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AMPAmeriprise Financial, Inc.Hold6.2·$528.90+1.69%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

A franchise with a perfect Piotroski F-Score of 9 out of 9, 67% return on equity, 20% operating margins, a wide economic moat, and four consecutive earnings beats is priced attractively at roughly 9.7 times forward earnings—but the stock sits in a confirmed near-term downtrend with the slope of the 200-day average declining, an elevated put/call ratio, and just 2.3% headroom to the current price target, arguing for patience near the $442 noted entry level rather than adding at today's price.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Forward ValuationStable
  • High Quality Wide Moat FranchiseDeteriorating
  • Four Quarter Earnings Beat StreakStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Ameriprise Financial, Inc. (AMP) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldQualityModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $528.90, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.9% away).

Ameriprise Financial manages $1.7 trillion in assets under management, administration, and advisement across four segments: Advice & Wealth Management, Asset Management (Columbia Threadneedle, $721 billion), Retirement & Protection Solutions, and Corporate & Other. More than... Read more

$528.90-7.9% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#36 of 239 Asset Management
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield1.31%(5y avg 1.42%)Payout15.95%sustainable
Entry $476.22(50-day MA)Stop $448.18Target $528.15(resistance)A.R:R -0.5:1
Analyst target$559.73+5.8%11 analysts
$528.15our TP
$528.90price
$559.73mean
$485
$645

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $528.90, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.9% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $528.90 has reached target $528.15. No upside to wait for. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, earnings proximity 96d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Ameriprise Financial, Inc.

About Ameriprise Financial, Inc.

Ameriprise Financial managed $1.7 trillion in assets under management, administration, and advisement at December 31, 2025—up from $1.5 trillion a year earlier—across four operating segments: Advice & Wealth Management, Asset Management (Columbia Threadneedle, $721 billion), Retirement & Protection Solutions, and Corporate & Other. More than 10,000 financial advisors anchor the U.S. wealth management franchise, and the company's investment management business holds a presence in 16 key global markets.

Ameriprise earns revenue across three primary business lines. Advice & Wealth Management collects fee-based revenues tied to client asset levels, financial planning fees, transaction fees, and distribution fees for affiliated and third-party products sold through four advisor channels—the Ameriprise Franchise Group, Advisor Group, Personal Wealth Group, and Financial Institutions Group. Asset Management earns management fees on $721 billion through the Columbia Threadneedle platform globally, with performance fees available on certain strategies. The Retirement & Protection Solutions segment earns fees on variable annuity contract and benefit-base values plus net investment income on general account assets; RiverSource annuities and insurance are distributed exclusively through the Ameriprise advisor network. A significant portion of Asset Management revenue derives from Columbia Management mutual fund management agreements terminable on 60 days' notice. The company reinsures portions of term life, disability income, universal life, long-term care, and annuity blocks through coinsurance and renewable-term arrangements with unaffiliated reinsurers.

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Ameriprise's insurance, annuity, and banking products carry material sensitivity to interest rate fluctuations. The 10-K discloses that prolonged low rates could compress or invert spreads on long-term care and universal life with secondary guarantees, while rising rates could accelerate policy surrenders and annuity withdrawals as policyholders shift to higher-yielding alternatives—both scenarios partially hedged through derivatives. Structured variable annuity contracts carry index-linked account-value adjustments requiring derivative hedging; the 10-K notes that collateral requirements for the hedging program are market-sensitive and that certain environments, such as rising interest rates, may require access to more costly liquidity sources, weighing on profitability.

See also: Financial Services · Asset Management

From Ameriprise Financial, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 29, 202696d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (3.9% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.2
P/E (Fwd)10.5
Mkt Cap$46.8B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn19.9%
ROE63.4%
Rev Growth11.6%
Beta
Dividend1.31%
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C1.52bearish
IV31%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMProductColumbia Management mutual funds
    10-K Item 1A: 'a significant portion of our revenue is derived from investment management agreements with the Columbia Management family of mutual funds'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-20Item 5.02MEDIUM
    William Davies, EVP and Global Chief Investment Officer of Ameriprise Financial, announced retirement effective June 30, 2026. No successor named in the filing.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.5=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.0<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.0>=4.5Insider activity: OKEARNINGS PROXIMITY 96d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
62 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $444.00Resistance $538.93

Price Targets

$448
$476
$528
A.Upside-7.9%
A.R:R-0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.8%
Max %1.5%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-7.9% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-29 (96d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AMP stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $528.90, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.9% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $528.90 has reached target $528.15. No upside to wait for. Target $528.15 (-0.1%), stop $448.18 (−18.0%), A.R:R -0.5:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AMP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $528.15 (-7.9% upside). Target $528.15 (-0.1%), stop $448.18 (−18.0%), A.R:R -0.5:1. Stop-loss: $448.18.

What are the risks of investing in AMP?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.9% away).

Is AMP overvalued or undervalued?

Ameriprise Financial, Inc. trades at a P/E of 13.2 (forward 10.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about AMP?

20 analysts cover AMP with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $560.

What does Ameriprise Financial, Inc. do?Ameriprise Financial manages $1.7 trillion in assets under management, administration, and advisement across four...

Ameriprise Financial manages $1.7 trillion in assets under management, administration, and advisement across four segments: Advice & Wealth Management, Asset Management (Columbia Threadneedle, $721 billion), Retirement & Protection Solutions, and Corporate & Other. More than 10,000 financial advisors distribute proprietary and third-party products to U.S. retail clients. Ameriprise Bank, FSB, converted in 2019, subjects the holding company to Federal Reserve supervision.

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