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Weis Markets, Inc. (WMK) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Grocery Stores

Earnings in 6 days (2026-05-06). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $68.73: Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10. Specifically: High short interest: 16%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

The Company is engaged principally in the retail sale of food in Pennsylvania and surrounding states. There was no material change in the nature of the Company's business during fiscal 2025. The Company's stock has been traded on the New York Stock Exchange since 1965 under the... Read more

$68.73+4.3% A.UpsideScore 4.5/10#5 of 5 Grocery Stores
Stop $65.46Target $71.70(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $68.73: Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10. Specifically: High short interest: 16%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.0
P/E (Fwd)
Mkt Cap$1.7B
EV/EBITDA7.0
Profit Mgn1.9%
ROE6.7%
Rev Growth5.1%
Beta0.43
Dividend1.96%
Rating analysts

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

IV63%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-20Item 4.02HIGH
    Non-Reliance on Previously Issued Financial Statements or a Related Audit Report or Completed Interim Review.** ​ On February 19, 2026, the Audit Committee of the Board of Directors of Weis Markets, Inc.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-02-10Item 5.02MEDIUM
    ● | Participation in any annual or long-term bonus or incentive plans maintained by the Company for its senior executives; ---|---|--- | ● | A supplemental long-term cash incentive under the Company's Chief Executive Officer Incentive Award Plan (the "Plan"), effective January 1, 2026; ---|---|--...
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Rsi
3.5
Ma Position
4.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA (recent, shallow — too early to call)

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
1.4
Revenue Growth
3.8

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Fcf Quality
0.0
Net Margin
0.9
Gross Margin
1.1
Operating Margin
1.1
Roe
2.2
Roa
2.3
Moat
5.0
Current Ratio
6.8
Piotroski F
7.8
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -22% FCF/NINo competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9
GatesMomentum 1.7<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dA.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
38 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $67.48Resistance $73.16

Price Targets

$65
$72
A.Upside+4.3%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 1.7/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-06 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WMK stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $68.73: Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10. Specifically: High short interest: 16%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $65.46. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WMK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $71.70 (+4.3% upside). Prior stop was $65.46. Stop-loss: $65.46.

What are the risks of investing in WMK?

Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0).

Is WMK overvalued or undervalued?

Weis Markets, Inc. trades at a P/E of 19.0 (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 8.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

0
What does Weis Markets, Inc. do?The Company is engaged principally in the retail sale of food in Pennsylvania and surrounding states. There was no...

The Company is engaged principally in the retail sale of food in Pennsylvania and surrounding states. There was no material change in the nature of the Company's business during fiscal 2025. The Company's stock has been traded on the New York Stock Exchange since 1965 under the symbol "WMK." The Weis family currently owns approximately 61% of the outstanding shares. Jonathan H. Weis serves as Chairman of the Board of Directors, President and Chief Executive Officer.

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