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Tetra Tech, Inc. (TTEK) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Engineering & Construction

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $27.14 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Weak overall score: 4.9/10.

Tetra Tech is a global consulting and engineering firm focused on water, environment, and sustainable infrastructure, operating through Government Services Group (GSG) and Commercial/International Services Group (CIG) segments. Revenue comes from U.S. federal (31.6%),... Read more

$27.14+29.5% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#26 of 30 Engineering & Construction
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield7.72%
IncomeYield1.06%(5y avg 0.61%)Payout15.57%sustainable
Stop $25.51Target $35.52(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.1:1
Analyst target$40.83+50.5%6 analysts
$35.52our TP
$27.14price
$40.83mean
$48

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $27.14 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Weak overall score: 4.9/10. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 17, MACD bearish. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 70d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Val8.2Qual5.6Grw1.3Mom1.4Sent6.5Ins5.0Peer3.8Tech6.2Risk4.94.9OVERALL

Recent Developments — Tetra Tech, Inc.

Latest news

Generated 2026-05-20T22:01:22Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Analyst upside: 30%
Risks
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Weak overall score: 4.9/10
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.3
P/E (Fwd)15.9
Mkt Cap$7.1B
EV/EBITDA12.0
Profit Mgn10.0%
ROE25.6%
Rev Growth-4.9%
Beta1.00
Dividend1.06%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C2.00bearish
IV53%elevated
Max Pain$55+102.7% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomerDoD12%
    10-K Item 1: 'The Department of Defense ("DoD") accounted for 11.6%, 8.5% and 8.9% of our revenue in fiscal 2025, 2024 and 2023, respectively.'
  • LOWCustomerUSAID11%
    10-K Item 1: 'The United States Agency for International Development ("USAID") accounted for 10.6%, 13.0% and 12.2% of our revenue in fiscal 2025, 2024 and 2023, respectively.'
  • MEDIUMGeographicInternational37%
    10-K Item 1A: 'In fiscal 2025, we generated 37.4% of our revenue from our international operations, primarily in Australia, Canada, Europe, the United Kingdom'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-26Item 5.02LOW
    Eric W. Thornburg appointed to Board of Directors effective March 30, 2026, to serve on Compensation and Nominating/Corporate Governance Committees. Board expanded to eight members.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-02-20Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Roger R. Argus appointed to Board and confirmed as CEO effective February 2026, succeeding prior CEO per previously announced promotion. Argus is a 30-year company veteran who served as President since October 2025.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -4.9% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
1.3
Declining revenue: -5%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Volume
2.0
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 17, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.7%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.7
Quality Rank
7.2
Value Rank
7.5
Attractive P/E vs peers
GatesMomentum 1.4<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 3.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 70d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Moderate
RSI
17 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $25.81Resistance $34.20

Price Targets

$26
$36
A.Upside+30.9%
A.R:R3.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 1.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (70d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TTEK stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $27.14 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Weak overall score: 4.9/10. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 17, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $25.51. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TTEK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $35.52 (+29.5% upside). Prior stop was $25.51. Stop-loss: $25.51.

What are the risks of investing in TTEK?

Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Weak overall score: 4.9/10; Weak growth.

Is TTEK overvalued or undervalued?

Tetra Tech, Inc. trades at a P/E of 16.3 (forward 15.9). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TTEK?

15 analysts cover TTEK with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $41.

What does Tetra Tech, Inc. do?Tetra Tech is a global consulting and engineering firm focused on water, environment, and sustainable infrastructure,...

Tetra Tech is a global consulting and engineering firm focused on water, environment, and sustainable infrastructure, operating through Government Services Group (GSG) and Commercial/International Services Group (CIG) segments. Revenue comes from U.S. federal (31.6%), international (37.4%), state/local (14.5%), and commercial (16.5%) clients across 100+ countries on 100,000+ annual projects.

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