Skip to main content
ATROAstronics CorporationHold5.9·$91.80-0.87%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Astronics offers a consistent earnings execution record and solid growth within aerospace and defense, but thin upside of roughly 5% to the analyst target produces a risk/reward of approximately 1.2-to-1 — technically favorable but below the minimum 1.5-to-1 threshold — while negative free cash flow and elevated leverage constrain the fundamental quality case.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat Discipline AerospaceStable
  • Negative Free Cash Flow Quality RiskImproving
  • Thin Upside Below Asymmetry BarImproving
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Astronics Corporation (ATRO) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $91.80, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.1% away).

Astronics Corporation designs and manufactures advanced electronics for aerospace and defense through two segments: Aerospace and Test Systems, with 2025 Aerospace sales split 75% commercial transport, 15% military, and 9% general aviation. Consolidated backlog reached $674.5... Read more

$91.80-22.7% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#22 of 62 Aerospace & Defense
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield0.36%
Stop $86.91Target $107.47(default +15%)A.R:R -1.5:1
Analyst target$83.05-9.5%5 analysts
$107.47our TP
$91.80price
$83.05mean
$46
$107

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $91.80, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.1% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 81d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-16
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 202681d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.60)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (1.1% away)
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)51.3
P/E (Fwd)31.4
Mkt Cap$4.6B
EV/EBITDA29.3
Profit Mgn8.4%
ROE33.7%
Rev Growth27.0%
Beta1.20
DividendNone
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.61bullish
IV90%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomerBoeing10%
    10-K Item 1A: 'we had a concentration of sales to Boeing representing approximately 10.4%, 10.2%, and 11.0% of our sales, respectively.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.3
52w Position
9.8
GatesA.R:R -1.5=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 81d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
78 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $64.55Resistance $94.46

Price Targets

$87
$107
A.Upside-22.7%
A.R:R-1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-22.7% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (81d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ATRO stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $91.80, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.1% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $107.47 (+17.1%), stop $86.91 (−5.6%), A.R:R -1.5:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ATRO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $107.47 (-22.7% upside). Target $107.47 (+17.1%), stop $86.91 (−5.6%), A.R:R -1.5:1. Stop-loss: $86.91.

What are the risks of investing in ATRO?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.1% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0.

Is ATRO overvalued or undervalued?

Astronics Corporation trades at a P/E of 51.3 (forward 31.4). TrendMatrix value score: 4.6/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ATRO?

11 analysts cover ATRO with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $83.

What does Astronics Corporation do?Astronics Corporation designs and manufactures advanced electronics for aerospace and defense through two segments:...

Astronics Corporation designs and manufactures advanced electronics for aerospace and defense through two segments: Aerospace and Test Systems, with 2025 Aerospace sales split 75% commercial transport, 15% military, and 9% general aviation. Consolidated backlog reached $674.5 million at December 31, 2025, with Boeing representing 10.4% of total 2025 sales and approximately 15% coming from U.S. government-related markets.

Related stocks: SWBI (Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc.) · MOG-B (Moog Inc.) · AVEX (AEVEX Corp.) · ELMT (The Elmet Group Co.) · CDRE (Cadre Holdings, Inc.)
Home Stocks ATRO

Latest news

Latest News

Yahoo Finance88d ago
Newser89d ago
Quiver Quantitative89d ago
Qz.com124d ago
TradingView96d ago
Yahoo Finance Singapore5d ago
MarketBeat5d ago
StockStory5d agoEarnings
Quiver Quantitative5d ago
Marketscreener.com5d agoEarnings
Kalkine Media5d ago
TradingView12d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance101d ago
StockStory102d ago
MarketBeat10d ago
Newser84d ago
Yahoo Finance126d ago
Yahoo Finance85d ago
Yahoo Finance85d ago
Simplywall.st85d ago
Loading more...