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ZETAZeta Global Holdings Corp.Sell6.2·$31.78
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Zeta Global combines 50% revenue growth, a perfect Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, and a strong earnings beat streak with an FCF margin of 18% — but high short interest of 14%, a quality score below its peer group, and range-bound momentum signal the market is not yet convinced the growth rate is durable.

Thesis pillars

  • 50pct Revenue Growth Leadership→Stable
  • Quality Below Peer Group→Stable
  • High Short Interest Skepticism→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 25, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Zeta Global Holdings Corp. (ZETA) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Earnings in 4 days (2026-11-09). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. At $31.78, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.8%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7).

Zeta Global operates the Zeta Marketing Platform (ZMP), an omnichannel data-driven marketing software platform providing enterprise customer intelligence, identity resolution and marketing automation. Revenue is primarily usage-based from 184 super-scaled customers (those... Read more

$31.78+4.8% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#23 of 99 Software - Infrastructure
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield3.16%
Stop $29.56Analyst target $33.31(−13% haircut)A.R:R 0.5:1
Analyst consensus$38.29+20.5%14 analysts with price targets
$33.31Analyst target
$31.78price
$38.29mean
$25
$55

Sell if holding. At $31.78, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.8%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Zeta Global Holdings Corp.

About Zeta Global Holdings Corp.

Zeta Global's Zeta Marketing Platform (ZMP) served 184 super-scaled customers—those generating at least $1 million in trailing-12-month revenue—who together drove 87% of total revenue as of December 31, 2025, up from 148 super-scaled customers and 2,651 total customers a year earlier. The top ten customers accounted for more than one-third of total 2025 revenue, and one customer alone exceeded 10%. Zeta employed approximately 3,300 people globally, with approximately 2,000 located outside the U.S.

Zeta earns revenue under usage-based pricing—less stable than subscription pricing by the company's own disclosure—where customers can adjust platform spend or terminate services with limited notice under flexible master services agreements. The ZMP integrates three core products: Zeta Messaging (email service provider), CDP+ (customer data platform), and DSP (demand-side platform), sold individually or bundled. Customer verticals in 2025 included consumer and retail (24% of revenues), travel and hospitality (11%), insurance (11%), telecommunications (10%), and financial services (8%). The platform ingests more than one trillion content consumption signals per month and maintains data on more than 245 million individuals in the U.S. and more than 535 million globally. Zeta competes in a fragmented marketing technology market against a range of point-solution vendors, with larger platform companies increasingly pursuing consolidation that could disadvantage smaller participants.

Show full overview

Customer concentration exposes Zeta to outsized revenue loss: one unnamed customer exceeded 10% of 2025 revenue, and the top ten together surpassed one-third. Agency relationships compound this risk—Zeta contracts separately with agencies owned by the same holding company, and if a holding company consolidates its agencies' purchasing in the future, it could cause a disproportionate loss of revenue, per the 10-K's own language. Sequential-liability clauses in some agency contracts further concentrate credit exposure: if an advertiser refuses to pay the agency, the agency is not liable to Zeta, and the company must seek payment solely from the advertiser.

See also: Technology · Software - Infrastructure

From Zeta Global Holdings Corp.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 16, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

No fresh coverage since Aug 26, 2026

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Nov 9, 20264d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Thin upside margin: 4.8%
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7)
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)26.4
Mkt Cap$8.0B
EV/EBITDA68.0
Profit Mgn-0.1%
ROE-0.3%
Rev Growth43.5%
Beta1.25
DividendNone
Analysts with ratings22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.96neutral
IV99%elevated
Max Pain$20-37.1% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomertop ten customers
    10-K Item 1A: 'our top ten customers accounted for more than one-third of our total revenue, and one customer accounted for more than 10% of our total revenue'
  • LOWCustomerone customer
    10-K Item 1A: 'one customer accounted for more than 10% of our total revenue'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
2.1
Obv
4.2
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.6<4.5A.R:R 0.5 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 4d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
41 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $29.61Resistance $35.75

Price Targets

$30
$33
A.Upside+4.8%
A.R:R0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.5 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:4d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-09 (4d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ZETA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $31.78, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.8%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $29.56. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ZETA stock price target?

Analyst target: $33.31 (+4.8% upside). Prior stop was $29.56. Stop-loss: $29.56.

What are the risks of investing in ZETA?

Thin upside margin: 4.8%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Is ZETA overvalued or undervalued?

Zeta Global Holdings Corp. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 26.4). TrendMatrix value score: 5.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ZETA?

22 analysts rate ZETA, with a consensus score of 4.1/5. 14 analysts publish price targets averaging $38.

What does Zeta Global Holdings Corp. do?Zeta Global operates the Zeta Marketing Platform (ZMP), an omnichannel data-driven marketing software platform...

Zeta Global operates the Zeta Marketing Platform (ZMP), an omnichannel data-driven marketing software platform providing enterprise customer intelligence, identity resolution and marketing automation. Revenue is primarily usage-based from 184 super-scaled customers (those generating ≥$1M trailing-12-month revenue) who contributed 87% of 2025 revenue; the top ten customers exceeded one-third of total revenue. The company had approximately 3,300 employees as of December 31, 2025.

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