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Camden Property Trust (CPT) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Residential

Earnings in 0 days (2026-04-30). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $104.76, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Property Type: multifamily apartment communities; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Camden Property Trust is a Texas REIT operating 175 multifamily apartment communities (59,921 homes) across the U.S. as of December 31, 2025, with three properties under construction. Revenue is rental income from apartment leasing in markets characterized by strong economic... Read more

$104.76+6.3% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#3 of 16 REIT - Residential
Entry $98.54(support + ATR)Stop $94.48Target $104.76(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1Setup A.R:R 1.5:1
Analyst target$114.30+9.1%22 analysts
$104.76our TP
$104.76price
$114.30mean
$131

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $104.76, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Property Type: multifamily apartment communities; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 57, MACD bullish. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $104.72 has reached target $104.76. No upside to wait for. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Property Type: multifamily apartment communities
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)29.8
P/E (Fwd)75.7
Mkt Cap$10.6B
EV/EBITDA16.9
Profit Mgn24.2%
ROE8.6%
Rev Growth2.2%
Beta0.85
Dividend4.03%
Rating analysts29

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.91bearish
IV49%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHPropertymultifamily apartment communities
    10-K Item 1A: 'Substantially all of our income is derived from rental and other income from our multifamily communities'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-27Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Executive succession effective March 24, 2026: Campo became Executive Chairman; Jessett became CEO (and joined Board); Baker became President/COO; Fraker became EVP-CFO. Employment agreements executed for Jessett, Baker, and Fraker. Clean handoff.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
1.4
Support Resistance
2.3
52w Position
7.5
GatesA.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dMomentum 4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.9>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Moderate
RSI
57 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $97.40Resistance $106.90

Price Targets

$94
$99
$105
A.Upside0.0%
A.R:R-0.3:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.8% upside)
! Earnings in 0 days - binary event risk
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-30 (0d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CPT stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $104.76, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Property Type: multifamily apartment communities; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 57, MACD bullish. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $104.72 has reached target $104.76. No upside to wait for. Target $104.76 (0.0%), stop $94.48 (−10.9%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CPT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $104.76 (+6.3% upside). Target $104.76 (0.0%), stop $94.48 (−10.9%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Stop-loss: $94.48.

What are the risks of investing in CPT?

Concentration risk — Property Type: multifamily apartment communities; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is CPT overvalued or undervalued?

Camden Property Trust trades at a P/E of 29.8 (forward 75.7). TrendMatrix value score: 4.4/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about CPT?

29 analysts cover CPT with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $114.

What does Camden Property Trust do?Camden Property Trust is a Texas REIT operating 175 multifamily apartment communities (59,921 homes) across the U.S. as...

Camden Property Trust is a Texas REIT operating 175 multifamily apartment communities (59,921 homes) across the U.S. as of December 31, 2025, with three properties under construction. Revenue is rental income from apartment leasing in markets characterized by strong economic growth and job formation.

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