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Camden Property Trust (CPT) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Residential

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $105.06 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: multifamily apartment communities.

Camden Property Trust is a Texas-based REIT focused exclusively on multifamily apartment communities across the United States. As of December 31, 2025, it owned interests in 175 communities comprising 59,921 apartment homes, generating revenue from residential rents. The... Read more

$105.06-0.3% A.UpsideScore 4.6/10#13 of 16 REIT - Residential
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield6.64%
IncomeYield4.05%(5y avg 3.32%)Payout117.60%
Stop $101.26Target $104.76(resistance)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst target$112.99+7.5%22 analysts
$104.76our TP
$105.06price
$112.99mean
$95
$134

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $105.06 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: multifamily apartment communities. Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.6/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 72d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Camden Property Trust

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Property Type: multifamily apartment communities
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)29.2
P/E (Fwd)85.5
Mkt Cap$10.4B
EV/EBITDA18.1
Profit Mgn24.5%
ROE9.1%
Rev Growth-0.5%
Beta0.82
Dividend4.05%
Rating analysts29

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.67bullish
IV34%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHPropertymultifamily apartment communities
    10-K Item 1: 'primarily engaged in the ownership, management, development, reposition, redevelopment, acquisition, and construction of multifamily apartment communities'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-27Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Planned CEO succession effective March 24, 2026: Richard Campo became Executive Chairman; Alexander Jessett became CEO and joined Board; Laurie Baker became President/COO; Benjamin Fraker became EVP-CFO. Employment agreements entered for all three new roles.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Revenue shrinking — -0.5% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
2.4
Earnings Growth
4.4
Declining revenue: -0%
GatesMomentum 4.2<4.5A.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 72d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
49 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $100.72Resistance $106.90

Price Targets

$101
$105
A.Upside-0.3%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.2% upside)
! Momentum score 4.2/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (72d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CPT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $105.06 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: multifamily apartment communities. Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $101.26. Score 4.6/10, high confidence.

What is the CPT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $104.76 (-0.3% upside). Prior stop was $101.26. Stop-loss: $101.26.

What are the risks of investing in CPT?

Concentration risk — Property Type: multifamily apartment communities; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1).

Is CPT overvalued or undervalued?

Camden Property Trust trades at a P/E of 29.2 (forward 85.5). TrendMatrix value score: 4.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CPT?

29 analysts cover CPT with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $113.

What does Camden Property Trust do?Camden Property Trust is a Texas-based REIT focused exclusively on multifamily apartment communities across the United...

Camden Property Trust is a Texas-based REIT focused exclusively on multifamily apartment communities across the United States. As of December 31, 2025, it owned interests in 175 communities comprising 59,921 apartment homes, generating revenue from residential rents. The portfolio targets markets with strong economic growth and job formation.

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