Moog Inc. (MOG-A) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup
Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $304.29 — A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Negative momentum.
Moog designs, manufactures, and integrates precision motion and fluid control systems across four segments: Space and Defense, Military Aircraft, Commercial Aircraft, and Industrial. Revenue of approximately $3.9B in 2025 is split between U.S. Government contracts (38%) and... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $304.29 — A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 84d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMCustomerU.S. Government contracts38%10-K Item 1A: 'sales under U.S. Government contracts represented 38% of our total sales, primarily within Space and Defense and Military Aircraft'
- LOWCustomerThe Boeing Company10%10-K Item 1A: 'We provide Boeing with controls for both military and commercial applications, as well as controls for space and defense applications, which totaled 10% of our 2025 sales.'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-04-03Item 1.02MEDIUMMoog redeemed in full all $500M of its 4.250% Senior Notes due 2027 on April 3, 2026, at par plus accrued interest. Funded from proceeds of new 5.500% Senior Notes due 2034 and cash on hand. Indenture satisfied and discharged.SEC filing →
- 2026-03-24Item 2.04LOWMoog issued $500M 5.500% Senior Notes due October 15, 2034 on March 24, 2026. Notes pay interest semi-annually at 5.5% annually beginning October 15, 2026. No default; proceeds used to retire 4.250% Notes due 2027.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $304.29 — A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $283.45. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $326.92 (+7.3% upside). Prior stop was $283.45. Stop-loss: $283.45.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum.
Moog Inc. trades at a P/E of 34.1 (forward 26.0). TrendMatrix value score: 5.5/10. Verdict: Sell.
12 analysts cover MOG-A with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $328.
What does Moog Inc. do?Moog designs, manufactures, and integrates precision motion and fluid control systems across four segments: Space and...
Moog designs, manufactures, and integrates precision motion and fluid control systems across four segments: Space and Defense, Military Aircraft, Commercial Aircraft, and Industrial. Revenue of approximately $3.9B in 2025 is split between U.S. Government contracts (38%) and commercial customers; Boeing represents 10% of 2025 sales.