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AEISAdvanced Energy Industries, IncSell6.1·$211.56
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Advanced Energy is growing quickly (30% YoY) with a perfect four-quarter beat streak and 62.6% upside to the analyst target, but the shares are in a pullback (44% off high, RSI 28), with customer concentration and earnings due in 1 day.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Sequential Revenue Growth→Stable
  • Perfect Beat Streak→Stable
  • Customer And Supplier Concentration→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Nov 1, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 13, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Advanced Energy Industries, Inc (AEIS) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Electrical Equipment & Parts

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $211.56 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: top-3 customers; Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-source key parts.

Advanced Energy Industries designs and manufactures precision power conversion, measurement, and control products for Semiconductor Equipment, Data Center Computing, Industrial and Medical, and Telecom and Networking markets globally, operating as a single segment. The company... Read more

$211.56+59.6% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#5 of 27 Electrical Equipment & Parts
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-0.83%
IncomeYield0.19%(5y avg 0.28%)Payout5.73%sustainable
Stop $202.50Analyst target $337.70(−13% haircut)A.R:R 4.0:1
Analyst consensus$388.17+83.5%12 analysts with price targets
$337.70Analyst target
$211.56price
$388.17mean
$535

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $211.56 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: top-3 customers; Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-source key parts. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, earnings proximity 97d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: speculative.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Advanced Energy Industries, Inc

About Advanced Energy Industries, Inc

Advanced Energy Industries sells precision power conversion products across four end markets: Semiconductor Equipment, Data Center Computing, Industrial and Medical, and Telecom and Networking, operating as a single global segment with approximately 13,000 employees. R&D investment was $232.4 million in 2025, representing 12.2% to 14.3% of total revenue over the 2023–2025 period. Manufacturing is concentrated in the Philippines, Malaysia, and Mexico; the Zhongshan, China facility ceased operations in the second quarter of 2025 as part of a manufacturing consolidation plan.

Advanced Energy generates revenue from OEMs, distributors, and direct end users across its end markets. Three customers together accounted for 23%, 19%, and 12% of 2025 total revenue; the company does not hold long-term purchase commitments, instead selling primarily on purchase order or from just-in-time inventory bins at customer sites. The Semiconductor Equipment market—served by plasma power, high-voltage, and system power products for dry etch, deposition, and ion implant applications—competes against COMET Holding AG, MKS Instruments, Inc., and Daihen Corp. The Data Center Computing market, driven by AI infrastructure investment, carries lower gross margins than semiconductor equipment; as it grows as a proportion of total revenue, blended margins have been and may continue to be pressured. Customers regularly seek price reductions and extended payment terms, and Asia-based competitors may benefit from local governmental subsidies, limiting pricing power in commodity applications.

Show full overview

Advanced Energy's manufacturing is concentrated in a select few large facilities—Philippines, Malaysia, and Mexico—most held under operating leases. The 10-K discloses that some key parts may only be obtained from a sole supplier or a limited group of suppliers, and sole-sourced components create pricing and lead-time vulnerability. The company addresses this by qualifying alternate suppliers, maintaining critical component inventories, and using electronic bidding tools, but acknowledges that if supply shortages reoccur as experienced during the pandemic, revenues, earnings, and cash flow may be adversely impacted. A new factory in Thailand is under construction to extend the manufacturing footprint beyond the current concentration.

See also: Industrials · Electrical Equipment & Parts

From Advanced Energy Industries, Inc's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Oct 28, 2026

Recent Developments — Advanced Energy Industries, Inc

Latest item Oct 28, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:34:06Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Feb 10, 202797d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: top-3 customers
Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-source key parts
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)30.3
P/E (Fwd)11.8
Mkt Cap$8.6B
EV/EBITDA19.4
Profit Mgn12.7%
ROE20.0%
Rev Growth50.3%
Beta—
Dividend0.19%
Analysts with ratings20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.38bearish
IV75%elevated
Max Pain$155-26.7% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomertop-3 customers
    10-K Item 1: 'three customers accounted for 23%, 19%, and 12% of our total revenue, respectively'
  • HIGHSuppliersole-source key parts
    10-K Item 1: 'some key parts may only be obtained from a sole supplier or a limited group of suppliers'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-08Item 5.02LOW
    Shareholders approved amendment of the 2023 Omnibus Incentive Plan at the May 7, 2026 Annual Meeting, increasing authorized shares from 2,400,000 to 4,900,000 and extending the plan termination date from April 27, 2033 to May 7, 2036. Routine compensatory arrangement update.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.5
Volume
5.8
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+1.8%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 2.5<4.5Executive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 4.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKEARNINGS PROXIMITY 97d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
37 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $208.76Resistance $295.10

Price Targets

$203
$338
A.Upside+59.6%
A.R:R4.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-10 (97d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AEIS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $211.56 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: top-3 customers; Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-source key parts. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $202.50. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AEIS stock price target?

Analyst target: $337.70 (+59.6% upside). Prior stop was $202.50. Stop-loss: $202.50.

What are the risks of investing in AEIS?

Concentration risk — Customer: top-3 customers; Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-source key parts; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is AEIS overvalued or undervalued?

Advanced Energy Industries, Inc trades at a P/E of 30.3 (forward 11.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AEIS?

20 analysts rate AEIS, with a consensus score of 4.3/5. 12 analysts publish price targets averaging $388.

What does Advanced Energy Industries, Inc do?Advanced Energy Industries designs and manufactures precision power conversion, measurement, and control products for...

Advanced Energy Industries designs and manufactures precision power conversion, measurement, and control products for Semiconductor Equipment, Data Center Computing, Industrial and Medical, and Telecom and Networking markets globally, operating as a single segment. The company sells to OEMs, distributors, and end users worldwide, with three customers accounting for 23%, 19%, and 12% of 2025 revenue. Manufacturing occurs primarily in the Philippines, Malaysia, and Mexico, with approximately 13,000 employees.

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