Skip to main content

NewJersey Resources Corporation (NJR) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Gas

Earnings in 4 days (2026-05-04). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $56.13, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.9% away).

New Jersey Resources is a diversified energy holding company with four segments: Natural Gas Distribution (NJNG, regulated utility serving NJ counties), Clean Energy Ventures (solar investments), Energy Services (wholesale natural gas management), and Storage and Transportation... Read more

$56.13+0.9% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#6 of 14 Utilities - Regulated Gas
Stop $54.08Target $56.55(resistance)A.R:R -1.6:1
Analyst target$59.33+5.7%6 analysts
$56.55our TP
$56.13price
$59.33mean
$51
$63

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $56.13, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.9% away). Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.9% away)
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.2
P/E (Fwd)16.1
Mkt Cap$5.6B
EV/EBITDA13.9
Profit Mgn15.2%
ROE13.7%
Rev Growth23.9%
Beta0.56
Dividend3.43%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C3.86bearish
IV47%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMSupplierTETCO and Transcontinental Pipeline third-party infrastructure
    10-K Item 1A: 'third-party pipelines or other midstream facilities interconnected to our gathering or transportation system, such as the TETCO or Transcontinental Pipeline, becoming partially or fully unavailable'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
1.6
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.8<4.5A.R:R -1.6=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 4d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
43 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $54.88Resistance $57.70

Price Targets

$54
$57
A.Upside+0.7%
A.R:R-1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-7.9% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+1: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! Momentum score 2.8/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-04 (4d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NJR stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $56.13, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.9% away). Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $56.55 (+0.7%), stop $54.08 (−3.8%), A.R:R -1.6:1. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NJR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $56.55 (+0.9% upside). Target $56.55 (+0.7%), stop $54.08 (−3.8%), A.R:R -1.6:1. Stop-loss: $54.08.

What are the risks of investing in NJR?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.9% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0.

Is NJR overvalued or undervalued?

NewJersey Resources Corporation trades at a P/E of 17.2 (forward 16.1). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about NJR?

10 analysts cover NJR with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $59.

What does NewJersey Resources Corporation do?New Jersey Resources is a diversified energy holding company with four segments: Natural Gas Distribution (NJNG,...

New Jersey Resources is a diversified energy holding company with four segments: Natural Gas Distribution (NJNG, regulated utility serving NJ counties), Clean Energy Ventures (solar investments), Energy Services (wholesale natural gas management), and Storage and Transportation (Leaf River, Adelphia, Steckman Ridge). Net income was $335.6M in fiscal 2025.

Related stocks: UGI (UGI Corporation) · SPH (Suburban Propane Partners, L.P.) · CPK (Chesapeake Utilities Corporatio) · SR (Spire Inc.) · NI (NiSource Inc)