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Forgent Power Solutions, Inc. (FPS) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Electrical Equipment & Parts

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $36.62: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 18%; Below-average business quality.

Forgent Power Solutions, Inc designs and manufactures electrical distribution equipment used in data centers, the power grid and energy-intensive industrial facilities. The company's products include automatic transfer switches (ATS), gear eHouses, generator connection cabinets,... Read more

$36.62+4.2% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#6 of 18 Electrical Equipment & Parts
Stop $33.76Target $37.84(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.3:1
Analyst target$43.50+18.8%10 analysts
$37.84our TP
$36.62price
$43.50mean
$49

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $36.62: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 18%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)35.5
Mkt Cap$11.5B
EV/EBITDA64.3
Profit Mgn1.5%
ROE
Rev Growth69.0%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.27bullish
IV89%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Net Margin
0.7
Operating Margin
2.7
Gross Margin
2.9
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
5.0
Current Ratio
6.0
No competitive moat
GatesA.R:R 0.3 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
81 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MASupport $27.27Resistance $38.60

Price Targets

$34
$38
A.Upside+3.3%
A.R:R0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0)
! Reward/Risk 0.3:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for FPS.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FPS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $36.62: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 18%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $33.76. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FPS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $37.84 (+4.2% upside). Prior stop was $33.76. Stop-loss: $33.76.

What are the risks of investing in FPS?

Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0).

Is FPS overvalued or undervalued?

Forgent Power Solutions, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 35.5). TrendMatrix value score: 4.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about FPS?

14 analysts cover FPS with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $44.

What does Forgent Power Solutions, Inc. do?Forgent Power Solutions, Inc designs and manufactures electrical distribution equipment used in data centers, the power...

Forgent Power Solutions, Inc designs and manufactures electrical distribution equipment used in data centers, the power grid and energy-intensive industrial facilities. The company's products include automatic transfer switches (ATS), gear eHouses, generator connection cabinets, low voltage switchgear, low voltage transformers, medium voltage switchgear, medium voltage VPI transformers, padmount transformers, panelboards, paralleling switchgear, PDU transformers, power distribution units, power skids, remote power panels, substation transformers, switchboards, tap boxes, and UPS eHouses. It also provides maintenance, testing, repair, modernization, start-up and commissioning and aftermarket retrofit services. It serves technology, power, utility and industrial companies. The company was founded in 2023 and is based in Dayton, Minnesota.

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