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NJRNewJersey Resources CorporationSell5.3·$54.44-1.75%
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NewJersey Resources Corporation (NJR) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Gas

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $54.44 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0).

New Jersey Resources Corporation is a diversified energy holding company whose primary subsidiary NJNG provides regulated natural gas utility service to approximately 1.7 million people across six New Jersey counties, regulated by the New Jersey BPU. Additional segments include... Read more

$54.44+5.4% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#3 of 14 Utilities - Regulated Gas
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-5.47%
IncomeYield3.43%(5y avg 3.53%)Payout55.64%sustainable
Stop $51.74Target $57.40(resistance)A.R:R -0.9:1
Analyst target$59.86+10.0%7 analysts
$57.40our TP
$54.44price
$59.86mean
$51
$63

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $54.44 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 56d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 3, 202656d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Utilities): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0)
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.4
P/E (Fwd)16.0
Mkt Cap$5.6B
EV/EBITDA13.0
Profit Mgn15.7%
ROE13.3%
Rev Growth2.9%
Beta0.52
Dividend3.43%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.71neutral
IV63%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.2
Earnings Growth
3.4
GatesA.R:R -0.9=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.0<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.0>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 56d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
32 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $52.96Resistance $58.57

Price Targets

$52
$57
A.Upside+5.4%
A.R:R-0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.3% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-03 (56d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NJR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $54.44 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $51.74. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NJR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $57.40 (+5.4% upside). Prior stop was $51.74. Stop-loss: $51.74.

What are the risks of investing in NJR?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5.

Is NJR overvalued or undervalued?

NewJersey Resources Corporation trades at a P/E of 16.4 (forward 16.0). TrendMatrix value score: 5.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NJR?

11 analysts cover NJR with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $60.

What does NewJersey Resources Corporation do?New Jersey Resources Corporation is a diversified energy holding company whose primary subsidiary NJNG provides...

New Jersey Resources Corporation is a diversified energy holding company whose primary subsidiary NJNG provides regulated natural gas utility service to approximately 1.7 million people across six New Jersey counties, regulated by the New Jersey BPU. Additional segments include Clean Energy Ventures (479 MW solar capacity), Energy Services (wholesale gas), Storage and Transportation (Leaf River, Adelphia, Steckman Ridge), and Home Services. In fiscal 2025, no single customer represented more than 10% of consolidated operating revenues.

Related stocks: SR (Spire Inc.) · UGI (UGI Corporation) · CTRI (Centuri Holdings, Inc.) · BIPC (Brookfield Infrastructure Corpo) · CPK (Chesapeake Utilities Corporatio)
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