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ALNYAlnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc.Buy Wait6.7·$299.71+4.75%
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Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (ALNY) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Temp Headwind edge

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Wait for pullback to $292.53. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $299.71. Engine's entry $292.53 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.8): -1.5; Negative momentum.

Alnylam is a global commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company with six approved RNAi medicines, generating $2.99B in net product revenues in 2025. AMVUTTRA (vutrisiran) is the dominant revenue driver following its cardiomyopathy approval in March 2025; the company also earns... Read more

$299.71+39.5% A.UpsideScore 6.7/10#4 of 157 Biotechnology
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield0.54%
Entry $292.53(Support Atr Sticky)Stop $274.21Target $401.23(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 5.9:1Setup A.R:R 8.8:1
Analyst target$445.81+48.7%27 analysts
$401.23our TP
$299.71price
$445.81mean
$566

Wait for pullback to $292.53. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $299.71. Engine's entry $292.53 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.8): -1.5; Negative momentum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 51. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.50, quality 8.1/10, growth 10.0/10). Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 56d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-03
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202656d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Strong growth profile
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.8): -1.5
Negative momentum
Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.5%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)71.9
P/E (Fwd)20.6
Mkt Cap$38.2B
EV/EBITDA47.3
Profit Mgn12.6%
ROE90.4%
Rev Growth96.4%
Beta0.30
DividendNone
Rating analysts37

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.27bullish
IV63%elevated
Max Pain$700+133.6% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesMomentum 4.0<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 5.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 56d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
51 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $283.10Resistance $306.03

Price Targets

$274
$293
$401
A.Upside+33.9%
A.R:R5.9:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)8.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %1.7%
Max %3.4%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 4.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (56d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ALNY stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $292.53. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $299.71. Engine's entry $292.53 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.8): -1.5; Negative momentum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 51. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.50, quality 8.1/10, growth 10.0/10). Target $401.23 (+33.9%), stop $274.21 (−9.3%), Setup A.R:R 8.8:1. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ALNY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $401.23 (+39.5% upside). Target $401.23 (+33.9%), stop $274.21 (−9.3%), Setup A.R:R 8.8:1. Stop-loss: $274.21.

What are the risks of investing in ALNY?

Leverage penalty (D/E 2.8): -1.5; Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.5%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is ALNY overvalued or undervalued?

Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc. trades at a P/E of 71.9 (forward 20.6). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about ALNY?

37 analysts cover ALNY with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $446.

What does Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc. do?Alnylam is a global commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company with six approved RNAi medicines, generating $2.99B in...

Alnylam is a global commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company with six approved RNAi medicines, generating $2.99B in net product revenues in 2025. AMVUTTRA (vutrisiran) is the dominant revenue driver following its cardiomyopathy approval in March 2025; the company also earns collaboration royalties from Novartis (Leqvio) and Sanofi (Qfitlia).

Related stocks: INCY (Incyte Corporation) · ARGX (argenx SE) · HALO (Halozyme Therapeutics, Inc.) · ONC (BeOne Medicines Ltd.) · TGTX (TG Therapeutics, Inc.)
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