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SiriusXM Holdings Inc. (SIRI) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Entertainment

Earnings in 0 days (2026-04-30). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $25.43. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $26.71. Engine's entry $25.43 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

The terms "Sirius XM Holdings," "the Company," "us," "we" and "our" as used herein and unless otherwise stated or indicated by context, refer to Sirius XM Holdings Inc. and its subsidiaries. "SiriusXM" refers to Sirius XM Holdings' wholly owned subsidiaries, Sirius XM Inc.,... Read more

$26.71+11.2% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#19 of 27 Entertainment
Entry $25.43(Default 5pct Sticky)Stop $23.15Target $28.19(resistance)A.R:R -1.1:1Setup A.R:R 1.6:1
Analyst target$26.31-1.5%13 analysts
$28.19our TP
$26.71price
$26.31mean
$18
$46

Wait for pullback to $25.43. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $26.71. Engine's entry $25.43 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 3/6 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.0
P/E (Fwd)7.7
Mkt Cap$9.0B
EV/EBITDA7.7
Profit Mgn9.4%
ROE7.1%
Rev Growth0.2%
Beta0.86
Dividend4.04%
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.04bullish
IV64%elevated
Max Pain$15-43.8% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-01-29Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Richard N. Baer, our Executive Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary, has informed us that he intends to retire in March. Mr. Baer will continue serving in his current role until February 8, 2026. After that date, Mr.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
2.5
GatesMomentum 4.4<4.5A.R:R -1.1=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
66 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $23.16Resistance $28.77

Price Targets

$23
$25
$28
A.Upside+5.5%
A.R:R-1.1:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-14.3% upside)
! Earnings in 0 days - binary event risk
! Momentum score 4.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-30 (0d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SIRI stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $25.43. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $26.71. Engine's entry $25.43 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $28.19 (+5.5%), stop $23.15 (−15.4%), Setup A.R:R 1.6:1. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SIRI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $28.19 (+11.2% upside). Target $28.19 (+5.5%), stop $23.15 (−15.4%), Setup A.R:R 1.6:1. Stop-loss: $23.15.

What are the risks of investing in SIRI?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is SIRI overvalued or undervalued?

SiriusXM Holdings Inc. trades at a P/E of 12.0 (forward 7.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about SIRI?

21 analysts cover SIRI with a consensus score of 2.8/5. Average price target: $26.

What does SiriusXM Holdings Inc. do?The terms "Sirius XM Holdings," "the Company," "us," "we" and "our" as used herein and unless otherwise stated or...

The terms "Sirius XM Holdings," "the Company," "us," "we" and "our" as used herein and unless otherwise stated or indicated by context, refer to Sirius XM Holdings Inc. and its subsidiaries. "SiriusXM" refers to Sirius XM Holdings' wholly owned subsidiaries, Sirius XM Inc., Sirius XM Radio LLC and its subsidiaries, other than Pandora. "Pandora" refers to SiriusXM's wholly owned subsidiary Pandora Media, LLC and its subsidiaries.

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