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Textron Inc. (TXT) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $97.29, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Textron is a multi-industry manufacturer with segments including Textron Aviation (Cessna, Beechcraft), Bell (military/commercial helicopters/tiltrotors), Textron Systems, and Industrial, generating $14.8B revenue in 2025. Revenue comes from commercial aircraft, U.S. Government... Read more

$97.29+1.9% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#2 of 46 Aerospace & Defense
Stop $85.80Target $91.46(resistance)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst target$99.39+2.2%16 analysts
$91.46our TP
$97.29price
$99.39mean
$89
$110

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $97.29, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/6 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.5
P/E (Fwd)12.3
Mkt Cap$15.6B
EV/EBITDA10.9
Profit Mgn6.2%
ROE12.2%
Rev Growth15.6%
Beta0.97
Dividend0.09%
Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.66bullish
IV87%elevated
Max Pain$50-48.6% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerU.S. Government27%
    10-K Item 1A: 'During 2025, we derived approximately 27% of our revenues from sales to a variety of U.S. Government entities'
  • MEDIUMProductMV-75 program
    10-K Item 1A: 'The MV-75 program at Bell represents a significant and growing portion of our U.S. Government revenues and backlog'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-02Item 5.02LOW
    Cristina Mendez elected to Textron Board effective February 15, 2026. She is CFO of Otis Worldwide Corporation. No disagreement cited; participates in Director Compensation Program.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
44 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $86.77Resistance $93.33

Price Targets

$86
$91
A.Upside-6.0%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.4% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-30 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TXT stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $97.29, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $91.46 (-6.0%), stop $85.80 (−13.4%), A.R:R -0.1:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TXT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $91.46 (+1.9% upside). Target $91.46 (-6.0%), stop $85.80 (−13.4%), A.R:R -0.1:1. Stop-loss: $85.80.

What are the risks of investing in TXT?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is TXT overvalued or undervalued?

Textron Inc. trades at a P/E of 17.5 (forward 12.3). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about TXT?

23 analysts cover TXT with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $99.

What does Textron Inc. do?Textron is a multi-industry manufacturer with segments including Textron Aviation (Cessna, Beechcraft), Bell...

Textron is a multi-industry manufacturer with segments including Textron Aviation (Cessna, Beechcraft), Bell (military/commercial helicopters/tiltrotors), Textron Systems, and Industrial, generating $14.8B revenue in 2025. Revenue comes from commercial aircraft, U.S. Government defense contracts (27%), and international business (31%).

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