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DoubleVerify Holdings, Inc. (DV) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Communication Services · Advertising Agencies

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $9.46 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 8.8): -1.5; Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8.

DoubleVerify is a media effectiveness platform that measures digital ad quality across fraud, brand suitability, viewability, and geography for global brands, analyzing 9.5 trillion Media Transactions in 2025. Revenue is earned from Measured Transaction Fees scaling with... Read more

$9.46+23.7% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#2 of 9 Advertising Agencies
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield9.24%
Stop $8.80Target $11.70(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.9:1
Analyst target$13.00+37.4%18 analysts
$11.70our TP
$9.46price
$13.00mean
$8
$16

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $9.46 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 8.8): -1.5; Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 34, MACD bearish. Score 6.0/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 78d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — DoubleVerify Holdings, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Analyst upside: 24%
Risks
Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8
Leverage penalty (D/E 8.8): -1.5
Consecutive earnings misses (4)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)28.1
P/E (Fwd)7.3
Mkt Cap$1.4B
EV/EBITDA10.1
Profit Mgn7.2%
ROE5.2%
Rev Growth9.6%
Beta1.05
DividendNone
Rating analysts29

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.05bullish
IV51%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/4M
GatesMomentum 4.1<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 1.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 78d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
34 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $8.60Resistance $11.54

Price Targets

$9
$12
A.Upside+23.7%
A.R:R1.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 4.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (78d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DV stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $9.46 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 8.8): -1.5; Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 34, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $8.80. Score 6.0/10, high confidence.

What is the DV stock price target?

Take-profit target: $11.70 (+23.7% upside). Prior stop was $8.80. Stop-loss: $8.80.

What are the risks of investing in DV?

Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8; Leverage penalty (D/E 8.8): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (4).

Is DV overvalued or undervalued?

DoubleVerify Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 28.1 (forward 7.3). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about DV?

29 analysts cover DV with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $13.

What does DoubleVerify Holdings, Inc. do?DoubleVerify is a media effectiveness platform that measures digital ad quality across fraud, brand suitability,...

DoubleVerify is a media effectiveness platform that measures digital ad quality across fraud, brand suitability, viewability, and geography for global brands, analyzing 9.5 trillion Media Transactions in 2025. Revenue is earned from Measured Transaction Fees scaling with customers' digital ad spend; the company serves 2,500+ customers with no single customer representing more than 10% of revenue.

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