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Expro Group Holdings N.V. (XPRO) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.93: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.67; Below-average business quality.

Expro Group provides energy services across the well lifecycle—construction, flow management, subsea well access, and intervention—to oil and gas producers in 50+ countries, with approximately 8,500 employees. Revenue of $1.6B in 2025 was split across four regions: NLA (34.7%),... Read more

$16.93+7.5% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#17 of 31 Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield8.14%
Stop $15.74Target $18.20(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$18.00+6.3%5 analysts
$18.20our TP
$16.93price
$18.00mean
$16
$23

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.93: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.67; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 68d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Expro Group Holdings N.V.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-7.5% upside)
Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): Material insider selling (17 sells, 0.15% of cap), Negative free cash flow

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)51.2
P/E (Fwd)13.7
Mkt Cap$1.9B
EV/EBITDA6.2
Profit Mgn2.3%
ROE2.4%
Rev Growth-6.0%
Beta1.08
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.67bearish
IV63%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicNLA35%
    10-K Item 1: 'NLA ... 34.7 | %'
  • MEDIUMGeographicESSA30%
    10-K Item 1: 'ESSA ... 30.3 | %'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.3
Quality Rank
2.7
Value Rank
5.7

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.7
Operating Margin
0.7
Roe
0.8
Net Margin
1.2
Roa
1.9
Moat
4.6
Current Ratio
7.4
Piotroski F
7.8
Fcf Quality
10.0
Excellent cash conversion: 412% FCF/NINo competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9
GatesA.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEMomentum 4.8<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.8>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 68d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
38 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $15.25Resistance $18.57

Price Targets

$16
$18
A.Upside+7.5%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-7.5% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): Material insider selling (17 sells, 0.15% of cap), Negative free cash flow

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (68d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is XPRO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.93: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.67; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $15.74. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the XPRO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $18.20 (+7.5% upside). Prior stop was $15.74. Stop-loss: $15.74.

What are the risks of investing in XPRO?

Target reached (-7.5% upside); Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Material insider selling (17 sells, 0.15% of cap), Negative free cash flow.

Is XPRO overvalued or undervalued?

Expro Group Holdings N.V. trades at a P/E of 51.2 (forward 13.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about XPRO?

10 analysts cover XPRO with a consensus score of 2.5/5. Average price target: $18.

What does Expro Group Holdings N.V. do?Expro Group provides energy services across the well lifecycle—construction, flow management, subsea well access, and...

Expro Group provides energy services across the well lifecycle—construction, flow management, subsea well access, and intervention—to oil and gas producers in 50+ countries, with approximately 8,500 employees. Revenue of $1.6B in 2025 was split across four regions: NLA (34.7%), ESSA (30.3%), MENA (22.6%), and APAC (12.4%); no single customer exceeded 10% of 2025 revenue.

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