of 24 Electrical Equipment & Parts
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-2.01%
Stop $11.51Target $19.25(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.7:1
Analyst target$22.13+77.0%8 analysts
$19.25our TP
$12.50price
$22.13mean
$25

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $12.50: Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10 and A.R:R 3.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 16%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, news events none recent, earnings proximity 33d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and SEC filing concern. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06

Recent Developments — Amprius Technologies, Inc.

Generated 2026-07-06T06:30:27Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202633d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)218.5
Mkt Cap$1.8B
EV/EBITDA-100.1
Profit Mgn-44.0%
ROE-44.2%
Rev Growth152.9%
Beta2.26
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.37bullish
IV111%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-21Item 4.01HIGH
    Changes in Registrant's Certifying Accountant On April 17, 2026, the Audit Committee (the "Audit Committee") of the board of directors of Amprius Technologies, Inc.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Unprofitable operations — net margin -44.0%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Moat
4.2
Piotroski F
4.4
Current Ratio
5.9
Cash-burning: FCF -39% of revenueNo competitive moatQuality concerns

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Volume
4.1
Capitulation risk (RSI 28, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+11.0%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.6
Value Rank
1.3
Growth Rank
8.7
Industry growth leader
GatesMomentum 2.1<4.5SEC critical: INSIDER 0.29%=MODERATEA.R:R 3.7 ≥ 1.5NEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 33d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
28 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $11.76Resistance $22.94

Price Targets

$12
$19
A.Upside+54.0%
A.R:R3.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0)
! momentum at 2.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Critical SEC filing

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (33d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AMPX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $12.50: Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10 and A.R:R 3.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 16%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $11.51. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AMPX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $19.25 (+55.5% upside). Prior stop was $11.51. Stop-loss: $11.51.

What are the risks of investing in AMPX?

Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0).

Is AMPX overvalued or undervalued?

Amprius Technologies, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 218.5). TrendMatrix value score: 4.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AMPX?

15 analysts cover AMPX with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $22.

What does Amprius Technologies, Inc. do?Our disruptive silicon anode technology is intended to enable batteries with high energy density, high power density...

Our disruptive silicon anode technology is intended to enable batteries with high energy density, high power density and fast charging capabilities over a wide range of operating temperatures. This results in our batteries providing superior performance compared to conventional graphite lithium-ion batteries. Our silicon anodes are a direct drop-in replacement of the graphite anode in traditional lithium-ion batteries, and our manufacturing processes leverage the manufacturing processes

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