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Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. - (WBD) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellHigh Confidence

Communication Services · Entertainment

Earnings in 6 days (2026-05-06). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $27.11: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.8/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 3.12; Below-average business quality.

For convenience, the terms "Warner Bros. Discovery", "WBD", the "Company," "we," "us" or "our" are used in this Annual Report on Form 10-K to refer to both Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. and collectively to Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. and one or more of its consolidated... Read more

$27.11-0.2% A.UpsideScore 3.8/10#27 of 27 Entertainment
Stop $26.62Target $27.04(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$29.60+9.2%13 analysts
$27.04our TP
$27.11price
$29.60mean
$26
$31

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $27.11: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.8/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 3.12; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 41 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 3.8/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-5.0% upside)
Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)93.3
P/E (Fwd)-1545.7
Mkt Cap$67.8B
EV/EBITDA13.7
Profit Mgn1.9%
ROE2.1%
Rev Growth-5.7%
Beta1.64
DividendNone
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C3.12bearish
IV58%elevated
Max Pain$15-44.7% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-16Item 5.02MEDIUM
    As previously disclosed in a Current Report on Form 8-K filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on February 27, 2026, Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-02-27Item 1.02MEDIUM
    Delaware | | 35-2333914 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation) | | (IRS Employer Identification No.) 230 Park Avenue South New York, New York 10003 (Address of principal executive offices, including zip code) 212-548-5555 (Registrant's telephone number, including area code) (Former name o...
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -5.7% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
1.1
Declining revenue: -6%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.4
Quality Rank
3.0
Value Rank
3.7

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
3.5
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings in 6 days

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.7
Roa
0.7
Net Margin
1.0
Operating Margin
3.0
Current Ratio
4.2
Gross Margin
4.9
Moat
5.0
Piotroski F
5.6
Fcf Quality
10.0
Excellent cash conversion: 1000% FCF/NINo competitive moat
GatesA.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dMomentum 4.6<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.6>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
41 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $26.60Resistance $27.59

Price Targets

$27
$27
A.Upside-0.3%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-5.0% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-06 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WBD stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $27.11: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.8/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 3.12; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 41 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $26.62. Score 3.8/10, high confidence.

What is the WBD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $27.04 (-0.2% upside). Prior stop was $26.62. Stop-loss: $26.62.

What are the risks of investing in WBD?

Target reached (-5.0% upside); Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0).

Is WBD overvalued or undervalued?

Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. - trades at a P/E of 93.3 (forward -1545.7). TrendMatrix value score: 4.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about WBD?

26 analysts cover WBD with a consensus score of 3.2/5. Average price target: $30.

What does Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. - do?For convenience, the terms "Warner Bros. Discovery", "WBD", the "Company," "we," "us" or "our" are used in this Annual...

For convenience, the terms "Warner Bros. Discovery", "WBD", the "Company," "we," "us" or "our" are used in this Annual Report on Form 10-K to refer to both Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. and collectively to Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. and one or more of its consolidated subsidiaries, unless the context otherwise requires.

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