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Amprius Technologies, Inc. (AMPX) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Electrical Equipment & Parts

Earnings in 6 days (2026-05-06). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $21.20: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 17%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation.

Our disruptive silicon anode technology is intended to enable batteries with high energy density, high power density and fast charging capabilities over a wide range of operating temperatures. This results in our batteries providing superior performance compared to conventional... Read more

$21.20+5.5% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#13 of 18 Electrical Equipment & Parts
Stop $19.69Target $22.34(resistance)A.R:R -1.3:1
Analyst target$19.75-6.8%8 analysts
$22.34our TP
$21.20price
$19.75mean
$17
$22

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $21.20: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 17%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-18.8% upside)
Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 2.1), Negative free cash flow

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)196.8
Mkt Cap$2.8B
EV/EBITDA-138.5
Profit Mgn-60.3%
ROE-50.8%
Rev Growth137.4%
Beta2.22
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C1.22bearish
IV118%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-21Item 4.01HIGH
    Changes in Registrant's Certifying Accountant On April 17, 2026, the Audit Committee (the "Audit Committee") of the board of directors of Amprius Technologies, Inc.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-02-03Item 1.02MEDIUM
    Termination of a Material Definitive Agreement. On January 30, 2026, Amprius Technologies, Inc.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ps
0.0
Forward Pe
1.0
Analyst Target
3.0
Peg Ratio
5.0
Forward P/E: 196.8xPEG: 1.52Expensive valuation

Unprofitable operations — net margin -60.3%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Moat
5.0
Piotroski F
5.6
Current Ratio
5.9
Cash-burning: FCF -42% of revenueNo competitive moatQuality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.4
Value Rank
0.6
Growth Rank
9.4
Industry growth leader
GatesA.R:R -1.3=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dMomentum 6.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
65 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $14.80Resistance $22.80

Price Targets

$20
$22
A.Upside+5.4%
A.R:R-1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-18.8% upside)
! Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 2.1), Negative free cash flow

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-06 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AMPX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $21.20: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 17%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $19.69. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AMPX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $22.34 (+5.5% upside). Prior stop was $19.69. Stop-loss: $19.69.

What are the risks of investing in AMPX?

Target reached (-18.8% upside); Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 2.1), Negative free cash flow.

Is AMPX overvalued or undervalued?

Amprius Technologies, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 196.8). TrendMatrix value score: 1.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AMPX?

15 analysts cover AMPX with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $20.

What does Amprius Technologies, Inc. do?Our disruptive silicon anode technology is intended to enable batteries with high energy density, high power density...

Our disruptive silicon anode technology is intended to enable batteries with high energy density, high power density and fast charging capabilities over a wide range of operating temperatures. This results in our batteries providing superior performance compared to conventional graphite lithium-ion batteries. Our silicon anodes are a direct drop-in replacement of the graphite anode in traditional lithium-ion batteries, and our manufacturing processes leverage the manufacturing processes

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