Tronox Holdings plc (TROX) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the TROX stock price target?

Take-profit $10.32 (+29.5% upside). Prior stop was $7.41.

Q: What are the risks of investing in TROX?

Target reached (-14.0% upside); Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0); Target reached (-14.0% upside); Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0).

Q: Is TROX overvalued or undervalued?

Tronox Holdings plc trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -48.7). TrendMatrix value score: 3.8/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about TROX?

15 analysts cover TROX with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $8.

SellHigh ConfidenceUpdated 46 min ago (May 20, 2026, 5:12 PM ET)

Basic Materials · Chemicals

$7.97+29.5% A.UpsideScore 3.6/10#10 of 10 Chemicals

QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-15.29%

IncomeYield2.60%(5y avg 4.32%)Payout15.58%sustainable

Stop $7.41Target $10.32(resistance)A.R:R -0.9:1

Analyst target$7.88-1.2%8 analysts

$10.32our TP

$7.97price

$7.88mean

$11

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $7.97: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.6/10. Specifically: High short interest: 16%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 3.6/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 70d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Tronox Holdings plc

Latest news

Goldman Sachs Downgrades Tronox Holdings to Sell, Announces $9 Price Target — benzinga May 12, 2026 negative
Truist Securities Maintains Sell on Tronox Holdings, Lowers Price Target to $7 — benzinga May 8, 2026 negative
Tronox Holdings Q1 Adj. EPS $(0.55) Misses $(0.45) Estimate, Sales $760.000M Beat $753.440M Estimate — benzinga May 6, 2026 negative
Earnings Scheduled For May 6, 2026 — benzinga May 6, 2026 neutral
UBS Maintains Neutral on Tronox Holdings, Raises Price Target to $9 — benzinga Apr 9, 2026 neutral

Generated 2026-05-20T21:56:22Z.

Thesis

Rewards

No bull case signals

Risks

Target reached (-14.0% upside)

Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—

P/E (Fwd)-48.7

Mkt Cap$1.2B

EV/EBITDA20.1

Profit Mgn-15.8%

ROE-30.8%

Rev Growth3.0%

Beta0.81

Dividend2.60%

Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.42bullish

IV79%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

5 floor-breakers

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value3.815%0.57

Quality1.815%0.27

Growth3.215%0.48

Momentum3.010%0.30

Sentiment4.710%0.47

Insider Activity3.310%0.33

Peer Rank4.810%0.48

Technical Setup6.75%0.34

Risk Profile3.75%0.19

Catalyst3.05%0.15

Overall (Σ contributions)3.57

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe

0.0

Roa

0.0

Gross Margin

0.0

Operating Margin

0.0

Net Margin

0.0

Fcf Quality

0.0

Moat

3.1

Piotroski F

4.4

Current Ratio

8.3

Cash-burning: FCF -6% of revenueNo competitive moatQuality concerns

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd

0.0

Obv

1.0

Volume

1.9

Ma Position

4.0

Rsi

8.1

Uptrend pullback (RSI 34) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History

0.0

Surprise Avg

0.0

Erm

5.0

Earnings Timing

5.0

Dividend Safety

5.2

Earnings concerns: 0B/4MDividend: 260.0%

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth

3.2

Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda

0.0

Analyst Target

3.0

10.0

GatesMomentum 3.0<4.5A.R:R -0.9=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 70d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive

RSI

34 · Neutral

↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $7.46Resistance $10.53

Price Targets

$10

A.Upside+29.5%

A.R:R-0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-14.0% upside)

! Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0)

! Momentum score 3.0/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

0/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-07-29 (70d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is TROX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $7.97: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.6/10. Specifically: High short interest: 16%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $7.41. Score 3.6/10, high confidence.

What is the TROX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $10.32 (+29.5% upside). Prior stop was $7.41. Stop-loss: $7.41.

What are the risks of investing in TROX?

Target reached (-14.0% upside); Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0).

Is TROX overvalued or undervalued?

Tronox Holdings plc trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -48.7). TrendMatrix value score: 3.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TROX?

15 analysts cover TROX with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $8.

What does Tronox Holdings plc do?Tronox Holdings plc operates as a vertically integrated manufacturer of TiO2 pigment in North America, South and...

Tronox Holdings plc operates as a vertically integrated manufacturer of TiO2 pigment in North America, South and Central America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. The company operates titanium-bearing mineral sand mines; and engages in beneficiation and smelting operations. It offers TiO2 pigment; ultrafine specialty TiO2; zircon; high purity pig iron; monazite; feedstock; and titanium tetrachloride products. The company's products are used for the manufacture of paints, coatings, plastics, and paper, as well as various other applications. Tronox Holdings plc was incorporated in 2018 and is based in Stamford, Connecticut.