Universal Logistics has strong recent earnings and momentum, but the price is 49.9% above the $13.60 analyst target, revenue is slipping, quality is 2.8/10, and 59% of revenue comes from ten customers.
Thesis pillars
- Price Far Above Analyst Target→Stable
- Recent Earnings Strength↓Deteriorating
- Customer Concentration Weak Quality→Stable
- +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Nov 8, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Mar 16, 2026
Universal Logistics Holdings, I (ULH) Stock Analysis
Inst Constrain edge
Industrials · Trucking
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $27.12: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.
Universal Logistics Holdings provides transportation and logistics services across three segments -- Contract Logistics, Intermodal, and Trucking -- through about 48 company-managed terminals and a network of roughly 131 independent agents in the U.S., Mexico, and Canada.... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $27.12: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 87d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
About Universal Logistics Holdings, I
About Universal Logistics Holdings, I
Universal Logistics Holdings drew 45% of its 2025 revenue from automotive customers, with General Motors alone accounting for 25% of revenue and the top ten customers together representing 59%. The company operates three segments -- Contract Logistics, Intermodal, and Trucking -- through 48 company-managed terminals and a fleet of 3,589 tractors across the United States, Mexico, and Canada, employing 10,525 people, 37% of whom are represented by labor unions.
Universal earns revenue across Contract Logistics (value-added and dedicated services under contracts of a year or longer, integrated into customer production environments), Intermodal (drayage moving containers between ports/railheads and customer facilities using owner-operators and company equipment), and Trucking (dry van, flatbed, heavy-haul, and refrigerated freight coordinated through agents and company terminals). Independent agents generated approximately 17% of freight volume in 2025. Diesel fuel is a significant operating expense that the company does not hedge, relying instead on fuel surcharge mechanisms that may lag price movements. Demand is tied closely to automotive production cycles and scheduled OEM shutdowns, and the company has historically grown through acquisitions in a highly fragmented industry, most recently integrating Parsec, LLC, a rail-terminal management provider acquired in September 2024.
Show full overview
Universal's automotive concentration is not merely a revenue-mix statistic -- it is already showing up as balance-sheet stress. In 2025 the company recorded $124.4 million in non-cash goodwill and intangible-asset impairment charges tied to its Intermodal reporting unit, wiping out all remaining goodwill there, and in March 2026 restated its September 2025 quarterly financials after an error in that same impairment analysis surfaced a previously identified material weakness in internal controls over complex, non-routine transactions. Both events point to demand softness in cyclical end markets translating directly into accounting write-downs rather than staying confined to the income statement.
See also: Industrials · Trucking
From Universal Logistics Holdings, I's most recent 10-K filing, extracted August 2, 2026.
Recent developments
updated Oct 30, 2026Recent Developments — Universal Logistics Holdings, I
Latest news
- NEWS 12 Industrials Stocks Moving In Friday's Intraday Session — benzinga Oct 30, 2026 neutral
- NEWS AutoNation, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, AstraZeneca And Other Big Stocks Moving Higher On Friday — benzinga Oct 30, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Universal Logistics Holdings, Inc. Reports Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results — fiscal.ai Oct 29, 2026
- NEWS Universal Logistics Hldgs Q3 EPS $0.69 Beats $0.32 Estimate, Sales $394.049M Beat $390.400M Estimate — benzinga Oct 29, 2026 positive
Latest item Oct 30, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-09T12:02:58Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMCustomerautomotive customers45%10-K Item 1: 'Automotive customers represented approximately 45% of total revenues'
- MEDIUMCustomerGeneral Motors25%10-K Item 1: 'Our top customer, General Motors, represented approximately 25% of revenues'
- HIGHCustomertop ten customers59%10-K Item 1: 'Our top ten customers represented approximately 59% of revenues'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Revenue shrinking — -0.7% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Negative sentiment — recent news tone and/or analyst downgrades drag the composite below neutral.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $27.12: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $25.22. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.
Analyst target $13.60 reached (−49.9% from $27.12); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $25.22. Stop-loss: $25.22.
Concentration risk — Customer: top ten customers (59.0%); Target reached (-49.9% upside); Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0).
Universal Logistics Holdings, I trades at a P/E of 452.0 (forward 13.6). TrendMatrix value score: 9.1/10. Verdict: Sell.
8 analysts rate ULH, with a consensus score of 2.3/5. 1 analysts publish price targets averaging $16.
What does Universal Logistics Holdings, I do?Universal Logistics Holdings provides transportation and logistics services across three segments -- Contract...
Universal Logistics Holdings provides transportation and logistics services across three segments -- Contract Logistics, Intermodal, and Trucking -- through about 48 company-managed terminals and a network of roughly 131 independent agents in the U.S., Mexico, and Canada. Automotive customers generated approximately 45% of 2025 revenue, led by General Motors at about 25%, with the top ten customers accounting for roughly 59% of revenue.