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QNSTQuinStreet, Inc.Buy Wait6.7·$17.40
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

QuinStreet combines a wide moat, strong cash conversion, and 28% revenue growth with an attractive valuation, but shares are deeply overbought with late-cycle distribution risk, and a thin 4.5% upside margin leaves the reward-to-risk ratio well short of the 1.5-to-1 bar.

Thesis pillars

  • Thin Upside Failed Asymmetry→Stable
  • Wide Moat Quality Characteristics→Stable
  • Strong Revenue Growth→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 5, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Aug 26, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

QuinStreet, Inc. (QNST) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

Buy WaitValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Advertising Agencies

Earnings in 2 days (2026-11-04). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $16.97. At $17.40 the A.R:R is 0.9:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $16.97 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Customer: top 20 clients (58.0%); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3).

QuinStreet runs performance marketing for financial services and home services clients, buying online traffic and delivering qualified clicks, leads, calls, applications and customers that clients pay for per action. It bears the media cost, mostly through revenue-share deals... Read more

$17.40+14.0% A.UpsideScore 6.7/10#3 of 13 Advertising Agencies
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield12.65%
Entry $16.97(Ma50 Sticky)Stop $15.83Target $19.84(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.9:1
Analyst consensus$22.80+31.0%5 analysts
$19.84our TP
$17.40price
$22.80mean
$24

Wait for pullback to $16.97. At $17.40 the A.R:R is 0.9:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $16.97 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Customer: top 20 clients (58.0%); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings in 2 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity and earnings proximity 2d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About QuinStreet, Inc.

About QuinStreet, Inc.

QuinStreet sells performance marketing results, meaning qualified clicks, leads, calls, applications and customers, to clients in financial services and home services, with the majority of operations and revenue in North America. In fiscal 2026, one client accounted for 21% of net revenue and the top 20 clients accounted for 58%, down from 62% in fiscal 2025. The company had 1,074 employees as of June 30, 2026 and spent $37.3 million on product development, up from $33.9 million.

QuinStreet is paid on a negotiated per click, per lead or other per action basis and bears the cost of buying traffic, which is the largest cost input. Visitors come from websites it owns and operates, pay-per-click campaigns on major search engines, third-party publishers, email lists and ad networks, and proprietary technology matches each visitor to as many as hundreds of client offerings. Media bought on a revenue-share basis has represented the majority of media costs, which makes those costs variable. Client contracts are mostly cancelable with little or no prior notice and carry no minimum spend or cancellation penalties. The company is a licensed insurance agent in all fifty states. Competitors include LendingTree and MediaAlpha in financial services, agencies that control large client budgets, and spending placed directly with Google, Yahoo!, Microsoft and Meta.

Show full overview

Client concentration and traffic sourcing are the lenses that matter. In fiscal 2025 two clients represented 23% and 12% of net revenue, and the 10-K says reductions by a significant client have in the past triggered price cuts for other clients whose prices are set by bidding. The company also depends on Internet search companies for a significant portion of visitors, and the filing warns that artificial intelligence in search could change usage in ways that reduce traffic. Tariffs imposed in 2025 are expected to raise costs for its insurance and home services clients, which might lead those clients to delay marketing budgets.

See also: Communication Services · Advertising Agencies

From QuinStreet, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted October 18, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-11-02
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 20262d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Positive momentum
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: top 20 clients (58.0%)
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3)
Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.4
P/E (Fwd)9.3
Mkt Cap$996M
EV/EBITDA16.1
Profit Mgn6.3%
ROE28.6%
Rev Growth42.7%
Beta0.73
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C0.30bullish
IV97%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomertop 20 clients58%
    10-K Item 1: 'Our top 20 clients accounted for 58% and 62% of net revenue in fiscal years 2026 and 2025.'
  • LOWCustomerlargest client21%
    10-K Item 1: 'In fiscal year 2026, we had one client that accounted for 21% of net revenue.'
  • MEDIUMSupplierthird-party media sources and strategic partners
    10-K Item 1A: 'We depend on third-party media sources, including strategic partners, for a significant portion of our visitors.'
  • MEDIUMSupplierInternet search companies
    10-K Item 1A: 'We depend upon Internet search companies to direct a significant portion of visitors to our owned and operated and our third-party publishers'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.0
Bollinger
0.1
52w Position
5.6
GatesA.R:R 0.9 < 1.5@spotINSIDER 1.71%=EXTREMEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 2d<=7dMomentum 7.4>=5.5No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
73 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $14.79Resistance $17.41

Price Targets

$16
$17
$20
A.Upside+14.0%
A.R:R0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Earnings in 2 days - binary event risk
! asymmetry at 0.9 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! Insider activity: 1.71%=extreme

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (2d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is QNST stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $16.97. At $17.40 the A.R:R is 0.9:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $16.97 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Customer: top 20 clients (58.0%); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings in 2 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $19.84 (+14.0%), stop $15.83 (−9.9%), A.R:R 0.9:1. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the QNST stock price target?

Take-profit target: $19.84 (+14.0% upside). Target $19.84 (+14.0%), stop $15.83 (−9.9%), A.R:R 0.9:1. Stop-loss: $15.83.

What are the risks of investing in QNST?

Concentration risk — Customer: top 20 clients (58.0%); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3); Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8.

Is QNST overvalued or undervalued?

QuinStreet, Inc. trades at a P/E of 12.4 (forward 9.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about QNST?

12 analysts cover QNST with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $23.

What does QuinStreet, Inc. do?QuinStreet runs performance marketing for financial services and home services clients, buying online traffic and...

QuinStreet runs performance marketing for financial services and home services clients, buying online traffic and delivering qualified clicks, leads, calls, applications and customers that clients pay for per action. It bears the media cost, mostly through revenue-share deals with third-party publishers. One client was 21% of fiscal 2026 net revenue and the top 20 clients 58%; most contracts are cancelable with little or no notice.

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