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Forgent Power Solutions, Inc. (FPS) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldHigh Confidence

Industrials · Electrical Equipment & Parts

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $42.71, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Forgent Power Solutions, Inc. designs and manufactures electrical distribution equipment used in data centers, the power grid and energy-intensive industrial facilities. The company's products include automatic transfer switches (ATS), gear eHouses, generator connection... Read more

$42.71+14.3% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#5 of 18 Electrical Equipment & Parts
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
Stop $39.65Target $48.72(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.9:1
Analyst target$56.00+31.1%10 analysts
$48.72our TP
$42.71price
$56.00mean
$63

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $42.71, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: RSI 60 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.6/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.40, news boost analyst cluster(4), earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Forgent Power Solutions, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Positive news sentiment (+0.57)
Strong growth profile
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)2129.5
P/E (Fwd)36.1
Mkt Cap$13.0B
EV/EBITDA67.8
Profit Mgn2.2%
ROE
Rev Growth103.4%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C1.70bearish
IV83%elevated
Max Pain$20-53.2% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
2.9
Rsi
4.5
Ma Position
7.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
2.7
Value Rank
2.8
Growth Rank
7.2
GatesMomentum 3.2<4.5A.R:R 0.9 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.40NEWS BOOST ANALYST CLUSTER(4)EARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
60 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MASupport $34.02Resistance $51.00

Price Targets

$40
$49
A.Upside+14.1%
A.R:R0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=+1: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! Momentum score 3.2/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.9:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for FPS.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FPS stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $42.71, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: RSI 60 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $48.72 (+14.1%), stop $39.65 (−7.7%), A.R:R 0.9:1. Score 5.6/10, high confidence.

What is the FPS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $48.72 (+14.3% upside). Target $48.72 (+14.1%), stop $39.65 (−7.7%), A.R:R 0.9:1. Stop-loss: $39.65.

What are the risks of investing in FPS?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5.

Is FPS overvalued or undervalued?

Forgent Power Solutions, Inc. trades at a P/E of 2129.5 (forward 36.1). TrendMatrix value score: 4.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about FPS?

14 analysts cover FPS with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $56.

What does Forgent Power Solutions, Inc. do?Forgent Power Solutions, Inc. designs and manufactures electrical distribution equipment used in data centers, the...

Forgent Power Solutions, Inc. designs and manufactures electrical distribution equipment used in data centers, the power grid and energy-intensive industrial facilities. The company's products include automatic transfer switches (ATS), gear eHouses, generator connection cabinets, low voltage switchgear, low voltage transformers, medium voltage switchgear, medium voltage VPI transformers, padmount transformers, panelboards, paralleling switchgear, PDU transformers, power distribution units, power skids, remote power panels, substation transformers, switchboards, tap boxes, and UPS eHouses. It also provides maintenance, testing, repair, modernization, start-up and commissioning and aftermarket retrofit services. It serves technology, power, utility and industrial companies. The company was founded in 2023 and is based in Dayton, Minnesota.

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