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IMKTAIngles Markets, IncorporatedSell5.1·$84.11
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Ingles Markets offers an attractively valued, cash-generative grocery franchise with a strong earnings beat history, but soft revenue growth and an unfavorable risk/reward setup — with only about 5% headroom to the price target — leave the current entry with limited appeal.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Forward Valuation→Stable
  • Soft Revenue Growth Ceiling↓Deteriorating
  • Superior Free Cash Conversion→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Ingles Markets, Incorporated (IMKTA) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Grocery Stores

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $84.11: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3); Weak growth.

Ingles Markets, Incorporated, together with its subsidiaries, operates a chain of supermarkets in the United States. The company offers food products, such as grocery, meat, and dairy products, produce, frozen food, and other perishables; and non-food products, which include... Read more

$84.11+15.0% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#3 of 10 Grocery Stores
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield8.43%
IncomeYield0.79%(5y avg 0.86%)Payout12.07%sustainable
Stop $81.21Target $96.73(default +15%)A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $84.11: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3); Weak growth. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 60d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-25
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 25, 202660d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Consumer Defensive): +0.8
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3)
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.2
P/E (Fwd)17.9
Mkt Cap$1.6B
EV/EBITDA6.4
Profit Mgn1.9%
ROE6.3%
Rev Growth1.6%
Beta0.57
Dividend0.79%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

IV37%normal

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-08-04Item 5.02MEDIUM
    On July 29, 2026, Brenda S. Tudor, a member of the Board of Directors (the "Board") of Ingles Markets, Incorporated, a North Carolina corporation (the "Company"), notified the Company of her resignation from the Board and as a member of all committees thereof on which she serves. Ms.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
1.7
Revenue Growth
2.9

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
1.1
Support Resistance
1.5
52w Position
7.6
GatesA.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 60d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
56 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $80.17Resistance $84.81

Price Targets

$81
$97
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Analyst Consensus

Analysts9
Consensus4.2/5
Avg Target—

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-25 (60d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IMKTA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $84.11: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3); Weak growth. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $81.21. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the IMKTA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $96.73 (+15.0% upside). Prior stop was $81.21. Stop-loss: $81.21.

What are the risks of investing in IMKTA?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3); Weak growth.

Is IMKTA overvalued or undervalued?

Ingles Markets, Incorporated trades at a P/E of 15.2 (forward 17.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about IMKTA?

9 analysts cover IMKTA with a consensus score of 4.2/5.

What does Ingles Markets, Incorporated do?Ingles Markets, Incorporated, together with its subsidiaries, operates a chain of supermarkets in the United States....

Ingles Markets, Incorporated, together with its subsidiaries, operates a chain of supermarkets in the United States. The company offers food products, such as grocery, meat, and dairy products, produce, frozen food, and other perishables; and non-food products, which include fuel centers, pharmacies, health and beauty care products, and general merchandise, as well as private label items, organic, and locally sourced items. It also owns and operates a milk processing and packaging plant that supplies organic milk, fruit juices, and bottled water products to other retailers, food service distributors, and grocery warehouses. In addition, the company provides home meal replacement items, delicatessens, bakeries, floral departments, and greeting cards, as well as broad selections of local organic, beverage, and health-related items. It operates under the Ingles and Sav-Mor brand names. Ingles Markets, Incorporated was founded in 1963 and is headquartered in Asheville, North Carolina.

Related stocks: YSWY (Yesway, Inc.) · NGVC (Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cott) · WMK (Weis Markets, Inc.) · SFM (Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc.) · VLGEA (Village Super Market, Inc.)
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