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WEXWEX Inc.Sell6.0·$131.27-0.30%
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WEX Inc. (WEX) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $131.27 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.1): -1.5; Negative momentum.

WEX Inc. processes payments across Mobility (fleet cards covering 90%+ of U.S. fuel locations), Benefits (HSA/FSA/COBRA SaaS), and Corporate Payments (B2B virtual cards and AP automation) segments. Revenue comes from interchange fees, per-participant software fees, and HSA... Read more

$131.27+18.8% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#25 of 77 Software - Infrastructure
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield27.51%
Stop $124.66Target $155.90(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.4:1
Analyst target$179.20+36.5%10 analysts
$155.90our TP
$131.27price
$179.20mean
$220

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $131.27 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.1): -1.5; Negative momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 31, MACD bearish. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 36d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About WEX Inc.

About WEX Inc.

WEX Inc.'s Mobility segment — the company's largest by total revenue — operates a proprietary closed-loop network covering more than 90% of U.S. fuel charging locations, processing hundreds of billions of dollars in transactions across Mobility, Benefits, and Corporate Payments annually. WEX repurchased $790 million of common stock in 2025, reducing outstanding share count by approximately 13%. The Benefits segment administered an average of 21.6 million SaaS accounts in the quarter ended December 31, 2025.

Revenue in the Mobility segment flows primarily from payment processing fees based on a percentage of customer transaction volume or fixed fees per transaction, supplemented by account servicing fees and finance charges on overdue accounts. Corporate Payments earns primarily net interchange on virtual card transactions processed through Mastercard and Visa networks, with licensing fees from accounts payable SaaS platforms. Benefits revenue derives from per-participant fees, income earned on HSA deposits via WEX Bank, and interchange on benefit debit cards. WEX Bank funds a significant portion of Mobility and Corporate Payments operations, relying on brokered deposits and FHLB advances for its funding base. Competition in Mobility includes Corpay, U.S. Bank Voyager, DKV, and Edenred; in Benefits, Alegeus Technologies and HealthEquity; in Corporate Payments, J.P. Morgan, Barclays, Capital One, and American Express.

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WEX processes a significant portion of revenue through Mastercard and Visa networks — a dependency the 10-K flags explicitly: if any WEX-owned issuer ceases to be licensed or a third-party institution withdraws services, the company would need replacement providers, potentially interrupting payment processing and resulting in customer losses. WEX Bank's industrial loan company charter introduces a parallel regulatory exposure: the 10-K discloses that changes to ILC requirements or expanded authorization of competing institutions could disrupt operations and raise costs, while reliance on brokered deposits and FHLB advances exposes WEX Bank to potential funding disruption.

See also: Technology · Software - Infrastructure

From WEX Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 16, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 22, 202636d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 4.1): -1.5
Negative momentum
Elevated risk factors

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.8
P/E (Fwd)6.5
Mkt Cap$4.6B
EV/EBITDA5.0
Profit Mgn11.5%
ROE29.8%
Rev Growth5.8%
Beta0.85
DividendNone
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C3.29bearish
IV62%elevated
Max Pain$110-16.2% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMProductfuel-related Mobility revenue
    10-K Item 1A: 'a substantial amount of our Company's total revenue is generated as a result of the purchase and/or sale of fuel'
  • MEDIUMcounterpartyMastercard and Visa networks
    10-K Item 1A: 'A significant source of our revenue comes from processing transactions through the Mastercard and Visa networks'
  • MEDIUMloan_portfoliobrokered deposits and FHLB advances
    10-K Item 1A: 'WEX Bank is subject to funding risks associated with its reliance on brokered deposits and advances from the FHLB'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.5
Vol Acceleration
5.5
Volume
10.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.6%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 3.5<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 2.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 36d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
31 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $128.52Resistance $151.14

Price Targets

$125
$156
A.Upside+18.8%
A.R:R2.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-22 (36d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WEX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $131.27 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.1): -1.5; Negative momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 31, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $124.66. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WEX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $155.90 (+18.8% upside). Prior stop was $124.66. Stop-loss: $124.66.

What are the risks of investing in WEX?

Leverage penalty (D/E 4.1): -1.5; Negative momentum; Elevated risk factors.

Is WEX overvalued or undervalued?

WEX Inc. trades at a P/E of 14.8 (forward 6.5). TrendMatrix value score: 8.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about WEX?

18 analysts cover WEX with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $179.

What does WEX Inc. do?WEX Inc. processes payments across Mobility (fleet cards covering 90%+ of U.S. fuel locations), Benefits (HSA/FSA/COBRA...

WEX Inc. processes payments across Mobility (fleet cards covering 90%+ of U.S. fuel locations), Benefits (HSA/FSA/COBRA SaaS), and Corporate Payments (B2B virtual cards and AP automation) segments. Revenue comes from interchange fees, per-participant software fees, and HSA deposit yield, with WEX Bank funding a significant share of Mobility and Corporate Payments operations. The company had 21.6 million SaaS accounts on platform as of Q4 2025.

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