Skip to main content
IMKTAIngles Markets, IncorporatedSell5.2·$86.11
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Ingles Markets offers an attractively valued, cash-generative grocery franchise with a strong earnings beat history, but soft revenue growth and an unfavorable risk/reward setup — with only about 5% headroom to the price target — leave the current entry with limited appeal.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Forward Valuation→Stable
  • Soft Revenue Growth Ceiling→Stable
  • Superior Free Cash Conversion→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Nov 26, 2025· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Ingles Markets, Incorporated (IMKTA) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Grocery Stores

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $86.11: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3); Weak growth.

Ingles Markets, Incorporated, together with its subsidiaries, operates a chain of supermarkets in the United States. The company offers food products, such as grocery, meat, and dairy products, produce, frozen food, and other perishables; and non-food products, which include... Read more

$86.11+15.0% Upside to targetScore 5.2/10#3 of 10 Grocery Stores
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield8.23%
IncomeYield0.77%(5y avg 0.83%)Payout12.07%sustainable
Stop $81.55Default target $99.03A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $86.11: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3); Weak growth. Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, earnings proximity 19d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 3, 2026

Recent Developments — Ingles Markets, Incorporated

Latest item Nov 3, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:49:10Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 25, 202619d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Consumer Defensive): +0.8
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3)
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.7
P/E (Fwd)18.3
Mkt Cap$1.6B
EV/EBITDA6.6
Profit Mgn1.9%
ROE6.3%
Rev Growth1.6%
Beta0.58
Dividend0.77%
Analysts with ratings9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.10bullish
IV43%normal

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-09-14Item 5.02MEDIUM
    On September 8, 2026, the Board of Directors (the "Board") of Ingles Markets, Incorporated, a North Carolina corporation (the "Company"), elected Kevin Hefner, 53, as a director to fill the vacancy on the Board created by the previously reported departure of Brenda S. Tudor. Ms.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-08-04Item 5.02MEDIUM
    On July 29, 2026, Brenda S. Tudor, a member of the Board of Directors (the "Board") of Ingles Markets, Incorporated, a North Carolina corporation (the "Company"), notified the Company of her resignation from the Board and as a member of all committees thereof on which she serves. Ms.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
1.7
Revenue Growth
2.9
GatesMomentum 5.2<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.2>=4.5Insider activity: OKEARNINGS PROXIMITY 19d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
48 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $83.00Resistance $89.00

Price Targets

$82
$99
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Analyst Consensus

Analysts with ratings9
Consensus4.2/5
Avg Target—

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-25 (19d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IMKTA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $86.11: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3); Weak growth. Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $81.55. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the IMKTA stock price target?

Default target: $99.03 (+15.0% upside). Prior stop was $81.55. Stop-loss: $81.55.

What are the risks of investing in IMKTA?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3); Weak growth.

Is IMKTA overvalued or undervalued?

Ingles Markets, Incorporated trades at a P/E of 15.7 (forward 18.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about IMKTA?

9 analysts rate IMKTA, with a consensus score of 4.2/5.

What does Ingles Markets, Incorporated do?Ingles Markets, Incorporated, together with its subsidiaries, operates a chain of supermarkets in the United States....

Ingles Markets, Incorporated, together with its subsidiaries, operates a chain of supermarkets in the United States. The company offers food products, such as grocery, meat, and dairy products, produce, frozen food, and other perishables; and non-food products, which include fuel centers, pharmacies, health and beauty care products, and general merchandise, as well as private label items, organic, and locally sourced items. It also owns and operates a milk processing and packaging plant that supplies organic milk, fruit juices, and bottled water products to other retailers, food service distributors, and grocery warehouses. In addition, the company provides home meal replacement items, delicatessens, bakeries, floral departments, and greeting cards, as well as broad selections of local organic, beverage, and health-related items. It operates under the Ingles and Sav-Mor brand names. Ingles Markets, Incorporated was founded in 1963 and is headquartered in Asheville, North Carolina.

Related stocks: YSWY (Yesway, Inc.) · NGVC (Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cott) · VLGEA (Village Super Market, Inc.) · WMK (Weis Markets, Inc.) · SFM (Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc.)
Home › Stocks › IMKTA

Latest news

Latest News

TradingKey99d ago
TradingKey99d ago
TradingKey99d ago
TradingKey99d ago
MSN183d ago
TradingView92d ago
MarketBeat92d ago
TradingView100d ago
TipRanks184d ago
MarketBeat184d ago
TipRanks93d agoLeadership Change
Marketscreener.com189d ago
KING5.com182d agoEarnings
MarketBeat187d agoAnalyst
TradingKey101d ago
MarketBeat97d ago
Perishable News188d ago
Fiscal.ai2d agoProduct
Benzinga48d ago
Benzinga91d agoEarnings