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Independence Realty Trust, Inc. (IRT) Stock Analysis

SellHigh Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Residential

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $16.59 — A.R:R 0.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0).

Independence Realty Trust is a self-administered multifamily REIT owning 114 apartment communities with 33,462 units across 12 Southeastern and Midwestern states, focused on non-gateway Sun Belt markets. Revenue comes from residential leases (primarily ~1-year terms); Texas... Read more

$16.590.0% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#13 of 16 REIT - Residential
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield1.98%
IncomeYield4.18%(5y avg 3.12%)Payout340.00%
Stop $15.99Target $16.59(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.0:1
Analyst target$19.07+15.0%14 analysts
$16.59our TP
$16.59price
$19.07mean
$22

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $16.59 — A.R:R 0.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.7/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 70d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Independence Realty Trust, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0)
Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)82.5
P/E (Fwd)97.1
Mkt Cap$4.0B
EV/EBITDA16.9
Profit Mgn7.2%
ROE1.4%
Rev Growth2.3%
Beta0.99
Dividend4.18%
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C3.75bearish
IV68%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.1
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.1
Bollinger
1.8
52w Position
7.3

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.3
Growth Rank
3.8
Value Rank
4.5

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
1.1
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
5.2
News Activity
6.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/2MDividend: 418.0%
GatesA.R:R 0.0 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.5<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.5>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 70d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
59 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $15.53Resistance $16.71

Price Targets

$16
$17
A.Upside0.0%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (0.0% upside)
! Reward/Risk 0.0:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (70d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IRT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $16.59 — A.R:R 0.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $15.99. Score 4.7/10, high confidence.

What is the IRT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $16.59 (0.0% upside). Prior stop was $15.99. Stop-loss: $15.99.

What are the risks of investing in IRT?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0); Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2.

Is IRT overvalued or undervalued?

Independence Realty Trust, Inc. trades at a P/E of 82.5 (forward 97.1). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about IRT?

18 analysts cover IRT with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $19.

What does Independence Realty Trust, Inc. do?Independence Realty Trust is a self-administered multifamily REIT owning 114 apartment communities with 33,462 units...

Independence Realty Trust is a self-administered multifamily REIT owning 114 apartment communities with 33,462 units across 12 Southeastern and Midwestern states, focused on non-gateway Sun Belt markets. Revenue comes from residential leases (primarily ~1-year terms); Texas generated ~37.7% of annualized base rental income.

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