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AMKRAmkor Technology, Inc.Buy Wait6.3·$55.97+10.08%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Four consecutive earnings beats averaging approximately 38% above consensus and healthy price momentum demonstrate operational execution, but negative free cash flow, business quality below the 4.0 minimum threshold, roughly 83% revenue concentration in a single product category, and just 1.7% headroom to the near-term resistance target combine to make the current risk-adjusted setup unfavorable.

Thesis pillars

  • Advanced Products Concentration RiskDeteriorating
  • Fcf Negative Quality Below FloorImproving
  • Earnings Beat Streak Four QuartersDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Amkor Technology, Inc. (AMKR) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 2/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Semiconductor Equipment & Materials

Wait for pullback to $53.87. At $55.97 the A.R:R is 1.3:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $53.87 (200-day MA) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Product: Advanced Products (82.8%); Elevated risk factors.

Amkor Technology is the largest U.S.-headquartered outsourced semiconductor assembly and test service provider, offering packaging, wafer-level, and SiP solutions for smartphones, data centers, AI, and automotive markets. In 2025, Amkor generated $6,708 million in net sales,... Read more

$55.97+19.8% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#5 of 25 Semiconductor Equipment & Materials
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield-3.01%
IncomeYield0.67%(5y avg 0.99%)Payout14.94%sustainable
Entry $53.87(200-day MA)Stop $50.10Target $67.09(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.3:1
Analyst target$77.11+37.8%9 analysts
$67.09our TP
$55.97price
$77.11mean
$92

Wait for pullback to $53.87. At $55.97 the A.R:R is 1.3:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $53.87 (200-day MA) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Product: Advanced Products (82.8%); Elevated risk factors. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 83d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: speculative.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Amkor Technology, Inc.

About Amkor Technology, Inc.

Advanced Products represented 82.8% of Amkor Technology's $6,708 million in net sales in 2025, with advanced SiP modules contributing approximately $3,080 million of that total. The company operates as the largest U.S.-headquartered outsourced semiconductor assembly and test service provider, with manufacturing facilities across key Asian markets, a Vietnam facility that delivered packages beginning Q3 2024, and an Arizona facility that began construction in the second half of 2025.

Amkor earns revenue from turnkey semiconductor packaging and test services sold to integrated device manufacturers, fabless semiconductor companies, OEMs, and contract foundries. Revenue divides between Advanced Products—flip chip, memory, wafer-level packages, and SiP modules—and Mainstream Products (wirebond, leadframe, and power device packaging), with the Advanced Products share growing from 77.4% in 2023 to 82.8% in 2025. Gross margin depends heavily on capacity utilization because of the high fixed-cost base; the company does not operate with material backlog, and customers are not contractually required to provide binding purchase forecasts. Key commodity inputs—gold, silver, copper, leadframes, and laminate substrates—are sourced from a limited group of suppliers without long-term pricing agreements, leaving the company exposed if vendors raise prices or face disruptions. The automotive end market represents a significant portion of sales; that industry is cyclical and sensitive to general economic conditions, inflationary pressure, and end-market preference shifts. Amkor competes against Asia-based packaging peers and against foundries expanding into integrated packaging services.

Show full overview

Amkor's critical materials—leadframes, laminate substrates, and gold wire—are sourced from a limited group of suppliers on a purchase order basis without long-term supply agreements. The 10-K discloses that fire, severe weather, earthquakes, flooding, and tsunamis have in the past disrupted specialty chemicals, substrates, silicon wafers, and other electronics-industry inputs. Equipment is likewise acquired without long-term vendor contracts, meaning supply constraints or price spikes in tight markets could delay capacity expansion and prevent the company from fulfilling customer orders—a risk amplified by the high fixed-cost structure that requires consistently high utilization to preserve gross margins.

See also: Technology · Semiconductor Equipment & Materials

From Amkor Technology, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-04
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Oct 26, 202683d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: Advanced Products (82.8%)
Elevated risk factors
Value-trap signals (2/5): Material insider selling (10 sells, 0.05% of cap), Negative free cash flow

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)22.8
P/E (Fwd)18.0
Mkt Cap$12.6B
EV/EBITDA9.7
Profit Mgn7.4%
ROE12.5%
Rev Growth25.6%
Beta2.25
Dividend0.67%
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.21bearish
IV106%elevated
Max Pain$36-35.7% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductAdvanced Products83%
    10-K Item 1: 'Advanced Products| $| 5,556 | | | 82.8 | %'
  • MEDIUMCustomerautomotive industry customers
    10-K Item 1A: 'A significant portion of our sales is to customers within the automotive industry'
  • MEDIUMSupplierlimited group of suppliers for critical materials
    10-K Item 1A: 'We source most of our materials, including critical materials such as leadframes, laminate substrates and gold wire, from a limited group of suppliers'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesMomentum 4.4<4.5A.R:R 1.3 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 83d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
38 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $42.66Resistance $73.67

Price Targets

$50
$54
$67
A.Upside+19.8%
A.R:R1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=+2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! momentum at 4.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 1.3 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-26 (83d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AMKR stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $53.87. At $55.97 the A.R:R is 1.3:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $53.87 (200-day MA) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Product: Advanced Products (82.8%); Elevated risk factors. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $67.09 (+19.9%), stop $50.10 (−11.7%), A.R:R 1.3:1. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AMKR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $67.09 (+19.8% upside). Target $67.09 (+19.9%), stop $50.10 (−11.7%), A.R:R 1.3:1. Stop-loss: $50.10.

What are the risks of investing in AMKR?

Concentration risk — Product: Advanced Products (82.8%); Elevated risk factors; Value-trap signals (2/5): Material insider selling (10 sells, 0.05% of cap), Negative free cash flow.

Is AMKR overvalued or undervalued?

Amkor Technology, Inc. trades at a P/E of 22.8 (forward 18.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about AMKR?

18 analysts cover AMKR with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $77.

What does Amkor Technology, Inc. do?Amkor Technology is the largest U.S.-headquartered outsourced semiconductor assembly and test service provider,...

Amkor Technology is the largest U.S.-headquartered outsourced semiconductor assembly and test service provider, offering packaging, wafer-level, and SiP solutions for smartphones, data centers, AI, and automotive markets. In 2025, Amkor generated $6,708 million in net sales, with Advanced Products at 82.8% of revenue. Manufacturing spans Asia, Europe, and a new Arizona facility under construction since H2 2025.

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