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UMHUMH Properties, Inc.Hold5.8·$16.45-0.84%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

UMH Properties offers strong growth scoring and analyst consensus upside of 29%, with an exceptional free cash flow conversion of 269% of net income that is characteristic of well-run residential REITs, but negative price momentum and consecutive earnings misses in 2 of the last 4 quarters introduce near-term headwinds.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Fcf Conversion ReitStable
  • Strong Growth Profile EarningsStable
  • Momentum Below Threshold NegativeStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

UMH Properties, Inc. (UMH) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Residential

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $16.45, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.3% away).

UMH Properties is a self-administered REIT that owns and operates 145 manufactured home communities across twelve states in the Eastern, Midwestern, and Southeastern United States, totaling approximately 27,100 developed homesites. The company earns revenue by leasing homesites... Read more

$16.45-0.2% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#3 of 16 REIT - Residential
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield5.36%
IncomeYield5.52%(5y avg 4.76%)Payout750.00%
Stop $15.69Target $18.92(default +15%)A.R:R -0.0:1
Analyst target$18.88+14.7%8 analysts
$18.92our TP
$16.45price
$18.88mean
$24

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $16.45, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.3% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, earnings proximity 80d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and news soft restructuring. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About UMH Properties, Inc.

About UMH Properties, Inc.

UMH Properties owns 145 manufactured home communities comprising approximately 27,100 developed homesites across twelve states concentrated in the Eastern, Midwest, and Southeast United States. Roughly 41% of those homesites, or about 10,900 homes, are company-owned rental units leased directly to residents, while the remainder are ground-leased sites where residents own their manufactured homes. Three additional communities are held through a 40%-owned joint venture with Nuveen Real Estate.

UMH earns revenue primarily from monthly site rent under annual or month-to-month leases, supplemented in some states by 25-year leases that cap annual rent increases at 5% or CPI, whichever is greater. Beyond site rent, the company earns rental income on roughly 10,900 company-owned manufactured homes and, through its wholly owned taxable subsidiary UMH Sales and Finance, sells and finances manufactured homes for placement within its communities, with financing administered through a third-party lending relationship with Triad Financial Services. The company also holds a portfolio of REIT equity securities representing about 1.1% of undepreciated assets, and finances acquisitions and development through a mix of secured and unsecured debt, joint venture capital from Nuveen Real Estate, and equity issuance. UMH has approximately 2,300 acres of additional land available for future community expansion and budgeted $40 million to $50 million for property renovations in 2026.

Show full overview

UMH's risk profile is concentrated along two axes rather than diversified across property types or regions: the 10-K states that the company's investments are 'primarily concentrated in the manufactured housing/residential sector,' exposing it to sector-specific downturns more than a diversified REIT, while its property footprint is geographically concentrated in the Eastern United States, leaving occupancy and rental rates tied to the health of a handful of regional economies rather than a national spread. New Jersey compounds that exposure: statewide rent control taking effect March 1, 2026 will cap rent increases across all of the company's New Jersey communities, one of the states where UMH already had three communities subject to local rent control.

See also: Real Estate · REIT - Residential

From UMH Properties, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Nov 2, 202680d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (1.3% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)138.3
P/E (Fwd)97.6
Mkt Cap$1.4B
EV/EBITDA20.6
Profit Mgn11.6%
ROE3.4%
Rev Growth7.7%
Beta0.94
Dividend5.52%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C10.33bearish
IV86%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMPropertymanufactured housing/residential sector
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our investments in real estate assets are primarily concentrated in the manufactured housing/residential sector.'
  • MEDIUMGeographicEastern United States
    10-K Item 1A: 'As a result of the geographic concentration of our properties in the Eastern United States, we are exposed to the risks of downturns in the local economy'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-29Item 5.02MEDIUM
    CFO Anna T. Chew announced retirement effective June 1, 2026; she remains an employee in an advisory role and on the Board. Kevin S. Miller, previously CFO of the UMH OZ Fund, was named her successor as EVP, CFO and Treasurer. No disagreement cited.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-06-23Item 5.02LOW
    The company entered a formal employment agreement with newly appointed CFO Kevin Miller effective June 1, 2026, setting a $430,000 base salary and a target annual bonus of 60% of base salary.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.3
Support Resistance
1.3
52w Position
9.7
GatesA.R:R -0.0=NEGATIVENEWS SOFT RESTRUCTURINGExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 7.4>=5.5Insider activity: OKEARNINGS PROXIMITY 80d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
65 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $15.04Resistance $16.66

Price Targets

$16
$19
A.Upside-0.2%
A.R:R-0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.2% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! NEWS_SOFT:RESTRUCTURING

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-02 (80d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is UMH stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $16.45, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.3% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $18.92 (+15.0%), stop $15.69 (−4.8%), A.R:R -0.0:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the UMH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $18.92 (-0.2% upside). Target $18.92 (+15.0%), stop $15.69 (−4.8%), A.R:R -0.0:1. Stop-loss: $15.69.

What are the risks of investing in UMH?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.3% away).

Is UMH overvalued or undervalued?

UMH Properties, Inc. trades at a P/E of 138.3 (forward 97.6). TrendMatrix value score: 4.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about UMH?

13 analysts cover UMH with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $19.

What does UMH Properties, Inc. do?UMH Properties is a self-administered REIT that owns and operates 145 manufactured home communities across twelve...

UMH Properties is a self-administered REIT that owns and operates 145 manufactured home communities across twelve states in the Eastern, Midwestern, and Southeastern United States, totaling approximately 27,100 developed homesites. The company earns revenue by leasing homesites and manufactured homes to residents and, through its taxable subsidiary UMH Sales and Finance, by selling and financing manufactured homes within its communities.

Related stocks: MRP (Millrose Properties, Inc.) · ELS (Equity Lifestyle Properties, In) · AMH (American Homes 4 Rent) · UDR (UDR, Inc.) · JAN (Janus Living, Inc.)
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