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Chesapeake Utilities Corporatio (CPK) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Gas

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $127.72 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8).

Chesapeake Utilities is an energy delivery company with regulated natural gas distribution in Delaware, Maryland, and Florida (FPU and FCG serving ~343K customers), natural gas transmission (Eastern Shore, Peninsula Pipeline), electric distribution in Florida, and unregulated... Read more

$127.72-0.1% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#2 of 14 Utilities - Regulated Gas
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-8.02%
IncomeYield2.32%(5y avg 1.87%)Payout43.98%sustainable
Stop $122.40Target $127.57(resistance)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst target$145.80+14.2%5 analysts
$127.57our TP
$127.72price
$145.80mean
$160

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $127.72 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 59. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 79d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Chesapeake Utilities Corporatio

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Utilities): +1.0
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8)
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.4
P/E (Fwd)17.3
Mkt Cap$3.0B
EV/EBITDA12.5
Profit Mgn15.1%
ROE9.6%
Rev Growth18.2%
Beta0.72
Dividend2.32%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.67bullish
IV32%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 79d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
59 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $123.47Resistance $130.17

Price Targets

$122
$128
A.Upside-0.1%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.7% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (79d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CPK stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $127.72 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 59. Prior stop was $122.40. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CPK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $127.57 (-0.1% upside). Prior stop was $122.40. Stop-loss: $122.40.

What are the risks of investing in CPK?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5.

Is CPK overvalued or undervalued?

Chesapeake Utilities Corporatio trades at a P/E of 20.4 (forward 17.3). TrendMatrix value score: 5.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CPK?

9 analysts cover CPK with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $146.

What does Chesapeake Utilities Corporatio do?Chesapeake Utilities is an energy delivery company with regulated natural gas distribution in Delaware, Maryland, and...

Chesapeake Utilities is an energy delivery company with regulated natural gas distribution in Delaware, Maryland, and Florida (FPU and FCG serving ~343K customers), natural gas transmission (Eastern Shore, Peninsula Pipeline), electric distribution in Florida, and unregulated propane/CNG businesses. Florida-based operations (FPU gas, FCG, Peninsula Pipeline, FPU electric) generate the majority of Regulated Energy net income.

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