Fastenal Company (FAST) Stock Analysis
Temp Headwind edge
Industrials · Industrial Distribution
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $44.53 — A.R:R is negative (-1.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Expensive valuation.
Fastenal distributes industrial and construction supplies through 1,595 locations in 25 countries, primarily serving manufacturing and construction customers via Fastenal Managed Inventory (FMI), branch, and eBusiness channels. Revenue is B2B-focused with 2025 manufacturing... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $44.53 — A.R:R is negative (-1.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Expensive valuation. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 73d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $44.53 — A.R:R is negative (-1.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Expensive valuation. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $42.16. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $48.42 (+8.7% upside). Prior stop was $42.16. Stop-loss: $42.16.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Expensive valuation; Negative momentum.
Fastenal Company trades at a P/E of 38.7 (forward 32.0). TrendMatrix value score: 3.5/10. Verdict: Sell.
23 analysts cover FAST with a consensus score of 2.9/5. Average price target: $46.
What does Fastenal Company do?Fastenal distributes industrial and construction supplies through 1,595 locations in 25 countries, primarily serving...
Fastenal distributes industrial and construction supplies through 1,595 locations in 25 countries, primarily serving manufacturing and construction customers via Fastenal Managed Inventory (FMI), branch, and eBusiness channels. Revenue is B2B-focused with 2025 manufacturing segment sales of approximately $6.2 billion; it employs 24,489 people.