Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. (SFM) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Consumer Defensive · Grocery Stores
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $85.05 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: KeHE (52.0%).
Sprouts Farmers Market operates 477 specialty natural and organic grocery stores in 24 states as of December 28, 2025, with a farmer's market format emphasizing fresh produce at the center of the store. Revenue is earned in-store and via delivery; Sprouts Brand products... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $85.05 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: KeHE (52.0%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 73. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 73d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent Developments — Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc.
Latest news
- Sprouts Farmers Market (NASDAQ:SFM) Releases Q2 2026 Earnings Guidance - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- (SFM) Sprouts Farmers Market Expects Q2 EPS Range $1.32-$1.36, vs. FactSet Est of $1.35 - marketscreener.com — marketscreener.com neutral
- Earnings Flash (SFM) Sprouts Farmers Market Posts Q1 EPS $1.71, vs. FactSet Est of $1.68 - marketscreener.com — marketscreener.com positive
- Sprouts Farmers Market (NASDAQ:SFM) Updates FY 2026 Earnings Guidance - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- Sprouts (NASDAQ:SFM) Reports Q1 CY2026 In Line With Expectations - StockStory — StockStory neutral
Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMGeographicCalifornia33%10-K Item 1A: 'we operated 156 stores in California, making California our largest market representing 33% of our total stores in fiscal 2025'
- HIGHSupplierKeHE52%10-K Item 1: 'KeHE Distributors, LLC...is our primary supplier of dry grocery and frozen food products, accounting for approximately 52%...of our total purchases in fiscal 2025, 2024 and 2023, respectively.'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-02-19Item 5.02MEDIUMCMO J. Scott Neal retired effective immediately February 16, 2026. Don Clark appointed as new Chief Merchandising Officer on February 16, 2026. Neal to remain in advisory capacity through March 2026 to assist with transition.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $85.05 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: KeHE (52.0%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 73. Prior stop was $79.52. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $89.70 (+4.9% upside). Prior stop was $79.52. Stop-loss: $79.52.
Concentration risk — Supplier: KeHE (52.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5.
Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. trades at a P/E of 16.4 (forward 14.4). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Sell.
22 analysts cover SFM with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $92.
What does Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. do?Sprouts Farmers Market operates 477 specialty natural and organic grocery stores in 24 states as of December 28, 2025,...
Sprouts Farmers Market operates 477 specialty natural and organic grocery stores in 24 states as of December 28, 2025, with a farmer's market format emphasizing fresh produce at the center of the store. Revenue is earned in-store and via delivery; Sprouts Brand products represented over 25% of 2025 revenue, with KeHE Distributors supplying approximately 52% of total purchases.