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U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc. (USPH) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Care Facilities

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $61.97, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Market cap $0.94B below $1B minimum.

U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates and manages outpatient physical therapy clinics. It operates through two segments, Physical Therapy Operations and Industrial Injury Prevention Services. The company provides pre-and post-operative care and... Read more

$61.97+31.5% A.UpsideScore 4.4/10#27 of 27 Medical Care Facilities
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield4.59%
IncomeYield2.95%(5y avg 1.78%)Payout362.00%at-risk
Stop $57.63Target $81.49(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.4:1
Analyst target$93.67+51.1%6 analysts
$81.49our TP
$61.97price
$93.67mean
$100

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $61.97, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Market cap $0.94B below $1B minimum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 37, MACD bearish. Market cap $0.94B below $1B minimum. Not in investable universe. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 77d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:22Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Market cap $0.94B below $1B minimum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)123.2
P/E (Fwd)18.1
Mkt Cap$938M
EV/EBITDA15.5
Profit Mgn4.4%
ROE6.8%
Rev Growth7.9%
Beta1.20
Dividend2.95%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C15.00bearish
IV51%elevated
Max Pain$125+101.7% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
1.3
Ma Position
1.5
Rsi
3.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope flat

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
1.7
Quality Rank
3.3
Growth Rank
5.9
GatesMomentum 1.5<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 2.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 77d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
37 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $58.19Resistance $76.71

Price Targets

$58
$81
A.Upside+31.5%
A.R:R2.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Market cap $0.94B below $1B minimum
! Momentum score 1.5/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (77d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is USPH stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $61.97, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Market cap $0.94B below $1B minimum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 37, MACD bearish. Market cap $0.94B below $1B minimum. Not in investable universe. Target $81.49 (+31.5%), stop $57.63 (−7.5%), A.R:R 2.4:1. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the USPH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $81.49 (+31.5% upside). Target $81.49 (+31.5%), stop $57.63 (−7.5%), A.R:R 2.4:1. Stop-loss: $57.63.

What are the risks of investing in USPH?

Market cap $0.94B below $1B minimum.

Is USPH overvalued or undervalued?

U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc. trades at a P/E of 123.2 (forward 18.1). TrendMatrix value score: 5.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about USPH?

13 analysts cover USPH with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $94.

What does U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc. do?U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates and manages outpatient physical therapy clinics....

U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates and manages outpatient physical therapy clinics. It operates through two segments, Physical Therapy Operations and Industrial Injury Prevention Services. The company provides pre-and post-operative care and treatment for orthopedic-related disorders, sports-related injuries, preventative care, rehabilitation of injured workers, and neurological-related injuries. It offers industrial injury prevention services, including onsite injury prevention and rehabilitation, performance optimization, post-offer employment testing, functional capacity evaluations, and ergonomic assessments through physical therapists and specialized certified athletic trainers for Fortune 500 companies, and other clients comprising insurers and their contractors. U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc. was founded in 1990 and is based in Houston, Texas.

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