Value
6.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 4.7 |
| P/S | 7.9 |
| EV/EBITDA | 5.5 |
| Fwd P/E | 8.0 |
| PEG | 10.0 |
| Analyst target | 4.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 15.0x
- ▸PEG: 0.16
USAC · Why this verdict
Why USA Compression Partners (USAC) is rated BUY WAIT
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictBUY WAIT
Overall score6.5/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
8.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 10.0 |
| ROA | 4.4 |
| Gross margin | 9.3 |
| Op margin | 10.0 |
| Net margin | 6.0 |
| Current ratio | 5.6 |
| FCF quality | 10.0 |
| Moat | 7.5 |
| Rule of 40 | 9.3 |
| Piotroski F | 8.9 |
- ▸Excellent ROE: 85%
- ▸Excellent cash conversion: 198% FCF/NI
- ▸Wide economic moat
- ▸Compounder quality: strong returns + growth
Growth
10.0/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 10.0 |
| EPS growth | 10.0 |
- ▸Strong growth: 35% YoY
Momentum
3.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 8.5 |
| MACD | 0.0 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 4.0 |
| Volume | 3.4 |
- ▸Uptrend pullback (RSI 30) - buy opportunity
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Above 200-day MA
Sentiment
5.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| LLM sentiment | 5.5 |
| Analyst rating | 5.0 |
| Price target | 6.9 |
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.0 |
- ▸No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
5.1/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 3.4 |
| quality rank | 8.6 |
| growth rank | 8.3 |
- ▸Superior ROE vs peers
- ▸Industry growth leader
Technical
8.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 10.0 |
| support resistance | 9.7 |
| 52w position | 7.1 |
Risk (lower is worse)
3.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 8.3 |
| days to cover | 0.0 |
| volatility | 3.4 |
| put call | 0.0 |
| implied vol | 4.0 |
| max pain risk | 3.0 |
| beta | 10.0 |
| debt equity | 0.0 |
- ▸Elevated put/call: 17.83
- ▸Above max pain $12
- ▸Concentration risks: 1 HIGH, 1 MED (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)
Catalyst
4.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 6.5 |
| earnings history | 3.3 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 2.3 |
| dividend safety | 3.5 |
| news activity | 5.0 |
- ▸Earnings concerns: 2B/2M
- ▸Yield trap warning: high yield but unsafe
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.16, quality 8.1/10, growth 10.0/10).
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_C2_GARP_WAIT|ENTRY_STICKY:WITHIN_BANDPassed (4)
- INSIDER:OK
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:55d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
- MOMENTUM:3.4<4.5
- ASYMMETRY:-0.2=NEGATIVE
Warning (1)
- 8K_CSUITE_CHANGE:5.02 (officer departure/appointment)
Reward-to-Risk
-0.17
Upside
-1.3%
Downside
7.3%
Sizing output
STARTER
SetupUNKNOWN — No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed
EdgeTEMP_HEADWIND — High quality (8.1) with weak momentum (3.4)
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — MCap $3.9B<$5B
Investment implication
The C-path quality+growth combination triggered the STRONG_BUY_WAIT verdict: quality 8.1 and growth 10.0 both clear their thresholds, with asymmetric R:R of -0.17 supporting the read.
The strongest dimensions are Growth at 10.0, Technical at 8.9, and Quality at 8.1; the weakest are Momentum at 3.4, Risk (lower is worse) at 3.6, and Catalyst at 4.3. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of -0.17 and an engine sizing output of STARTER.