Revenue has grown approximately 153% year-over-year—among the highest growth rates in the sector—but the business is cash-burning at approximately 39% of revenue, lacks a competitive moat, broke a three-quarter earnings beat streak with a significant miss, and carries weak price momentum; the growth optionality is real but currently outweighed by fundamental fragility and quality well below the 4.0 minimum threshold.
Thesis pillars
- Recent Earnings Miss Breaks Streak→Stable
- Severe Quality Deficit Cash Burn→Stable
- Exceptional Revenue Growth Trajectory→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Amprius Technologies, Inc. (AMPX) Stock Analysis
Falling Knife setup
Industrials · Electrical Equipment & Parts
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.63: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 9.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.
Our disruptive silicon anode technology is intended to enable batteries with high energy density, high power density and fast charging capabilities over a wide range of operating temperatures. This results in our batteries providing superior performance compared to conventional... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.63: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 9.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 20, MACD bearish. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 62d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.
Recent developments
updated 2026-09-04Recent Developments — Amprius Technologies, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS UPDATE: Amprius Technologies FY2026 GAAP EPS expected to be below $(0.08) vs $(0.07) Est; FY2026 Revenue expected to b — benzinga Aug 4, 2026 negative
- NEWS Amprius Technologies FY2026 Revenue expected to be more than $140.000M vs $132.099M Est — benzinga Aug 4, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Amprius Technologies Q2 Adj. EPS $(0.02), Inline, Sales $34.032M Beat $29.300M Estimate — benzinga Aug 4, 2026 positive
- NEWS 10 Industrials Stocks With Whale Alerts In Today’s Session — benzinga Jul 31, 2026 neutral
- NEWS 9 Industrials Stocks With Whale Alerts In Today’s Session — benzinga Jul 17, 2026 neutral
Generated 2026-09-04T13:27:37Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Unprofitable operations — net margin -33.4%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.63: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 9.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 20, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $9.09. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $20.01 (+107.8% upside). Prior stop was $9.09. Stop-loss: $9.09.
Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 2.6%), Material insider selling (9 sells, 0.11% of cap).
Amprius Technologies, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 96.3). TrendMatrix value score: 4.3/10. Verdict: Sell.
17 analysts cover AMPX with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $23.
What does Amprius Technologies, Inc. do?Our disruptive silicon anode technology is intended to enable batteries with high energy density, high power density...
Our disruptive silicon anode technology is intended to enable batteries with high energy density, high power density and fast charging capabilities over a wide range of operating temperatures. This results in our batteries providing superior performance compared to conventional graphite lithium-ion batteries. Our silicon anodes are a direct drop-in replacement of the graphite anode in traditional lithium-ion batteries, and our manufacturing processes leverage the manufacturing processes