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Comfort Systems USA, Inc. (FIX) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Engineering & Construction

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $1816.76 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.8% away).

Comfort Systems USA provides mechanical (HVAC, plumbing, piping, controls) and electrical contracting services through 50 operating units in 190 US locations across 142 cities. In 2025, 73.3% of revenue was mechanical and 26.7% electrical, with ~63% from new construction and... Read more

$1816.76-1.2% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#12 of 30 Engineering & Construction
Stop $1687.95Target $1793.07(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$1991.20+9.6%5 analysts
$1793.07our TP
$1816.76price
$1991.20mean
$2050

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $1816.76 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.8% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 70, MACD bullish. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.50, earnings proximity 84d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (0.8% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)49.7
P/E (Fwd)33.9
Mkt Cap$60.7B
EV/EBITDA36.3
Profit Mgn12.1%
ROE53.3%
Rev Growth1.0%
Beta1.60
Dividend0.15%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.91neutral
IV62%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerone customer13%
    10-K Item 1A: 'in 2025, one customer represented approximately 12.8% of our consolidated revenue'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.3
Value Rank
1.4
Quality Rank
9.2
Superior ROE vs peersBest-in-class margins
GatesA.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.50EARNINGS PROXIMITY 84d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
70 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $1368.00Resistance $1829.66

Price Targets

$1688
$1793
A.Upside-1.3%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.6% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (84d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FIX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $1816.76 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.8% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 70, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $1687.95. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FIX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $1793.07 (-1.2% upside). Prior stop was $1687.95. Stop-loss: $1687.95.

What are the risks of investing in FIX?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.8% away).

Is FIX overvalued or undervalued?

Comfort Systems USA, Inc. trades at a P/E of 49.7 (forward 33.9). TrendMatrix value score: 4.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about FIX?

13 analysts cover FIX with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $1991.

What does Comfort Systems USA, Inc. do?Comfort Systems USA provides mechanical (HVAC, plumbing, piping, controls) and electrical contracting services through...

Comfort Systems USA provides mechanical (HVAC, plumbing, piping, controls) and electrical contracting services through 50 operating units in 190 US locations across 142 cities. In 2025, 73.3% of revenue was mechanical and 26.7% electrical, with ~63% from new construction and ~37% from renovation/maintenance. Backlog was $11.94B as of December 31, 2025.

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