Revenue has grown approximately 153% year-over-year—among the highest growth rates in the sector—but the business is cash-burning at approximately 39% of revenue, lacks a competitive moat, broke a three-quarter earnings beat streak with a significant miss, and carries weak price momentum; the growth optionality is real but currently outweighed by fundamental fragility and quality well below the 4.0 minimum threshold.
Thesis pillars
- Recent Earnings Miss Breaks Streak↓Deteriorating
- Severe Quality Deficit Cash Burn→Stable
- Exceptional Revenue Growth Trajectory→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Amprius Technologies, Inc. (AMPX) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Industrials · Electrical Equipment & Parts
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $12.48: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 4.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 17%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation.
Our disruptive silicon anode technology is intended to enable batteries with high energy density, high power density and fast charging capabilities over a wide range of operating temperatures. This results in our batteries providing superior performance compared to conventional... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $12.48: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 4.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 17%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 70. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 83d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: speculative.
Recent developments
updated 2026-08-15Recent Developments — Amprius Technologies, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS UPDATE: Amprius Technologies FY2026 GAAP EPS expected to be below $(0.08) vs $(0.07) Est; FY2026 Revenue expected to b — benzinga Aug 4, 2026 negative
- NEWS Amprius Technologies FY2026 Revenue expected to be more than $140.000M vs $132.099M Est — benzinga Aug 4, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Amprius Technologies Q2 Adj. EPS $(0.02), Inline, Sales $34.032M Beat $29.300M Estimate — benzinga Aug 4, 2026 positive
- NEWS 10 Industrials Stocks With Whale Alerts In Today’s Session — benzinga Jul 31, 2026 neutral
- NEWS 9 Industrials Stocks With Whale Alerts In Today’s Session — benzinga Jul 17, 2026 neutral
Generated 2026-08-15T11:27:12Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Show full disclosure ▾Hide full disclosure ▴
About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.
Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.
Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.
No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.
No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.
Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.
Rating Breakdown
4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Unprofitable operations — net margin -33.4%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $12.48: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 4.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 17%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 70. Prior stop was $11.63. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $20.01 (+60.0% upside). Prior stop was $11.63. Stop-loss: $11.63.
Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (3/5): Margin compression (op margin 1.8%), Material insider selling (24 sells, 0.51% of cap), Negative free cash flow.
Amprius Technologies, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 117.1). TrendMatrix value score: 3.6/10. Verdict: Sell.
17 analysts cover AMPX with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $23.
What does Amprius Technologies, Inc. do?Our disruptive silicon anode technology is intended to enable batteries with high energy density, high power density...
Our disruptive silicon anode technology is intended to enable batteries with high energy density, high power density and fast charging capabilities over a wide range of operating temperatures. This results in our batteries providing superior performance compared to conventional graphite lithium-ion batteries. Our silicon anodes are a direct drop-in replacement of the graphite anode in traditional lithium-ion batteries, and our manufacturing processes leverage the manufacturing processes