Northwest Natural Holding Compa (NWN) Stock Analysis
Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Gas
Sell if holding. At $52.85, A.R:R is negative (-1.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Oregon (88.0%); Concentration risk — Regulatory: OPUC.
Northwest Natural Holding Company operates NW Natural, a regulated gas distribution utility serving approximately 810,000 meters in Oregon and southwest Washington, with 88% of customers in Oregon. Residential and commercial customers account for approximately 91% of NWN Gas... Read more
Sell if holding. At $52.85, A.R:R is negative (-1.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Oregon (88.0%); Concentration risk — Regulatory: OPUC. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHGeographicOregon88%10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 88% of customers are located in Oregon and 12% are located in southwest Washington'
- HIGHregulatoryOPUC10-K Item 1A: 'The OPUC and WUTC have general regulatory authority over NW Natural’s gas business in Oregon and Washington'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $52.85, A.R:R is negative (-1.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Oregon (88.0%); Concentration risk — Regulatory: OPUC. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $50.79. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $54.36 (+2.7% upside). Prior stop was $50.79. Stop-loss: $50.79.
Concentration risk — Geographic: Oregon (88.0%); Concentration risk — Regulatory: OPUC; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.
Northwest Natural Holding Compa trades at a P/E of 19.2 (forward 16.4). TrendMatrix value score: 5.9/10. Verdict: Sell.
8 analysts cover NWN with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $58.
What does Northwest Natural Holding Compa do?Northwest Natural Holding Company operates NW Natural, a regulated gas distribution utility serving approximately...
Northwest Natural Holding Company operates NW Natural, a regulated gas distribution utility serving approximately 810,000 meters in Oregon and southwest Washington, with 88% of customers in Oregon. Residential and commercial customers account for approximately 91% of NWN Gas Utility margin. Rates are regulated by the Oregon Public Utility Commission and Washington Utilities and Transportation Commission.