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WBIWaterBridge Infrastructure LLCSell5.5·$32.16+2.78%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

WaterBridge Infrastructure has posted extraordinary revenue growth of 105% year-over-year with strong positive momentum and a Piotroski F-Score of 8 out of 9, but has missed earnings estimates in both of its last 2 reported quarters and the stock trades more than 12% above analyst price targets.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Revenue Growth TrajectoryStable
  • Earnings Miss Both Recent QuartersStable
  • Strong Momentum Volume AccumulationStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

WaterBridge Infrastructure LLC (WBI) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

Sell if holding. At $32.16, A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Delaware Basin; Concentration risk — Customer: top five customers (51.0%).

WaterBridge Infrastructure is the largest integrated produced-water infrastructure company in the U.S., gathering, transporting, and disposing of produced water for oil and gas E&P companies under long-term contracts, mainly in the Delaware Basin of West Texas and New Mexico. As... Read more

$32.16+10.4% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#15 of 37 Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield0.32%Payout73.99%
Stop $29.91Target $35.49(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$32.50+1.1%8 analysts
$35.49our TP
$32.16price
$32.50mean
$26
$38

Sell if holding. At $32.16, A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Delaware Basin; Concentration risk — Customer: top five customers (51.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 49, MACD bullish. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, news events none recent, earnings proximity 31d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About WaterBridge Infrastructure LLC

About WaterBridge Infrastructure LLC

WaterBridge Infrastructure operates the largest produced-water infrastructure network in the United States, with 2,500 miles of pipeline and 201 water handling facilities delivering 4.7 million barrels per day of capacity across roughly 2.4 million acres dedicated under long-term contracts. The Delaware Basin of West Texas and New Mexico is the company's largest operating region, accounting for a majority of 2025 revenue, alongside smaller positions in the Eagle Ford and Arkoma basins.

WaterBridge earns revenue primarily from fixed per-barrel fees for gathering, transporting, treating, and disposing of produced water under long-term contracts — 71% with an initial term of at least 15 years and a weighted-average remaining life of 10.4 years — supplemented by fee escalators tied to the Consumer Price Index and minimum-volume commitments that underwrite return thresholds on new infrastructure. Devon Energy, an equity holder that contributed acreage and facilities in a 2023 strategic partnership, was WaterBridge's largest customer in 2025 at approximately $98 million, or 19%, of water-related revenue, and Devon along with four other top customers — Permian Resources, bpx energy, Mewbourne Oil, and EOG Resources — together represented approximately 51% of total water-related revenue. The company's synergistic relationship with affiliate LandBridge, which shares WaterBridge's sponsor Five Point and management team, provides preferential access to underutilized pore space needed for produced-water disposal capacity in and around the Delaware Basin.

Show full overview

WaterBridge's own risk disclosure frames the Delaware Basin dependence directly: because a majority of revenue comes from that single region, the company is 'vulnerable to risks associated with geographic concentration generally and the Delaware Basin specifically,' including regional supply-and-demand swings, weather, and recent producer consolidation activity that could reduce customers' capital spending in the basin. That concentration compounds the company's reliance on a small number of large E&P customers, since Devon alone represents roughly a fifth of water-related revenue and any shift in its drilling pace would disproportionately affect volumes across WaterBridge's network.

See also: Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

From WaterBridge Infrastructure LLC's most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202631d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Delaware Basin
Concentration risk — Customer: top five customers (51.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)447.0
P/E (Fwd)27.8
Mkt Cap$1.5B
EV/EBITDA14.4
Profit Mgn-0.4%
ROE
Rev Growth105.3%
Beta
Dividend0.32%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.80neutral
IV74%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicDelaware Basin
    10-K Item 1A: 'The Delaware Basin of Texas and New Mexico is presently our largest operating region, accounting for a majority of our revenue for the year ended December 31, 2025.'
  • LOWCustomerDevon19%
    10-K Item 1: 'Devon was one of our largest customers by volume and accounted for approximately $98 million of our water-related revenues, which represented approximately 19% of our total water-related revenues for the year.'
  • HIGHCustomertop five customers51%
    10-K Item 1: 'our top five customers by revenue consisted of Devon, Permian Resources Corporation, bpx energy, Mewbourne Oil Company and EOG Resources, Inc, which collectively represented approximately 51% of our total water-related revenue for the year.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-14Item 5.02LOW
    Board appointed Valerie Chase as an independent director and Chair of the Audit Committee, replacing Kara Goodloe Harling on that committee (Goodloe Harling remains a Board member). Routine board appointment, not a departure.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
1.7
Quality Rank
1.7
Growth Rank
9.4
Industry growth leader

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
5.0
Erm
6.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/2MDividend: 32.0%
GatesA.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEINSIDER 39.71%=EXTREMEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.5>=5.5NEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 31d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
49 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $27.50Resistance $36.21

Price Targets

$30
$35
A.Upside+10.4%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-12.1% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! Insider activity: 39.71%=extreme

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (31d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WBI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $32.16, A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Delaware Basin; Concentration risk — Customer: top five customers (51.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 49, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $29.91. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WBI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $35.49 (+10.4% upside). Prior stop was $29.91. Stop-loss: $29.91.

What are the risks of investing in WBI?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Delaware Basin; Concentration risk — Customer: top five customers (51.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is WBI overvalued or undervalued?

WaterBridge Infrastructure LLC trades at a P/E of 447.0 (forward 27.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about WBI?

13 analysts cover WBI with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $33.

What does WaterBridge Infrastructure LLC do?WaterBridge Infrastructure is the largest integrated produced-water infrastructure company in the U.S., gathering,...

WaterBridge Infrastructure is the largest integrated produced-water infrastructure company in the U.S., gathering, transporting, and disposing of produced water for oil and gas E&P companies under long-term contracts, mainly in the Delaware Basin of West Texas and New Mexico. As of December 31, 2025 it operated about 2,500 miles of pipeline and 201 water handling facilities with 4.7 million bpd of capacity across 2.4 million dedicated acres.

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