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ATROAstronics CorporationSell6.3·$57.48
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Astronics is an aerospace supplier with 27% revenue growth, a perfect four-quarter earnings beat streak, 34% ROE and 40.3% upside to the analyst target, held back by weak cash conversion, leverage and soft momentum.

Thesis pillars

  • Perfect Earnings Beat Streak→Stable
  • Strong Revenue Growth→Stable
  • Large Analyst Target Upside→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Nov 1, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 26, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Astronics Corporation (ATRO) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Earnings in 5 days (2026-11-10). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $57.48 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Astronics Corporation designs and manufactures advanced electronics for aerospace and defense through two segments: Aerospace and Test Systems, with 2025 Aerospace sales split 75% commercial transport, 15% military, and 9% general aviation. Consolidated backlog reached $674.5... Read more

$57.48+44.9% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#9 of 66 Aerospace & Defense
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield0.68%
Stop $54.23Analyst target $83.30(−15% haircut)A.R:R 4.1:1
Analyst consensus$98.00+70.5%4 analysts with price targets
$83.30Analyst target
$57.48price
$98.00mean
$107

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $57.48 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

No fresh coverage since Aug 11, 2026

Recent Developments — Astronics Corporation

Latest item Aug 11, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:34:06Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 10, 20265d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong growth profile
Analyst upside: 45%
Risks
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0
Earnings in 5 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)31.4
P/E (Fwd)18.8
Mkt Cap$2.5B
EV/EBITDA18.9
Profit Mgn8.4%
ROE33.7%
Rev Growth27.0%
Beta1.34
DividendNone
Analysts with ratings12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.69bullish
IV90%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomerBoeing10%
    10-K Item 1A: 'we had a concentration of sales to Boeing representing approximately 10.4%, 10.2%, and 11.0% of our sales, respectively.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesMomentum 4.0<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dA.R:R 4.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
41 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $55.91Resistance $66.04

Price Targets

$54
$83
A.Upside+44.9%
A.R:R4.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 4.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:5d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-10 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ATRO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $57.48 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $54.23. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ATRO stock price target?

Analyst target: $83.30 (+44.9% upside). Prior stop was $54.23. Stop-loss: $54.23.

What are the risks of investing in ATRO?

Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0; Earnings in 5 days (event risk).

Is ATRO overvalued or undervalued?

Astronics Corporation trades at a P/E of 31.4 (forward 18.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ATRO?

12 analysts rate ATRO, with a consensus score of 4.1/5. 4 analysts publish price targets averaging $98.

What does Astronics Corporation do?Astronics Corporation designs and manufactures advanced electronics for aerospace and defense through two segments:...

Astronics Corporation designs and manufactures advanced electronics for aerospace and defense through two segments: Aerospace and Test Systems, with 2025 Aerospace sales split 75% commercial transport, 15% military, and 9% general aviation. Consolidated backlog reached $674.5 million at December 31, 2025, with Boeing representing 10.4% of total 2025 sales and approximately 15% coming from U.S. government-related markets.

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