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Magnite, Inc. (MGNI) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Advertising Agencies

Earnings in 6 days (2026-05-06). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $12.91, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Earnings in 6 days (event risk); Negative momentum.

Magnite is an independent omni-channel sell-side advertising platform (SSP) and the largest independent programmatic CTV marketplace, processing trillions of ad requests per month for publishers across CTV, mobile, and desktop channels. Revenue is generated each time an... Read more

$12.91+49.6% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#1 of 9 Advertising Agencies
Stop $12.02Target $19.33(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 4.2:1
Analyst target$22.21+72.1%14 analysts
$19.33our TP
$12.91price
$22.21mean
$39

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $12.91, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Earnings in 6 days (event risk); Negative momentum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 60. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Val8.4Qual6.6Grw7.0Mom3.6Sent8.0Ins5.0Peer5.4Tech2.9Risk4.66.3OVERALL

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Analyst upside: 50%
Risks
Earnings in 6 days (event risk)
Negative momentum
Below 200-MA, MA slope -6.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.6
P/E (Fwd)10.7
Mkt Cap$1.9B
EV/EBITDA14.1
Profit Mgn20.3%
ROE17.1%
Rev Growth5.9%
Beta2.39
DividendNone
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.38bullish
IV109%elevated
Max Pain$28+116.9% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-20Item 5.02MEDIUM
    David Day, CFO, plans to retire effective September 30, 2026; will serve as non-executive advisor through May 31, 2027. No successor named for CFO role.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-04-10Item 5.02LOW
    Adam Soroca ceased serving as Chief Product Officer effective April 8, 2026. Will remain as advisor through May 15, 2026. No reason cited. Entitled to severance per existing agreement.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.0
Bollinger
4.4
Support Resistance
4.4

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Rsi
4.5
Ma Position
6.0
Macd
6.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -6.4%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 3.6<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dA.R:R 4.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
60 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $11.41Resistance $14.11

Price Targets

$12
$19
A.Upside+49.7%
A.R:R4.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 3.6/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:6d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-06 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MGNI stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $12.91, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Earnings in 6 days (event risk); Negative momentum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 60. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $19.33 (+49.7%), stop $12.02 (−7.4%), A.R:R 4.2:1. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MGNI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $19.33 (+49.6% upside). Target $19.33 (+49.7%), stop $12.02 (−7.4%), A.R:R 4.2:1. Stop-loss: $12.02.

What are the risks of investing in MGNI?

Earnings in 6 days (event risk); Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -6.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is MGNI overvalued or undervalued?

Magnite, Inc. trades at a P/E of 13.6 (forward 10.7). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about MGNI?

21 analysts cover MGNI with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $22.

What does Magnite, Inc. do?Magnite is an independent omni-channel sell-side advertising platform (SSP) and the largest independent programmatic...

Magnite is an independent omni-channel sell-side advertising platform (SSP) and the largest independent programmatic CTV marketplace, processing trillions of ad requests per month for publishers across CTV, mobile, and desktop channels. Revenue is generated each time an impression is monetized through its transparent fee structure.

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