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MGNIMagnite, Inc.Hold5.8·$18.41+9.91%
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Magnite, Inc. (MGNI) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Communication Services · Advertising Agencies

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $18.41, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 7.1%; Elevated risk factors.

Magnite automates the purchase and sale of digital advertising inventory as an independent omni-channel sell-side advertising platform (SSP), with particular strength in programmatic connected television (CTV) through its SpringServe platform. Revenue is earned as a percentage... Read more

$18.41+7.1% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#2 of 9 Advertising Agencies
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield0.06%
Stop $17.25Target $19.86(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.5:1
Analyst target$22.07+19.9%15 analysts
$19.86our TP
$18.41price
$22.07mean
$15
$39

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $18.41, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 7.1%; Elevated risk factors. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 82. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, earnings proximity 50d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Magnite, Inc.

About Magnite, Inc.

Magnite processes trillions of ad requests per month as the largest independent omni-channel sell-side advertising platform, serving buyers and sellers across CTV, mobile, and desktop channels in North America, Australia, Europe, and developing markets in Asia and South America. The company launched its next-generation SpringServe CTV platform in April 2025, combining programmatic, ad serving, and mediation functionality, and in September 2025 acquired Streamr.ai, an AI-driven platform that automates broadcast-quality CTV ad creation for small and medium-sized businesses.

Magnite earns revenue primarily as a percentage of ad spend transacted through its platform, with fixed CPM pricing for certain client types and fixed monthly fees for specific products. The CTV channel carries higher take-rates in biddable auction environments compared to reserve auctions, where a significant portion of premium CTV inventory is sold through direct deals. Supply Path Optimization agreements with major agency holding companies provide custom integrations and volume-based discounts, allowing Magnite to build deeper buyer relationships and attract differentiated demand for its seller clients. The company integrates with header-bidding standards including Prebid.org (which Magnite co-founded), as well as solutions offered by Google and Amazon. Magnite positions itself against competitors by remaining fully independent — holding no owned media properties that would compete with publisher clients, in contrast to vertically integrated platforms that control both inventory and demand.

Show full overview

Magnite's pending litigation against Google LLC sits at the center of the regulatory lens most directly affecting the company's competitive position. Antitrust enforcement actions targeting the digital advertising industry, if resulting in structural remedies, could reshape competitive dynamics between independent sell-side platforms and vertically integrated players. The company separately acknowledges that advancements in AI are likely to decrease search-referral traffic for open-web display publishers, reducing the mobile and desktop inventory base on its platform, while also accelerating CTV advertiser adoption by lowering creative production costs.

See also: Communication Services · Advertising Agencies

From Magnite, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202650d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Positive momentum
Risks
Thin upside margin: 7.1%
Elevated risk factors
Overbought (RSI 82)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.0
P/E (Fwd)13.6
Mkt Cap$2.4B
EV/EBITDA18.2
Profit Mgn22.0%
ROE19.1%
Rev Growth5.5%
Beta2.31
DividendNone
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.90bearish
IV84%elevated
Max Pain$35+90.1% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-20Item 5.02MEDIUM
    CFO David Day announced retirement; will remain as CFO through September 30, 2026, then as non-executive advisor through May 31, 2027 for orderly transition. No successor CFO named.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-04-10Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Chief Product Officer Adam Soroca's employment terminated effective April 8, 2026; will remain as advisor through May 15, 2026. Entitled to severance per Executive Severance Agreement. No successor named.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.2
52w Position
3.9
GatesA.R:R 0.5 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 8.3>=5.5Insider activity: OKEARNINGS PROXIMITY 50d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
83 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $12.73Resistance $18.67

Price Targets

$17
$20
A.Upside+7.9%
A.R:R0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.5 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (50d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MGNI stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $18.41, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 7.1%; Elevated risk factors. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 82. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $19.86 (+7.9%), stop $17.25 (−6.7%), A.R:R 0.5:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MGNI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $19.86 (+7.1% upside). Target $19.86 (+7.9%), stop $17.25 (−6.7%), A.R:R 0.5:1. Stop-loss: $17.25.

What are the risks of investing in MGNI?

Thin upside margin: 7.1%; Elevated risk factors; Overbought (RSI 82).

Is MGNI overvalued or undervalued?

Magnite, Inc. trades at a P/E of 16.0 (forward 13.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about MGNI?

20 analysts cover MGNI with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $22.

What does Magnite, Inc. do?Magnite automates the purchase and sale of digital advertising inventory as an independent omni-channel sell-side...

Magnite automates the purchase and sale of digital advertising inventory as an independent omni-channel sell-side advertising platform (SSP), with particular strength in programmatic connected television (CTV) through its SpringServe platform. Revenue is earned as a percentage of ad spend transacted through the platform, with clients spanning CTV publishers, streaming services, agencies, and demand side platforms globally.

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