RXO, Inc. (RXO) Stock Analysis
Industrials · Trucking
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $19.39: Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 24%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.58; Below-average business quality.
RXO is an asset-light brokered transportation platform comprising truck brokerage (its largest segment), managed transportation, and last mile services; it is the largest outsourced last mile provider for heavy goods in the U.S., positioned within 125 miles of the vast majority... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $19.39: Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 24%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.58; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 3.3/10, high confidence.
Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-02-06Item 1.02MEDIUMOn February 5, 2026, RXO fully repaid and terminated its existing unsecured multi-currency revolving credit facility maturing 2029 in connection with entering a new $450 million Asset-Based Revolving Credit Facility. No default or other adverse reason cited; refinancing associated with the ABL entry.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
6 floor-breakers
Revenue shrinking — -11.9% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Unprofitable operations — net margin -1.7%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static
Risk profile below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $19.39: Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 24%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.58; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $18.04. Score 3.3/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $19.78 (+2.0% upside). Prior stop was $18.04. Stop-loss: $18.04.
Target reached (-25.5% upside); Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0).
RXO, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 48.7). TrendMatrix value score: 3.6/10. Verdict: Sell.
26 analysts cover RXO with a consensus score of 3.3/5. Average price target: $16.
What does RXO, Inc. do?RXO is an asset-light brokered transportation platform comprising truck brokerage (its largest segment), managed...
RXO is an asset-light brokered transportation platform comprising truck brokerage (its largest segment), managed transportation, and last mile services; it is the largest outsourced last mile provider for heavy goods in the U.S., positioned within 125 miles of the vast majority of the U.S. population. Revenue is generated through transaction fees connecting shipper demand with independent carrier networks; in September 2024, RXO acquired Coyote from UPS for $1.038 billion. As of December 31, 2025, outstanding debt and finance leases were $408 million.