UGI Corporation trades at an attractively valued forward P/E of 10.3x and ranks favorably against regulated gas utility peers on price-to-earnings, but a confirmed death cross and negative momentum create a timing headwind that prevents a compelling near-term entry.
Thesis pillars
- Attractive Valuation Peer Rank→Stable
- Death Cross Momentum Headwind→Stable
- Earnings Quality Fcf Concern→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
UGI Corporation (UGI) Stock Analysis
Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Gas
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $37.94: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.
UGI Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the distribution, storage, transportation, and marketing of energy products and related services in the United States and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Utilities, Midstream & Marketing,... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $37.94: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 74d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-09-05Recent Developments — UGI Corporation
Latest news
- NEWS UGI (UGI) Expected to Release Earnings on Wednesday - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS UGI (UGI) Projected to Post Earnings on Wednesday - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS UGI issues another scam alert for fake numbers requesting customer payments - AOL.com — AOL.com negative
- NEWS UGI ($UGI) Releases Q2 2026 Earnings - Quiver Quantitative — Quiver Quantitative neutral
- NEWS UGI Keeps Quarterly Dividend at $0.375 per Share, Payable July 1 to Holders of Record June 15 - marketscreener.com — marketscreener.com neutral
Generated 2026-09-05T21:17:39Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-05-28Item 5.02MEDIUMKathleen Shea Ballay departed UGI Corporation, effective May 26, 2026. Duties and responsibilities assumed by internal members of the legal team until a successor is named. No permanent successor named.SEC filing →
- 2026-05-26Item 1.01LOWAmeriGas Partners, L.P. and AmeriGas Finance Corp. (indirect subsidiaries of UGI) issued $500.0 million of 6.875% senior unsecured notes due 2031 on May 20, 2026 via private placement under Rule 144A/Reg S.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Revenue shrinking — -4.5% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $37.94: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $35.80. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $39.20 (-7.4% upside). Prior stop was $35.80. Stop-loss: $35.80.
Target reached (-7.4% upside); Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0).
UGI Corporation trades at a P/E of 12.6 (forward 11.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Sell.
7 analysts cover UGI with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $41.
What does UGI Corporation do?UGI Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the distribution, storage, transportation, and marketing of...
UGI Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the distribution, storage, transportation, and marketing of energy products and related services in the United States and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Utilities, Midstream & Marketing, UGI International, and AmeriGas Propane. It distributes approximately 801 million gallons of propane to residential, commercial/industrial, motor fuel, agricultural, and wholesale customers. The company distributes liquefied petroleum gases (LPG) to residential, commercial, industrial, agricultural, wholesale and automobile fuel customers; and provides logistics, storage, and other services to third-party LPG distributors. In addition, it engages in the retail sale of natural gas, liquid fuels, and electricity to approximately 10,800 residential, commercial, and industrial customers. Further, the company distributes natural gas to approximately 694,000 customers in eastern and central Pennsylvania counties through its distribution system of approximately 12,700 miles of gas mains; and supplies electricity to approximately 62,900 customers in northeastern Pennsylvania through 2,700 miles of lines and 14 substations. Additionally, it operates electric generation facilities; natural gas liquefaction, storage, and vaporization facility; propane storage and propane-air mixing stations; and rail transshipment terminals. It manages natural gas pipeline and storage contracts; develops, owns, and operates pipelines, gathering infrastructure, and gas storage facilities. UGI Corporation was incorporated in 1882 and is headquartered in King of Prussia, Pennsylvania.