Tractor Supply Company (TSCO) Stock Analysis
Falling Knife setup
Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $34.72 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.5): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2).
The Company is focused on supplying the needs of recreational farmers, ranchers, and all those who enjoy living the rural lifestyle (which we refer to as the "Out Here" lifestyle). We operate retail stores under the names Tractor Supply Company and Petsense by Tractor Supply.... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $34.72 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.5): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 7, MACD bearish. Score 4.6/10, high confidence.
Passes 5/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 84d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-02-11Item 5.02MEDIUMDeparture of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $34.72 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.5): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 7, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $33.34. Score 4.6/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $42.77 (+23.3% upside). Prior stop was $33.34. Stop-loss: $33.34.
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.5): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2); Negative news sentiment (-0.89).
Tractor Supply Company trades at a P/E of 17.1 (forward 15.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Sell.
37 analysts cover TSCO with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $48.
What does Tractor Supply Company do?The Company is focused on supplying the needs of recreational farmers, ranchers, and all those who enjoy living the...
The Company is focused on supplying the needs of recreational farmers, ranchers, and all those who enjoy living the rural lifestyle (which we refer to as the "Out Here" lifestyle). We operate retail stores under the names Tractor Supply Company and Petsense by Tractor Supply. Our stores are located primarily in towns outlying major metropolitan markets and in rural communities. We also offer an expanded assortment of products through the Tractor Supply mobile application and online at Tract