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Acuity Inc. (AYI) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Industrials · Electrical Equipment & Parts

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $286.20, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Mexico (manufacturing) (55.0%); Thin upside margin: 7.2%.

Acuity operates two segments: ABL (lighting, controls, and electrical products for North America and select international markets) and AIS (intelligent building systems via Atrius, Distech Controls, and QSC). Products are sold through independent sales agencies, electrical... Read more

$286.20+7.2% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#4 of 18 Electrical Equipment & Parts
Stop $270.41Target $306.68(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.8:1
Analyst target$352.50+23.2%8 analysts
$306.68our TP
$286.20price
$352.50mean
$435

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $286.20, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Mexico (manufacturing) (55.0%); Thin upside margin: 7.2%. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 59. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 55d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Mexico (manufacturing) (55.0%)
Thin upside margin: 7.2%
Below 200-day MA

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)21.0
P/E (Fwd)13.4
Mkt Cap$8.7B
EV/EBITDA11.9
Profit Mgn9.4%
ROE16.0%
Rev Growth4.9%
Beta1.43
Dividend0.26%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C2.04bearish
IV44%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicMexico (manufacturing)55%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 55% of our finished products are manufactured in Mexico'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 0.8 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.4>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 55d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
59 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $259.32Resistance $301.51

Price Targets

$270
$307
A.Upside+7.2%
A.R:R0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Reward/Risk 0.8:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-06-25 (55d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AYI stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $286.20, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Mexico (manufacturing) (55.0%); Thin upside margin: 7.2%. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 59. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $306.68 (+7.2%), stop $270.41 (−5.8%), A.R:R 0.8:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AYI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $306.68 (+7.2% upside). Target $306.68 (+7.2%), stop $270.41 (−5.8%), A.R:R 0.8:1. Stop-loss: $270.41.

What are the risks of investing in AYI?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Mexico (manufacturing) (55.0%); Thin upside margin: 7.2%; Below 200-day MA.

Is AYI overvalued or undervalued?

Acuity Inc. trades at a P/E of 21.0 (forward 13.4). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about AYI?

13 analysts cover AYI with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $353.

What does Acuity Inc. do?Acuity operates two segments: ABL (lighting, controls, and electrical products for North America and select...

Acuity operates two segments: ABL (lighting, controls, and electrical products for North America and select international markets) and AIS (intelligent building systems via Atrius, Distech Controls, and QSC). Products are sold through independent sales agencies, electrical distributors, retailers, and directly to OEMs. Approximately 55% of finished goods are manufactured in seven Mexico facilities.

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