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DVDoubleVerify Holdings, Inc.Sell5.5·$13.37
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

DoubleVerify trades at a depressed valuation with strong free cash flow conversion, but four consecutive earnings misses and a confirmed price downtrend make near-term caution warranted; the setup favors patience until execution improves and the technical backdrop reverses.

Thesis pillars

  • Consecutive Earnings Miss Streak↓Deteriorating
  • Depressed Valuation With Strong Cash Conversion→Stable
  • Confirmed Price Downtrend Death Cross↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

DoubleVerify Holdings, Inc. (DV) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellGrowthModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Advertising Agencies

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $13.37 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.1% away).

DoubleVerify measures digital advertising quality—fraud, brand suitability, viewability, and geography—for over 2,500 advertisers across programmatic, social, and CTV channels globally. Revenue comes from per-transaction analysis fees (Measured Transaction Fees) scaling with... Read more

$13.37-12.3% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#8 of 15 Advertising Agencies
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield7.82%
Stop $13.25Target $15.38(default +15%)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$13.48+0.8%10 analysts
$15.38our TP
$13.37price
$13.48mean
$12
$15

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $13.37 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.1% away). Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 41d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-25

Recent Developments — DoubleVerify Holdings, Inc.

Generated 2026-09-25T14:07:20Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 202641d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Positive insider activity
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.1% away)
Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)38.2
P/E (Fwd)11.5
Mkt Cap$2.1B
EV/EBITDA13.7
Profit Mgn7.7%
ROE5.4%
Rev Growth2.5%
Beta1.00
DividendNone
Rating analysts24

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C6.67bearish
IV79%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMSupplierdigital media platforms
    10-K Item 1A: 'a significant portion of our revenue depends on customers using our solutions on these digital media platforms'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
1.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Estimates down -30.4% (30d)Earnings concerns: 0B/4M

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
2.8
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Negative sentiment — recent news tone and/or analyst downgrades drag the composite below neutral.static

Erm Sentiment
0.0
Analyst Rating
5.0
Price Target
5.1
Estimates falling as sentiment proxy (-30.4%)
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5A.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 41d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
53 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $13.30Resistance $13.65

Price Targets

$13
$15
A.Upside-12.3%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-12.3% upside)
! momentum at 3.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (41d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DV stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $13.37 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.1% away). Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $13.25. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DV stock price target?

Take-profit target: $15.38 (-12.3% upside). Prior stop was $13.25. Stop-loss: $13.25.

What are the risks of investing in DV?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.1% away); Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8.

Is DV overvalued or undervalued?

DoubleVerify Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 38.2 (forward 11.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about DV?

24 analysts cover DV with a consensus score of 2.6/5. Average price target: $13.

What does DoubleVerify Holdings, Inc. do?DoubleVerify measures digital advertising quality—fraud, brand suitability, viewability, and geography—for over 2,500...

DoubleVerify measures digital advertising quality—fraud, brand suitability, viewability, and geography—for over 2,500 advertisers across programmatic, social, and CTV channels globally. Revenue comes from per-transaction analysis fees (Measured Transaction Fees) scaling with customers' ad spend; no single customer exceeded 10% of 2025 revenue. Net revenue retention of 109% in 2025 reflects expansion from new solutions within the existing customer base.

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