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World Kinect Corporation (WKC) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $26.57: Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 18%; Elevated put/call ratio: 63.40; Below-average business quality.

World Kinect Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an energy management company in the United States, rest of the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It operates in three segments: Aviation, Land, and Marine. The Aviation segment... Read more

$26.57+10.0% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#5 of 15 Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
Stop $24.68Target $29.20(resistance)A.R:R -0.5:1
Analyst target$29.00+9.1%3 analysts
$29.20our TP
$26.57price
$29.00mean
$25
$34

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $26.57: Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 18%; Elevated put/call ratio: 63.40; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 74. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 91d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-7.1% upside)
Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 2.0), Negative free cash flow

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)10.6
Mkt Cap$1.4B
EV/EBITDA6.6
Profit Mgn-1.5%
ROE-36.0%
Rev Growth2.5%
Beta1.12
Dividend2.96%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C63.40bearish
IV75%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.3
Roa
1.5
Current Ratio
4.1
Moat
5.0
Piotroski F
6.7
No competitive moatQuality concerns

Risk profile below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Put Call
0.0
Implied Vol
0.9
Short Interest
1.7
Volatility
2.0
Days To Cover
2.2
Beta
6.5
Debt Equity
7.0
High short interest justified: 18%Elevated put/call: 63.40High IV: 75%
GatesA.R:R -0.5=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 91d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
74 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $22.65Resistance $29.80

Price Targets

$25
$29
A.Upside+9.9%
A.R:R-0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-7.1% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 2.0), Negative free cash flow

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (91d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WKC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $26.57: Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 18%; Elevated put/call ratio: 63.40; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 74. Prior stop was $24.68. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WKC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $29.20 (+10.0% upside). Prior stop was $24.68. Stop-loss: $24.68.

What are the risks of investing in WKC?

Target reached (-7.1% upside); Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 2.0), Negative free cash flow.

Is WKC overvalued or undervalued?

World Kinect Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 10.6). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about WKC?

10 analysts cover WKC with a consensus score of 2.3/5. Average price target: $29.

What does World Kinect Corporation do?World Kinect Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an energy management company in the United...

World Kinect Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an energy management company in the United States, rest of the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It operates in three segments: Aviation, Land, and Marine. The Aviation segment supplies jet fuel, sustainable aviation fuel, aviation gasoline, and aviation fuel to commercial and international airlines, regional airlines, cargo carriers, airports, fixed-based operators, corporate fleets, charter and fractional operators, the U.S. and foreign governments, and military customers. This segment also provides fuel management; ground handling; dispatch services; and trip support services, such as flight planning and scheduling. The Land segment engages in the sale of liquid fuels, natural gas, and related products and services to commercial, industrial, residential, and government customers; and the transportation, manufacturing, mining, and construction industries, as well as retail fuel outlets under long-term contracts. The Marine segment markets fuel, lubricants, and related products and services to international container, dry bulk and tanker fleets, commercial cruise lines, yachts and time charter operators, the U.S. and foreign governments, and other fuel suppliers. This segment also provides marine fuel-related services, such as management services for the procurement of fuel, cost control, quality control, and claims management, as well as engages in the fueling of vessels in ports and at sea, and transportation and delivery of fuel and fuel-related products. The company was formerly known as World Fuel Services Corporation and changed its name to World Kinect Corporation in June 2023. World Kinect Corporation was incorporated in 1984 and is headquartered in Miami, Florida.

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