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UMH Properties, Inc. (UMH) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Residential

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $15.32: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2.

UMH Properties, Inc., which was organized in 1968, is a public equity REIT that currently owns and operates 145 manufactured home communities, containing approximately 27,000 developed homesites, of which 10,800 contain rental homes, and over 1,000 self-storage units. These... Read more

$15.32+10.3% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#2 of 16 REIT - Residential
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield6.10%
IncomeYield5.92%(5y avg 4.72%)Payout900.00%
Stop $14.70Target $16.90(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.1:1
Analyst target$19.43+26.8%7 analysts
$16.90our TP
$15.32price
$19.43mean
$24

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $15.32: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2. Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 77d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — UMH Properties, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:22Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Risks
Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)152.1
P/E (Fwd)89.5
Mkt Cap$1.3B
EV/EBITDA19.8
Profit Mgn11.0%
ROE3.2%
Rev Growth7.6%
Beta0.98
Dividend5.92%
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.67bearish
IV44%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesMomentum 4.7<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.7>=4.5A.R:R 2.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 77d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
50 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $14.86Resistance $15.90

Price Targets

$15
$17
A.Upside+10.3%
A.R:R2.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Analyst Consensus

Analysts12
Consensus4.0/5
Avg Target$19

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (77d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is UMH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $15.32: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2. Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $14.70. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the UMH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $16.90 (+10.3% upside). Prior stop was $14.70. Stop-loss: $14.70.

What are the risks of investing in UMH?

Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is UMH overvalued or undervalued?

UMH Properties, Inc. trades at a P/E of 152.1 (forward 89.5). TrendMatrix value score: 5.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about UMH?

12 analysts cover UMH with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $19.

What does UMH Properties, Inc. do?UMH Properties, Inc., which was organized in 1968, is a public equity REIT that currently owns and operates 145...

UMH Properties, Inc., which was organized in 1968, is a public equity REIT that currently owns and operates 145 manufactured home communities, containing approximately 27,000 developed homesites, of which 10,800 contain rental homes, and over 1,000 self-storage units. These communities are located in New Jersey, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Indiana, Maryland, Michigan, Alabama, South Carolina, Florida and Georgia. Included in the 145 communities are two communities in Florida, containing 363 sites, and one community in Pennsylvania, containing 113 sites, that UMH has an ownership interest in and operates through its joint ventures with Nuveen Real Estate. UMH Properties, Inc. was incorporated in 1968 and is based in Freehold, United States.

Related stocks: MRP (Millrose Properties, Inc.) · ELS (Equity Lifestyle Properties, In) · CPT (Camden Property Trust) · IRT (Independence Realty Trust, Inc.) · NXRT (NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc)