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AMPXAmprius Technologies, Inc.Sell5.2·$8.47
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Amprius is growing revenue about 126% YoY from a small base and sits 123.8% below its $19.23 analyst target, but it burns cash at 33% of revenue, has a quality score of 2.0/10 and shows weak earnings reliability, making it a speculative recovery.

Thesis pillars

  • Hypergrowth Revenue Ramp→Stable
  • Cash Burning Low Quality→Stable
  • Large Analyst Target Upside→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Nov 1, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Mar 6, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Amprius Technologies, Inc. (AMPX) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Industrials · Electrical Equipment & Parts

Earnings in 5 days (2026-11-10). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.47: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 8.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 16%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Our disruptive silicon anode technology is intended to enable batteries with high energy density, high power density and fast charging capabilities over a wide range of operating temperatures. This results in our batteries providing superior performance compared to conventional... Read more

$8.47+127.0% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#20 of 27 Electrical Equipment & Parts
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield-2.90%
Stop $7.88Analyst target $19.23(−13% haircut)A.R:R 8.6:1
Analyst consensus$22.10+160.9%10 analysts with price targets
$19.23Analyst target
$8.47price
$22.10mean
$30

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.47: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 8.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 16%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 51. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

No fresh coverage since Oct 21, 2026

Recent Developments — Amprius Technologies, Inc.

Latest item Oct 21, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:54:11Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 10, 20265d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)84.7
Mkt Cap$1.2B
EV/EBITDA-79.5
Profit Mgn-33.4%
ROE-36.1%
Rev Growth125.9%
Beta2.38
DividendNone
Analysts with ratings19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.86neutral
IV110%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Unprofitable operations — net margin -33.4%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Gross Margin
0.5
Piotroski F
5.6
Current Ratio
5.8
Moat
5.8
Cash-burning: FCF -33% of revenueQuality concerns

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.0
Support Resistance
4.8
Bollinger
5.1

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2MEarnings in 5 days

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.5
Volume
2.5
Rsi
4.5
Macd
7.8
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope flat
GatesMomentum 3.5<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dA.R:R 8.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
51 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $7.26Resistance $9.57

Price Targets

$8
$19
A.Upside+127.0%
A.R:R8.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0)
! momentum at 3.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-10 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AMPX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.47: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 8.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 16%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 51. Prior stop was $7.88. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AMPX stock price target?

Analyst target: $19.23 (+127.0% upside). Prior stop was $7.88. Stop-loss: $7.88.

What are the risks of investing in AMPX?

Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0).

Is AMPX overvalued or undervalued?

Amprius Technologies, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 84.7). TrendMatrix value score: 4.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AMPX?

19 analysts rate AMPX, with a consensus score of 4.2/5. 10 analysts publish price targets averaging $22.

What does Amprius Technologies, Inc. do?Our disruptive silicon anode technology is intended to enable batteries with high energy density, high power density...

Our disruptive silicon anode technology is intended to enable batteries with high energy density, high power density and fast charging capabilities over a wide range of operating temperatures. This results in our batteries providing superior performance compared to conventional graphite lithium-ion batteries. Our silicon anodes are a direct drop-in replacement of the graphite anode in traditional lithium-ion batteries, and our manufacturing processes leverage the manufacturing processes

Related stocks: ACCV (Accelevation Holdings Corp.) · FPS (Forgent Power Solutions, Inc.) · HAYW (Hayward Holdings, Inc.) · AEIS (Advanced Energy Industries, Inc) · AYI (Acuity Inc.)
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