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FPSForgent Power Solutions, Inc.Sell5.2·$59.35-1.92%
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Forgent Power Solutions, Inc. (FPS) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Electrical Equipment & Parts

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $59.35 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5.

Forgent Power Solutions, Inc. designs and manufactures electrical distribution equipment used in data centers, the power grid and energy-intensive industrial facilities. The company's products include automatic transfer switches (ATS), gear eHouses, generator connection... Read more

$59.35+8.2% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#9 of 18 Electrical Equipment & Parts
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
Stop $55.21Target $64.25(resistance)A.R:R -1.0:1
Analyst target$58.30-1.8%10 analysts
$64.25our TP
$59.35price
$58.30mean
$51
$68

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $59.35 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5
Expensive valuation

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)3025.5
P/E (Fwd)49.9
Mkt Cap$18.4B
EV/EBITDA94.4
Profit Mgn2.2%
ROE
Rev Growth103.4%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.89neutral
IV89%elevated
Max Pain$85+43.2% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ps
0.0
Forward Pe
2.3
Analyst Target
3.0
Peg Ratio
8.9
Forward P/E: 49.9xPEG: 0.68Expensive valuation

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
1.7
Quality Rank
2.7
Growth Rank
7.2
GatesMomentum 4.2<4.5A.R:R -1.0=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
66 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MASupport $41.76Resistance $65.56

Price Targets

$55
$64
A.Upside+8.3%
A.R:R-1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-14.6% upside)
! momentum at 4.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for FPS.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FPS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $59.35 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $55.21. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FPS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $64.25 (+8.2% upside). Prior stop was $55.21. Stop-loss: $55.21.

What are the risks of investing in FPS?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5; Expensive valuation.

Is FPS overvalued or undervalued?

Forgent Power Solutions, Inc. trades at a P/E of 3025.5 (forward 49.9). TrendMatrix value score: 2.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about FPS?

14 analysts cover FPS with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $58.

What does Forgent Power Solutions, Inc. do?Forgent Power Solutions, Inc. designs and manufactures electrical distribution equipment used in data centers, the...

Forgent Power Solutions, Inc. designs and manufactures electrical distribution equipment used in data centers, the power grid and energy-intensive industrial facilities. The company's products include automatic transfer switches (ATS), gear eHouses, generator connection cabinets, low voltage switchgear, low voltage transformers, medium voltage switchgear, medium voltage VPI transformers, padmount transformers, panelboards, paralleling switchgear, PDU transformers, power distribution units, power skids, remote power panels, substation transformers, switchboards, tap boxes, and UPS eHouses. It also provides maintenance, testing, repair, modernization, start-up and commissioning and aftermarket retrofit services. It serves technology, power, utility and industrial companies. The company was founded in 2023 and is based in Dayton, Minnesota.

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