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Advanced Energy Industries, Inc (AEIS) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Electrical Equipment & Parts

Sell if holding. At $311.26, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: top-3 customers; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4).

Advanced Energy Industries designs and sells precision power conversion, measurement, and control products for semiconductor equipment, data center computing, industrial/medical, and telecom/networking markets globally via ~13,000 employees. Three customers represented 23%, 19%,... Read more

$311.26+10.2% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#4 of 18 Electrical Equipment & Parts
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield0.41%
IncomeYield0.13%(5y avg 0.36%)Payout8.32%sustainable
Stop $289.12Target $342.68(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.8:1
Analyst target$393.89+26.5%9 analysts
$342.68our TP
$311.26price
$393.89mean
$430

Sell if holding. At $311.26, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: top-3 customers; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 76d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Val5.2Qual5.4Grw9.6Mom2.7Sent7.7Ins3.4Peer3.2Tech6.9Risk5.45.6OVERALL

Recent Developments — Advanced Energy Industries, Inc

Latest news

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: top-3 customers
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)62.8
P/E (Fwd)25.8
Mkt Cap$12.1B
EV/EBITDA39.0
Profit Mgn10.0%
ROE14.7%
Rev Growth26.3%
Beta1.40
Dividend0.13%
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.29bullish
IV68%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomertop-3 customers
    10-K Item 1: 'three customers accounted for 23%, 19%, and 12% of our total revenue, respectively'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-08Item 5.02LOW
    At May 7, 2026 Annual Meeting, stockholders approved amendment to Second Amended and Restated 2023 Omnibus Incentive Plan, increasing shares from 2.4M to 4.9M and extending term to May 7, 2036. Routine compensatory arrangement.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.3
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 26)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
2.4
Growth Rank
5.0
Quality Rank
5.5
GatesMomentum 2.7<4.5A.R:R 0.8 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 76d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
26 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $292.46Resistance $397.00

Price Targets

$289
$343
A.Upside+10.1%
A.R:R0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 2.7/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.8:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (76d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AEIS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $311.26, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: top-3 customers; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $289.12. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AEIS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $342.68 (+10.2% upside). Prior stop was $289.12. Stop-loss: $289.12.

What are the risks of investing in AEIS?

Concentration risk — Customer: top-3 customers; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is AEIS overvalued or undervalued?

Advanced Energy Industries, Inc trades at a P/E of 62.8 (forward 25.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AEIS?

18 analysts cover AEIS with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $394.

What does Advanced Energy Industries, Inc do?Advanced Energy Industries designs and sells precision power conversion, measurement, and control products for...

Advanced Energy Industries designs and sells precision power conversion, measurement, and control products for semiconductor equipment, data center computing, industrial/medical, and telecom/networking markets globally via ~13,000 employees. Three customers represented 23%, 19%, and 12% of total 2025 revenue; R&D spending was $232M (12-14% of revenue).

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