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SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

EnerSys has delivered four consecutive earnings beats and converts 136% of net income into free cash flow, but with only 3.5% headroom to the $239.41 resistance target and an unfavorable risk/reward of 0.5-to-1, recent serious governance-related SEC filings add uncertainty at a price that offers little margin for disappointment.

Thesis pillars

  • Perfect Earnings Beat Streak↓Deteriorating
  • Strong Free Cash Flow Conversion→Stable
  • Target Reached Limits Reward↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed May 20, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

EnerSys (ENS) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Electrical Equipment & Parts

Earnings in 7 days (2026-11-11). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $167.96 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Earnings in 7 days (event risk).

EnerSys manufactures and distributes industrial energy storage solutions across four segments—Energy Systems (telecom/data center/UPS), Motive Power (forklifts), Specialty (aerospace/defense), and New Ventures (EV fast-charging)—serving over 10,000 customers in 100+ countries.... Read more

$167.96+26.3% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#10 of 27 Electrical Equipment & Parts
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield10.15%
IncomeYield0.68%(5y avg 0.81%)Payout11.24%sustainable
Stop $156.20Analyst target $212.06(−15% haircut)A.R:R 3.3:1
Analyst consensus$249.48+48.5%4 analysts with price targets
$212.06Analyst target
$167.96price
$249.48mean
$280

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $167.96 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Earnings in 7 days (event risk). Chart setup: RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and 8k serious 2.05,2.06 and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About EnerSys

About EnerSys

EnerSys operates four industrial energy storage segments: Energy Systems (telecom, broadband, data center, utility UPS), Motive Power (electric forklifts, AGVs, material handling), Specialty (aerospace, defense, premium transportation), and New Ventures (demand-charge reduction, EV fast-charging). At March 31, 2026, the company employed approximately 9,682 workers, with 31% covered by collective bargaining agreements. Between fiscal years 2003 and 2026, EnerSys completed 37 acquisitions, most recently the $206.4 million purchase of Bren-Tronics Defense LLC in July 2024, adding portable military power solutions.

EnerSys distributes products to over 10,000 customers in more than 100 countries through company-owned service facilities and independent manufacturers' representatives, with no single customer exceeding 10% of revenues. Revenue comes from hardware sales, system integration, and aftermarket service across a highly diverse customer base spanning forklift OEMs, telecom carriers, data center operators, aerospace primes, and commercial fleet operators. Lead is the primary raw material, purchased from multiple global suppliers with periodic hedging arrangements; raw material costs account for over half of the cost of goods sold and fluctuate with commodity markets. A multi-year ERP implementation has experienced production and shipping delays in prior iterations, with ongoing integration investment. Competitors across the segments include East Penn Manufacturing, Exide Technologies (Stryten), Hoppecke, SAFT, and EaglePicher in Specialty aerospace.

Show full overview

EnerSys is positioning its advanced manufacturing strategy around a proposed gigafactory in Greenville, South Carolina, developed with partner Verkor SAS and backed by a $199 million DOE award, but disbursement of that award has been paused following executive orders issued January 20, 2025 requiring review of IRA-appropriated funds. In March 2026, the company disclosed via Form 8-K a plan to close its Tijuana, Mexico lead-acid battery facility, recognizing a pre-tax restructuring charge of approximately $37 million, with completion targeted by the second half of fiscal 2027—reflecting active portfolio rebalancing from legacy lead-acid toward advanced lithium manufacturing.

See also: Industrials · Electrical Equipment & Parts

From EnerSys's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Oct 28, 2026

Recent Developments — EnerSys

Latest item Oct 28, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-04T11:44:35Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 11, 20267d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Margin of safety: 32%
Risks
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Earnings in 7 days (event risk)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.1
P/E (Fwd)11.7
Mkt Cap$6.1B
EV/EBITDA10.7
Profit Mgn9.3%
ROE18.4%
Rev Growth4.8%
Beta1.20
Dividend0.68%
Analysts with ratings10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C1.50bearish
IV65%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCommoditylead
    10-K Item 1A: 'Lead is our most significant raw material ... We estimate that raw material costs account for over half of our cost of goods sold'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-28Item 5.02LOW
    EnerSys announced a Segment Realignment on May 28, 2026, resulting in officer title changes: Keith D. Fisher to President, Network & Infrastructure Solutions; Chad C. Uplinger to President, Industrial Mobility Solutions; Mark E. Matthews to CTO and President, Precision Power Solutions. No departures or external hires cited.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-25Item 2.05MEDIUM
    EnerSys announced plan to close Tijuana, Mexico lead-acid battery manufacturing facility. Expected pre-tax charge of approximately $37 million; majority to be incurred by second half of fiscal 2027. Reason: optimize cost structure and mitigate tariff risks.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-25Item 2.06MEDIUM
    EnerSys disclosed material impairment from Tijuana, Mexico facility closure: pre-tax charge of approximately $37 million ($14 million non-cash equipment write-offs; $23 million cash charges for severance, environmental costs, decommissioning). Completion targeted by second half of fiscal 2027.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Volume
3.8
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+2.0%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 2.3<4.58K SERIOUS 2.05,2.06EARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dA.R:R 3.3 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
45 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $158.34Resistance $188.00

Price Targets

$156
$212
A.Upside+26.3%
A.R:R3.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! 8K_SERIOUS:2.05,2.06
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:7d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-11 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ENS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $167.96 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Earnings in 7 days (event risk). Chart setup: RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $156.20. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ENS stock price target?

Analyst target: $212.06 (+26.3% upside). Prior stop was $156.20. Stop-loss: $156.20.

What are the risks of investing in ENS?

Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Earnings in 7 days (event risk); Negative momentum.

Is ENS overvalued or undervalued?

EnerSys trades at a P/E of 17.1 (forward 11.7). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ENS?

10 analysts rate ENS, with a consensus score of 4.1/5. 4 analysts publish price targets averaging $249.

What does EnerSys do?EnerSys manufactures and distributes industrial energy storage solutions across four segments—Energy Systems...

EnerSys manufactures and distributes industrial energy storage solutions across four segments—Energy Systems (telecom/data center/UPS), Motive Power (forklifts), Specialty (aerospace/defense), and New Ventures (EV fast-charging)—serving over 10,000 customers in 100+ countries. Revenue comes from hardware sales and aftermarket services; no single customer exceeds 10% of revenues. At March 31, 2026, EnerSys had approximately 9,682 employees, with 31% covered by collective bargaining agreements.

Related stocks: NVT (nVent Electric plc) · ACCV (Accelevation Holdings Corp.) · TE (T1 Energy Inc.) · FPS (Forgent Power Solutions, Inc.) · AEIS (Advanced Energy Industries, Inc)
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