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MGNIMagnite, Inc.Sell5.6·$15.62+6.73%
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Magnite, Inc. (MGNI) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Communication Services · Advertising Agencies

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $15.62: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3); Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8.

Magnite is an independent omni-channel sell-side advertising platform (SSP) that automates the purchase and sale of digital advertising inventory for publishers across CTV, mobile, and desktop globally. Revenue is earned as a percentage of advertising spend transacted through... Read more

$15.62+24.0% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#3 of 9 Advertising Agencies
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield0.07%
Stop $14.49Target $19.33(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.6:1
Analyst target$22.21+42.2%14 analysts
$19.33our TP
$15.62price
$22.21mean
$39

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $15.62: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3); Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 70. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/11 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news boost analyst 0.35, news boost analyst cluster(6), earnings proximity 57d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202657d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Analyst upside: 24%
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3)
Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8
Elevated risk factors

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.9
P/E (Fwd)11.9
Mkt Cap$2.1B
EV/EBITDA16.1
Profit Mgn22.0%
ROE19.1%
Rev Growth5.5%
Beta2.31
DividendNone
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C12.90bearish
IV97%elevated
Max Pain$30+92.1% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-20Item 5.02HIGH
    CFO David Day announced retirement plans; will continue as CFO until September 30, 2026, then as non-executive advisor through May 31, 2027. No successor named.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-04-10Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Chief Product Officer Adam Soroca ceased serving effective April 8, 2026. Will remain as advisor through May 15, 2026. No successor named.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.4
Support Resistance
1.0
52w Position
1.7
Gap
4.0
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 4.9>=4.5A.R:R 1.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.35NEWS BOOST ANALYST CLUSTER(6)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 57d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
70 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $12.35Resistance $15.95

Price Targets

$14
$19
A.Upside+23.8%
A.R:R1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (57d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MGNI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $15.62: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3); Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 70. Prior stop was $14.49. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MGNI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $19.33 (+24.0% upside). Prior stop was $14.49. Stop-loss: $14.49.

What are the risks of investing in MGNI?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3); Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8; Elevated risk factors.

Is MGNI overvalued or undervalued?

Magnite, Inc. trades at a P/E of 13.9 (forward 11.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MGNI?

20 analysts cover MGNI with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $22.

What does Magnite, Inc. do?Magnite is an independent omni-channel sell-side advertising platform (SSP) that automates the purchase and sale of...

Magnite is an independent omni-channel sell-side advertising platform (SSP) that automates the purchase and sale of digital advertising inventory for publishers across CTV, mobile, and desktop globally. Revenue is earned as a percentage of advertising spend transacted through the platform, with CTV as a growing driver; operations span North America, Europe, Australia, and developing markets in Asia and South America.

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