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ZDZiff Davis, Inc.Sell4.4·$53.00+5.12%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Ziff Davis trades above its analyst price target, generates negative free cash flow relative to net income, and has missed earnings estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters — the combination of poor quality metrics and exhausted upside makes the current risk-reward unattractive.

Thesis pillars

  • Negative Free Cash Flow QualityStable
  • Earnings Miss StreakStable
  • High Short Interest Bearish PositioningStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Ziff Davis, Inc. (ZD) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Advertising Agencies

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $53.00: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10. Specifically: High short interest: 24%; Below-average business quality.

Ziff Davis operates five digital media and internet segments—Technology & Shopping, Gaming & Entertainment, Health & Wellness, Connectivity (Ookla/Speedtest), and Cybersecurity & Martech (VIPRE Security Group, MOZ Group)—with brands including CNET, PCMag, IGN, RetailMeNot and... Read more

$53.00-1.9% A.UpsideScore 4.4/10#8 of 9 Advertising Agencies
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield-0.83%
Stop $48.55Target $51.20(resistance)A.R:R -1.3:1
Analyst target$48.67-8.2%6 analysts
$51.20our TP
$53.00price
$48.67mean
$30
$61

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $53.00: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10. Specifically: High short interest: 24%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 38d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Ziff Davis, Inc.

About Ziff Davis, Inc.

Ziff Davis's digital media portfolio—anchored by IGN Entertainment with more than 440 million monthly users across 15 digital properties in over 110 countries and 96 million social media fans—covers technology, gaming, health and wellness, connectivity and cybersecurity through five reportable segments. Revenue mixes short-term advertising and performance marketing in Digital Media with subscription and licensing in Connectivity and Cybersecurity & Martech. The company deployed approximately $3.3 billion across nearly 100 acquisitions between 2012 and 2025.

Ziff Davis's Digital Media segments earn revenue primarily from online display and video advertising and performance marketing sold through direct advertiser relationships and agencies under short-term contracts typically no longer than one year. RetailMeNot, VoucherCodes and BlackFriday.com drive affiliate commission revenue by connecting retail brands with consumer shopping audiences. The Connectivity segment, branded as Ookla, sells subscription analytics to internet service providers, mobile carriers, enterprise Wi-Fi integrators and regulatory bodies under Speedtest, Ekahau, Downdetector and RootMetrics. The Cybersecurity & Martech segment includes VIPRE Security Group (endpoint and email security, VPN subscriptions) and MOZ Group (email marketing and SEO subscriptions) serving primarily small and mid-sized businesses. In Digital Media, competitors include IAC, Penske Media, Red Ventures and ad sellers Alphabet and Meta; in cybersecurity, the company competes against CrowdStrike, Proofpoint and Gen Digital.

Show full overview

Ziff Davis filed a copyright lawsuit against OpenAI on April 24, 2025, alleging infringement of its brands' content in AI training and output without authorization, compensation or attribution—an outcome-uncertain litigation that the 10-K discloses carries no assurance of success. Separately, the EU AI Act began applying on February 2, 2025, with remaining requirements effective on a staggered basis through August 2027; non-compliance could expose the company to penalties of up to 7% of worldwide annual turnover or 35 million euros, whichever is higher. California's Delete Act becomes enforceable in August 2026. These regulatory and litigation pressures converge on the core digital audience data that Ziff Davis's advertising revenue depends upon.

See also: Communication Services · Advertising Agencies

From Ziff Davis, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 16, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202638d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-18.9% upside)
Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)43.1
P/E (Fwd)9.1
Mkt Cap$1.9B
EV/EBITDA5.4
Profit Mgn3.1%
ROE2.1%
Rev Growth-1.9%
Beta1.05
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.19bullish
IV63%elevated
Max Pain$35-34.0% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

5 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -1.9% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
2.0
Earnings Growth
2.9
Declining revenue: -2%

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
1.6
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3M

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.1
Value Rank
3.1
Quality Rank
3.7

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.1
52w Position
10.0

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Fcf Quality
0.0
Operating Margin
0.5
Roe
0.7
Net Margin
1.6
Roa
2.3
Rule Of 40
3.0
Moat
5.4
Current Ratio
6.0
Piotroski F
8.9
Gross Margin
10.0
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -34% FCF/NINo competitive moatRule of 40: -3 (fail)Strong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
GatesA.R:R -1.3=NEGATIVEMomentum 8.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 38d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
72 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $43.86Resistance $52.25

Price Targets

$49
$51
A.Upside-3.4%
A.R:R-1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-18.9% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (38d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ZD stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $53.00: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10. Specifically: High short interest: 24%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $48.55. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ZD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $51.20 (-1.9% upside). Prior stop was $48.55. Stop-loss: $48.55.

What are the risks of investing in ZD?

Target reached (-18.9% upside); Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0).

Is ZD overvalued or undervalued?

Ziff Davis, Inc. trades at a P/E of 43.1 (forward 9.1). TrendMatrix value score: 6.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ZD?

14 analysts cover ZD with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $49.

What does Ziff Davis, Inc. do?Ziff Davis operates five digital media and internet segments—Technology & Shopping, Gaming & Entertainment, Health &...

Ziff Davis operates five digital media and internet segments—Technology & Shopping, Gaming & Entertainment, Health & Wellness, Connectivity (Ookla/Speedtest), and Cybersecurity & Martech (VIPRE Security Group, MOZ Group)—with brands including CNET, PCMag, IGN, RetailMeNot and Everyday Health. Revenue comes from advertising in Digital Media and subscriptions in Connectivity and Cybersecurity & Martech. The company deployed approximately $3.3 billion across nearly 100 acquisitions from 2012 through 2025.

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