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Veris Residential, Inc. (VRE) Stock Analysis

SellHigh Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Residential

Sell if holding. At $18.98, A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: New Jersey, Massachusetts, and the District of Columbia; Concentration risk — Property Type: multifamily residential.

Veris Residential is a multifamily REIT owning 17 properties (13 wholly-owned multifamily plus joint ventures) located in New Jersey, Massachusetts, and DC, with an average portfolio age of nine years. Revenue comes from Class A multifamily apartment rents; no resident or tenant... Read more

$18.98-1.9% A.UpsideScore 4.6/10#13 of 16 REIT - Residential
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield5.63%
IncomeYield1.69%(5y avg 3.55%)Payout43.84%
Stop $18.94Target $18.62(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$19.75+4.1%4 analysts
$18.62our TP
$18.98price
$19.75mean
$19
$22

Sell if holding. At $18.98, A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: New Jersey, Massachusetts, and the District of Columbia; Concentration risk — Property Type: multifamily residential. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.6/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 63d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Veris Residential, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: New Jersey, Massachusetts, and the District of Columbia
Concentration risk — Property Type: multifamily residential
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)26.0
P/E (Fwd)-67.8
Mkt Cap$1.9B
EV/EBITDA22.6
Profit Mgn24.6%
ROE5.9%
Rev Growth-1.6%
Beta1.07
Dividend1.69%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

IV36%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicNew Jersey, Massachusetts, and the District of Columbia
    10-K Item 1: 'The Properties are located in New Jersey, Massachusetts, and the District of Columbia'
  • HIGHPropertymultifamily residential
    10-K Item 1: 'The Company owns, operates and develops multifamily rental properties located primarily in the Northeast'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-23Item 1.01HIGH
    Veris Residential entered into a Merger Agreement on February 22, 2026 with affiliates of Affinius Capital, GIC, and Vista Hill. Each common share to be converted into $19.00 cash. Subject to stockholder approval; expected to close Q2 2026. Termination fee of $60M payable by Veris under certain conditions.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -1.6% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
2.1
Declining revenue: -2%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Analyst Target
3.0
P Ocf
4.5
Ps
5.8
P/OCF: 25.3x (FFO proxy — REITs gated off P/E)

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.6
Quality Rank
3.8
Value Rank
5.7
GatesA.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.3>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 63d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
54 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $18.90Resistance $19.00

Price Targets

$19
$19
A.Upside-1.9%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-11.6% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-22 (63d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is VRE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $18.98, A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: New Jersey, Massachusetts, and the District of Columbia; Concentration risk — Property Type: multifamily residential. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $18.94. Score 4.6/10, high confidence.

What is the VRE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $18.62 (-1.9% upside). Prior stop was $18.94. Stop-loss: $18.94.

What are the risks of investing in VRE?

Concentration risk — Geographic: New Jersey, Massachusetts, and the District of Columbia; Concentration risk — Property Type: multifamily residential; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is VRE overvalued or undervalued?

Veris Residential, Inc. trades at a P/E of 26.0 (forward -67.8). TrendMatrix value score: 3.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about VRE?

8 analysts cover VRE with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $20.

What does Veris Residential, Inc. do?Veris Residential is a multifamily REIT owning 17 properties (13 wholly-owned multifamily plus joint ventures) located...

Veris Residential is a multifamily REIT owning 17 properties (13 wholly-owned multifamily plus joint ventures) located in New Jersey, Massachusetts, and DC, with an average portfolio age of nine years. Revenue comes from Class A multifamily apartment rents; no resident or tenant exceeds 1% of consolidated revenues. A merger agreement was announced February 23, 2026 at $19.00/share cash with affiliates of Affinius Capital, GIC, and Vista Hill.

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