Skip to main content

Astronics Corporation (ATRO) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Sell if holding. At $69.37, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.7): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 8.2%.

Astronics Corporation provides advanced technologies for aerospace, defense, and electronics markets through two segments: Aerospace (electrical power, lighting, safety, avionics) and Test Systems (automated test systems). Revenue is primarily from fixed-price contracts with... Read more

$69.37+8.2% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#13 of 46 Aerospace & Defense
Stop $64.72Target $75.32(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.8:1
Analyst target$86.58+24.8%5 analysts
$75.32our TP
$69.37price
$86.58mean
$55
$107

Sell if holding. At $69.37, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.7): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 8.2%. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.5/10, high confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Thin upside margin: 8.2%
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.7): -1.5
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)82.7
P/E (Fwd)21.3
Mkt Cap$2.4B
EV/EBITDA23.8
Profit Mgn3.4%
ROE14.8%
Rev Growth15.1%
Beta1.12
DividendNone
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV92%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomerBoeing10%
    10-K Item 1A: 'In 2025, 2024, and 2023 we had a concentration of sales to Boeing representing approximately 10.4%, 10.2%, and 11.0% of our sales, respectively.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
3.6
Quality Rank
5.2
Growth Rank
5.3
GatesMomentum 2.1<4.5A.R:R 0.8 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 12d<=14d (soft)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
44 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $66.15Resistance $79.31

Price Targets

$65
$75
A.Upside+8.6%
A.R:R0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 2.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.8:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-12 (12d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ATRO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $69.37, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.7): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 8.2%. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $64.72. Score 5.5/10, high confidence.

What is the ATRO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $75.32 (+8.2% upside). Prior stop was $64.72. Stop-loss: $64.72.

What are the risks of investing in ATRO?

Thin upside margin: 8.2%; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.7): -1.5; Negative momentum.

Is ATRO overvalued or undervalued?

Astronics Corporation trades at a P/E of 82.7 (forward 21.3). TrendMatrix value score: 5.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ATRO?

11 analysts cover ATRO with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $87.

What does Astronics Corporation do?Astronics Corporation provides advanced technologies for aerospace, defense, and electronics markets through two...

Astronics Corporation provides advanced technologies for aerospace, defense, and electronics markets through two segments: Aerospace (electrical power, lighting, safety, avionics) and Test Systems (automated test systems). Revenue is primarily from fixed-price contracts with commercial and military aircraft OEMs, airlines, and U.S. government contractors.

Related stocks: MOG-B (Moog Inc.) · MOG-A (Moog Inc.) · BETA (Beta Technologies, Inc.) · TXT (Textron Inc.) · VSEC (VSE Corporation)