Value
9.3/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/S | 10.0 |
| EV/EBITDA | 8.0 |
| Fwd P/E | 8.9 |
| PEG | 10.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 12.2x
- ▸PEG: 0.10
- ▸Attractively valued
ULH · Why this verdict
Why Universal Logistics Holdings, I (ULH) is rated HOLD
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictHOLD
Overall score5.0/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
1.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 0.0 |
| ROA | 1.2 |
| Gross margin | 0.0 |
| Op margin | 0.5 |
| Net margin | 0.0 |
| Current ratio | 4.4 |
| FCF quality | 0.0 |
| Moat | 2.5 |
| Piotroski F | 4.4 |
- ▸Cash-burning: FCF -3% of revenue
- ▸No competitive moat
- ▸Quality concerns
Growth
5.8/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 1.5 |
| EPS growth | 10.0 |
- ▸Declining revenue: -4%
Momentum
2.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 4.5 |
| MACD | 1.9 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 1.0 |
| Volume | 4.0 |
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA, MA slope -6.9%/30d — confirmed downtrend
Sentiment
6.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| news sentiment | 6.7 |
| Analyst rating | 5.0 |
| Price target | 6.7 |
- ▸Positive news sentiment (+0.33)
Insider
7.3/10data confidence 75%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 10.0 |
| notable moves | 7.0 |
- ▸No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)
- ▸Institutions accumulating
Peer rank
2.7/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 9.2 |
| quality rank | 0.0 |
| growth rank | 0.8 |
Technical
5.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 8.4 |
| support resistance | 8.8 |
| 52w position | 0.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
3.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 3.6 |
| days to cover | 2.9 |
| volatility | 0.0 |
| beta | 8.9 |
| debt equity | 3.5 |
Catalyst
4.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 3.3 |
| surprise avg | 4.7 |
| dividend safety | 6.7 |
| news activity | 5.0 |
- ▸Earnings concerns: 2B/2M
- ▸Yield trap warning: high yield but unsafe
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Market cap $353M below $400M minimum. Not in investable universe.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L1:HARD_BLOCK:MARKET_CAPPassed (6)
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:NO_DATE
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (3)
- MOMENTUM:2.5<4.5
- ASYMMETRY:-0.3=NEGATIVE
- DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
-0.31
Upside
-4.7%
Downside
15.0%
Sizing output
AVOID
Setup— — No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed
EdgeInst Constrain — Small cap ($0.4B) below institutional reach
SuitabilitySpeculative — Drawdown -56% (>40% off 52w high)
Investment implication
The HOLD_IF_HOLDING verdict reflects the MOMENTUM gate's 2.5<4.5 outcome against Value at 9.3 and asymmetric R:R of -0.31.
The strongest dimensions are Value at 9.3, Insider at 7.3, and Sentiment at 6.0; the weakest are Quality at 1.4, Momentum at 2.5, and Peer rank at 2.7. The V9 engine flagged 3 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of -0.31 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.