UMH Properties, Inc. (UMH) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Real Estate · REIT - Residential
Wait for pullback to $15.50. At $15.62 the A.R:R is 1.1:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $15.50 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 7.8%; Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 26.5), Negative free cash flow.
UMH Properties, Inc., which was organized in 1968, is a public equity REIT that currently owns and operates 145 manufactured home communities, containing approximately 27,000 developed homesites, of which 10,800 contain rental homes, and over 1,000 self-storage units. These... Read more
Wait for pullback to $15.50. At $15.62 the A.R:R is 1.1:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $15.50 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 7.8%; Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 26.5), Negative free cash flow. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 49. Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 3/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
10 dimensions · all in-band
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Wait for pullback to $15.50. At $15.62 the A.R:R is 1.1:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $15.50 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 7.8%; Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 26.5), Negative free cash flow. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 49. Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $16.84 (+7.8%), stop $14.90 (−4.8%), Setup A.R:R 2.6:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $16.84 (+10.0% upside). Target $16.84 (+7.8%), stop $14.90 (−4.8%), Setup A.R:R 2.6:1. Stop-loss: $14.90.
Thin upside margin: 7.8%; Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 26.5), Negative free cash flow.
UMH Properties, Inc. trades at a P/E of 220.3 (forward 90.7). TrendMatrix value score: 5.4/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).
12 analysts cover UMH with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $19.
What does UMH Properties, Inc. do?UMH Properties, Inc., which was organized in 1968, is a public equity REIT that currently owns and operates 145...
UMH Properties, Inc., which was organized in 1968, is a public equity REIT that currently owns and operates 145 manufactured home communities, containing approximately 27,000 developed homesites, of which 10,800 contain rental homes, and over 1,000 self-storage units. These communities are located in New Jersey, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Indiana, Maryland, Michigan, Alabama, South Carolina, Florida and Georgia. Included in the 145 communities are two communities in Florida, containing 363 sites, and one community in Pennsylvania, containing 113 sites, that UMH has an ownership interest in and operates through its joint ventures with Nuveen Real Estate. UMH Properties, Inc. was incorporated in 1968 in Maryland, USA.