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AITApplied Industrial TechnologiesHold5.8·$324.75+0.71%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Applied Industrial Technologies is a high-quality industrial distribution franchise — earning a perfect 9-out-of-9 Piotroski financial health score and recognized as best-in-class among peers on margins — but the stock trades just 1.2% below its price target with a risk/reward ratio of 0.26-to-1 that is deeply unfavorable for new exposure. Falling on-balance volume and a 2.2x average-volume surge on a recent selloff day introduce a near-term distribution signal that adds caution to an otherwise sound fundamental picture.

Thesis pillars

  • Stretched Valuation Unfavorable Risk RewardImproving
  • Piotroski Perfect Score Best In Class MarginsStable
  • Bearish Volume Distribution SignalImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Applied Industrial Technologies (AIT) Stock Analysis

HoldQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Industrial Distribution

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $324.75, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: Service Center segment (66.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (88.0%).

Applied Industrial Technologies distributes industrial motion, power, control, and automation technologies and provides related technical services — including MRO fulfillment, engineering, and systems integration — through a network of approximately 600 facilities and 6,800... Read more

$324.75+7.1% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#4 of 20 Industrial Distribution
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield3.07%
Stop $308.24Target $348.00(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.4:1
Analyst target$400.00+23.2%6 analysts
$348.00our TP
$324.75price
$400.00mean
$420

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $324.75, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: Service Center segment (66.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (88.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 53d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Applied Industrial Technologies

About Applied Industrial Technologies

Applied Industrial Technologies generated 66% of fiscal 2025 sales from its Service Center segment and 34% from Engineered Solutions, distributing industrial bearings, power transmission products, fluid power components, and automation technologies through roughly 600 facilities and 6,800 employee associates. The United States accounted for 88% of fiscal 2025 sales, with the remainder split between Canada (6%) and Mexico, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, and Costa Rica combined (6%).

Applied earns revenue by purchasing from thousands of manufacturers and reselling more than 9.2 million stock-keeping units to thousands of customers across food processing, chemicals, fabricated metals, mining, oil and gas, and other industrial end markets, layering on services such as inventory management, engineering, design, assembly, repair, and systems integration. The company operates as a non-exclusive distributor for its suppliers, many of which it has worked with for decades, and earns purchasing incentives tied to volume growth that can compress if customer demand softens. After the cost of products sold, labor is Applied's largest expense. The higher-margin Engineered Solutions segment — fluid power, flow control, and automation — contributes over 40% of consolidated EBITDA despite generating only 34% of sales, making segment mix a key driver of margin expansion alongside the company's acquisition-led growth strategy in a highly fragmented distribution market.

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Applied's risk profile is skewed toward supplier relationships rather than customer concentration — no single customer accounts for more than 5% of fiscal 2025 sales — but the 10-K flags that many key supplier relationships, while longstanding, are terminable by either party, and a supplier could change pricing, authorized territories, or the number of distributor authorizations it grants. Suppliers also pay volume-based purchasing incentives that Applied is less inclined to chase when customer demand softens, so a downturn can compress profitability from two directions at once — lower sales and reduced rebate income — a risk layered on top of $572.3 million of total debt outstanding at fiscal year-end.

See also: Industrials · Industrial Distribution

From Applied Industrial Technologies's most recent 10-K filing, extracted August 23, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-04
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Oct 27, 202653d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Wide economic moat
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: Service Center segment (66.0%)
Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (88.0%)
Thin upside margin: 7.1%

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)29.2
P/E (Fwd)24.4
Mkt Cap$11.8B
EV/EBITDA19.8
Profit Mgn8.3%
ROE22.4%
Rev Growth10.4%
Beta0.85
DividendNone
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.39bullish
IV39%normal
Max Pain$220-32.3% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductService Center segment66%
    10-K Item 1: 'our Service Center segment represented 66% of our total sales'
  • HIGHGeographicUnited States88%
    10-K Item 1: 'Our operations are primarily based in the United States where 88% of our fiscal 2025 sales were generated.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesMomentum 4.5<4.5A.R:R 1.4 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 53d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
24 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $314.85Resistance $374.27

Price Targets

$308
$348
A.Upside+7.1%
A.R:R1.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! News modifier +1: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! momentum at 4.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 1.4 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-27 (53d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AIT stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $324.75, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: Service Center segment (66.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (88.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $348.00 (+7.2%), stop $308.24 (−5.4%), A.R:R 1.4:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AIT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $348.00 (+7.1% upside). Target $348.00 (+7.2%), stop $308.24 (−5.4%), A.R:R 1.4:1. Stop-loss: $308.24.

What are the risks of investing in AIT?

Concentration risk — Product: Service Center segment (66.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (88.0%); Thin upside margin: 7.1%.

Is AIT overvalued or undervalued?

Applied Industrial Technologies trades at a P/E of 29.2 (forward 24.4). TrendMatrix value score: 4.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about AIT?

13 analysts cover AIT with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $400.

What does Applied Industrial Technologies do?Applied Industrial Technologies distributes industrial motion, power, control, and automation technologies and provides...

Applied Industrial Technologies distributes industrial motion, power, control, and automation technologies and provides related technical services — including MRO fulfillment, engineering, and systems integration — through a network of approximately 600 facilities and 6,800 employees primarily in North America, plus Australia, New Zealand, and Singapore. In fiscal 2025, the Service Center segment generated 66% of total sales and the Engineered Solutions segment generated 34%, with 88% of sales coming from the United States.

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