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SiriusXM Holdings Inc. (SIRI) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Entertainment

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $26.02 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2).

The terms "Sirius XM Holdings," "the Company," "us," "we" and "our" as used herein and unless otherwise stated or indicated by context, refer to Sirius XM Holdings Inc. and its subsidiaries. "SiriusXM" refers to Sirius XM Holdings' wholly owned subsidiaries, Sirius XM Inc.,... Read more

$26.02+7.0% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#10 of 28 Entertainment
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield11.51%
IncomeYield4.18%(5y avg 2.78%)Payout45.76%sustainable
Stop $24.43Target $27.91(resistance)A.R:R -1.0:1
Analyst target$28.08+7.9%13 analysts
$27.91our TP
$26.02price
$28.08mean
$18
$46

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $26.02 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2). Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 80d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — SiriusXM Holdings Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2)
Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)10.9
P/E (Fwd)7.6
Mkt Cap$8.7B
EV/EBITDA7.5
Profit Mgn9.9%
ROE7.4%
Rev Growth1.1%
Beta0.94
Dividend4.18%
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.13bearish
IV48%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesMomentum 4.2<4.5A.R:R -1.0=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 80d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
51 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $24.84Resistance $28.48

Price Targets

$24
$28
A.Upside+7.3%
A.R:R-1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-6.4% upside)
! Momentum score 4.2/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (80d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SIRI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $26.02 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2). Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $24.43. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SIRI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $27.91 (+7.0% upside). Prior stop was $24.43. Stop-loss: $24.43.

What are the risks of investing in SIRI?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2); Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8.

Is SIRI overvalued or undervalued?

SiriusXM Holdings Inc. trades at a P/E of 10.9 (forward 7.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SIRI?

21 analysts cover SIRI with a consensus score of 2.9/5. Average price target: $28.

What does SiriusXM Holdings Inc. do?The terms "Sirius XM Holdings," "the Company," "us," "we" and "our" as used herein and unless otherwise stated or...

The terms "Sirius XM Holdings," "the Company," "us," "we" and "our" as used herein and unless otherwise stated or indicated by context, refer to Sirius XM Holdings Inc. and its subsidiaries. "SiriusXM" refers to Sirius XM Holdings' wholly owned subsidiaries, Sirius XM Inc., Sirius XM Radio LLC and its subsidiaries, other than Pandora. "Pandora" refers to SiriusXM's wholly owned subsidiary Pandora Media, LLC and its subsidiaries.

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