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VLGEAVillage Super Market, Inc.Sell5.1·$43.95
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Village Super Market screens as statistically cheap but fails the quality floor, with weak margins, inconsistent earnings, and insider selling offsetting supportive price momentum - a value name whose re-rating depends on margin stabilization rather than growth.

Thesis pillars

  • Positive Price Momentum Despite Weak Fundamentals↑Improving
  • Quality Score Below Investment Floor↑Improving
  • Attractive Relative Valuation→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Village Super Market, Inc. (VLGEA) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5ValueQualityModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Grocery Stores

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $43.95: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Village Super Market operates 34 ShopRite and Fairway supermarkets in New Jersey, New York, Maryland and Pennsylvania plus three Gourmet Garage specialty markets in New York City. It is the second largest member of the Wakefern Food Corporation retailer-owned cooperative.

$43.95+3.8% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#5 of 10 Grocery Stores
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield6.46%
IncomeYield2.28%(5y avg 3.39%)Payout28.25%sustainable
Stop $41.46Target $45.61(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $43.95: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 48d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Village Super Market, Inc.

About Village Super Market, Inc.

Village Super Market generated $2,320,690 thousand in sales for fiscal 2025 (ended July 26, 2025), up from $2,236,566 thousand a year earlier, operating 34 ShopRite and Fairway supermarkets — 26 in New Jersey, 6 in New York, and one each in Maryland and Pennsylvania — plus three Gourmet Garage specialty markets in New York City. Village is the second-largest member of Wakefern Food Corporation, the retailer-owned cooperative that owns the ShopRite, Fairway, and Gourmet Garage names and supplies purchasing, distribution, and marketing scale to its members.

Village earns revenue from grocery, meat, produce, dairy, deli, and non-food categories sold under national brands and Wakefern's own-label lines — Wholesome Pantry, Bowl & Basket, and Paperbird — supplemented by pharmacy and general merchandise. Same-store sales grew 2.1% in fiscal 2025, aided by digital sales growth, recently remodeled stores, higher pharmacy sales, and inflation in the meat and dairy departments, while gross margin slipped to 28.57% of sales from 28.70% on unfavorable product mix and higher promotional spending, partly offset by higher patronage dividends and rebates from Wakefern and lower Wakefern warehouse assessment charges. Village operates a centralized commissary supplying deli, bakery, and prepared foods to all stores, and generated $1,524 in sales per average square foot of selling space in fiscal 2025, up from $1,491 the prior year.

Show full overview

Village's single most consequential dependency is not a customer but its cooperative supplier: Wakefern Food Corporation, which owns the ShopRite, Fairway, and Gourmet Garage names Village operates under, closed its acquisition of Morton Williams Supermarkets on October 1, 2025, despite Village's May 2025 lawsuit arguing the deal violates Wakefern's governing documents by letting Wakefern compete directly with member-owners like Village. A separate trademark and agreement dispute that arose between the parties in August 2025 has already delayed approval of some of Village's planned new stores, and Wakefern has indicated it could take further action if the dispute is not resolved — a live conflict with the entity that supplies Village's core purchasing, distribution, and brand rights.

See also: Consumer Defensive · Grocery Stores

From Village Super Market, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted October 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-13

Recent Developments — Village Super Market, Inc.

Generated 2026-10-13T11:47:16Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Dec 1, 202648d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: New Jersey supermarkets
Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 2.0), Material insider selling (4 sells, 0.07% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.4
P/E (Fwd)—
Mkt Cap$651M
EV/EBITDA8.3
Profit Mgn2.2%
ROE10.3%
Rev Growth1.7%
Beta0.43
Dividend2.28%
Rating analysts—

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicNew Jersey supermarkets
    10-K Item 1: 'operates a chain of 34 supermarkets in New Jersey (26), New York (6), Maryland (1) and Pennsylvania (1)'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
2.9

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
5.0
Dividend Safety
6.8
Earnings concerns: 1B/3M

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Operating Margin
1.1
Net Margin
1.1
Gross Margin
1.6
Roa
2.6
Roe
3.4
Current Ratio
4.4
Moat
4.5
Fcf Quality
6.0
Piotroski F
6.7
No competitive moat
GatesA.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Momentum 5.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 48d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
43 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $42.74Resistance $46.54

Price Targets

$41
$46
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 2.0), Material insider selling (4 sells, 0.07% of cap)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-12-01 (48d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is VLGEA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $43.95: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $41.46. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the VLGEA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $45.61 (+3.8% upside). Prior stop was $41.46. Stop-loss: $41.46.

What are the risks of investing in VLGEA?

Concentration risk — Geographic: New Jersey supermarkets; Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 2.0), Material insider selling (4 sells, 0.07% of cap).

Is VLGEA overvalued or undervalued?

Village Super Market, Inc. trades at a P/E of 12.4 (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 8.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

0
What does Village Super Market, Inc. do?Village Super Market operates 34 ShopRite and Fairway supermarkets in New Jersey, New York, Maryland and Pennsylvania...

Village Super Market operates 34 ShopRite and Fairway supermarkets in New Jersey, New York, Maryland and Pennsylvania plus three Gourmet Garage specialty markets in New York City. It is the second largest member of the Wakefern Food Corporation retailer-owned cooperative.

Related stocks: YSWY (Yesway, Inc.) · NGVC (Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cott) · SFM (Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc.) · IMKTA (Ingles Markets, Incorporated) · WMK (Weis Markets, Inc.)
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