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IRTIndependence Realty Trust, Inc.Sell4.7·$16.67+0.30%
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Independence Realty Trust, Inc. (IRT) Stock Analysis

SellHigh Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Residential

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $16.67 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0).

Independence Realty Trust is a self-administered multifamily REIT owning 114 apartment communities with 33,462 units across 12 Southeastern and Midwestern states, focused on non-gateway Sun Belt markets. Revenue comes from residential leases (primarily ~1-year terms); Texas... Read more

$16.67-0.4% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#12 of 16 REIT - Residential
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield1.97%
IncomeYield4.15%(5y avg 3.15%)Payout340.00%
Stop $15.99Target $16.60(resistance)A.R:R -0.0:1
Analyst target$19.14+14.8%14 analysts
$16.60our TP
$16.67price
$19.14mean
$22

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $16.67 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.7/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202651d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0)
Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)83.1
P/E (Fwd)97.8
Mkt Cap$4.0B
EV/EBITDA17.0
Profit Mgn7.2%
ROE1.4%
Rev Growth2.3%
Beta0.97
Dividend4.15%
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.43bearish
IV74%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.1
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
1.1
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
5.2
Earnings concerns: 1B/2MDividend: 415.0%

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.3
Growth Rank
3.8
Value Rank
4.5
GatesA.R:R -0.0=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 51d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
58 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $15.68Resistance $16.94

Price Targets

$16
$17
A.Upside-0.4%
A.R:R-0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.1% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (51d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IRT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $16.67 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $15.99. Score 4.7/10, high confidence.

What is the IRT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $16.60 (-0.4% upside). Prior stop was $15.99. Stop-loss: $15.99.

What are the risks of investing in IRT?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0); Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2.

Is IRT overvalued or undervalued?

Independence Realty Trust, Inc. trades at a P/E of 83.1 (forward 97.8). TrendMatrix value score: 4.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about IRT?

18 analysts cover IRT with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $19.

What does Independence Realty Trust, Inc. do?Independence Realty Trust is a self-administered multifamily REIT owning 114 apartment communities with 33,462 units...

Independence Realty Trust is a self-administered multifamily REIT owning 114 apartment communities with 33,462 units across 12 Southeastern and Midwestern states, focused on non-gateway Sun Belt markets. Revenue comes from residential leases (primarily ~1-year terms); Texas generated ~37.7% of annualized base rental income.

Related stocks: MRP (Millrose Properties, Inc.) · UDR (UDR, Inc.) · SUI (Sun Communities, Inc.) · AVB (AvalonBay Communities, Inc.) · UMH (UMH Properties, Inc.)
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