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Ingles Markets, Incorporated (IMKTA) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Grocery Stores

Earnings in 7 days (2026-05-07). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $90.65 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Earnings in 7 days (event risk); Weak overall score: 4.9/10.

Ingles Markets, Incorporated, together with its subsidiaries, operates a chain of supermarkets in the United States. The company offers food products, such as grocery, meat, and dairy products, produce, frozen food, and other perishables; and non-food products, which include... Read more

$90.65+4.5% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#4 of 5 Grocery Stores
Stop $85.11Target $93.71(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $90.65 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Earnings in 7 days (event risk); Weak overall score: 4.9/10. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Earnings in 7 days (event risk)
Weak overall score: 4.9/10
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.8
P/E (Fwd)18.9
Mkt Cap$1.7B
EV/EBITDA8.8
Profit Mgn1.8%
ROE5.9%
Rev Growth3.4%
Beta0.65
Dividend0.74%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C1.27bearish
IV51%elevated
Max Pain$55-39.3% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
6.0
Rsi
7.8
Uptrend pullback (RSI 37) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.4
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
2.0
Growth Rank
2.0
Value Rank
5.0
GatesMomentum 3.0<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dA.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
37 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $86.93Resistance $95.62

Price Targets

$85
$94
A.Upside+3.4%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 3.0/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:7d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-07 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IMKTA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $90.65 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Earnings in 7 days (event risk); Weak overall score: 4.9/10. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $85.11. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the IMKTA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $93.71 (+4.5% upside). Prior stop was $85.11. Stop-loss: $85.11.

What are the risks of investing in IMKTA?

Earnings in 7 days (event risk); Weak overall score: 4.9/10; Weak growth.

Is IMKTA overvalued or undervalued?

Ingles Markets, Incorporated trades at a P/E of 17.8 (forward 18.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about IMKTA?

9 analysts cover IMKTA with a consensus score of 4.2/5.

What does Ingles Markets, Incorporated do?Ingles Markets, Incorporated, together with its subsidiaries, operates a chain of supermarkets in the United States....

Ingles Markets, Incorporated, together with its subsidiaries, operates a chain of supermarkets in the United States. The company offers food products, such as grocery, meat, and dairy products, produce, frozen food, and other perishables; and non-food products, which include fuel centers, pharmacies, health and beauty care products, and general merchandise, as well as private label items, organic, and locally sourced items. It also owns and operates a milk processing and packaging plant that supplies organic milk, fruit juices, and bottled water products to other retailers, food service distributors, and grocery warehouses. In addition, the company provides home meal replacement items, delicatessens, bakeries, floral departments, and greeting cards, as well as broad selections of local organic, beverage, and health-related items. It operates under the Ingles and Sav-Mor brand names. Ingles Markets, Incorporated was founded in 1963 and is headquartered in Asheville, North Carolina.

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