Tronox Holdings plc (TROX) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the TROX stock price target?

Take-profit $10.38 (+6.9% upside). Prior stop was $9.03.

Q: What are the risks of investing in TROX?

Target reached (-29.4% upside); Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0); Target reached (-29.4% upside); Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0).

Q: Is TROX overvalued or undervalued?

Tronox Holdings plc trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -53.7). TrendMatrix value score: 4.1/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about TROX?

15 analysts cover TROX with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $8.

Range Bound setup

SellHigh ConfidenceUpdated 2026-04-30

Basic Materials · Chemicals

Earnings in 6 days (2026-05-06). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.72: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 16%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

$9.72+6.9% A.UpsideScore 3.9/10#9 of 10 Chemicals

Stop $9.03Target $10.38(resistance)A.R:R -2.3:1

Analyst target$7.88-19.0%8 analysts

$10.38our TP

$9.72price

$7.88mean

$11

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards

No bull case signals

Risks

Target reached (-29.4% upside)

Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—

P/E (Fwd)-53.7

Mkt Cap$1.5B

EV/EBITDA17.2

Profit Mgn-16.2%

ROE-29.2%

Rev Growth8.0%

Beta0.91

Dividend2.07%

Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.28bullish

IV105%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value4.115%0.61

Quality2.015%0.30

Growth4.515%0.67

Momentum3.710%0.37

Sentiment4.210%0.42

Insider Activity3.810%0.38

Peer Rank4.810%0.48

Technical Setup5.25%0.26

Risk Profile3.95%0.20

Catalyst4.05%0.20

Overall (Σ contributions)3.90

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe

0.0

Roa

0.0

Gross Margin

0.0

Operating Margin

0.0

Net Margin

0.0

Fcf Quality

0.0

Piotroski F

4.4

Moat

5.0

Current Ratio

8.4

Cash-burning: FCF -8% of revenueNo competitive moatQuality concerns

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume

0.0

Obv

1.0

Macd

3.1

Rsi

5.5

Ma Position

9.0

Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

GatesMomentum 3.7<4.5A.R:R -2.3=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive

RSI

59 · Neutral

↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $8.45Resistance $10.59

Price Targets

$10

A.Upside+6.8%

A.R:R-2.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-29.4% upside)

! Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0)

! Momentum score 3.7/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

0/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-06 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is TROX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.72: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 16%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 59 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $9.03. Score 3.9/10, high confidence.

What is the TROX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $10.38 (+6.9% upside). Prior stop was $9.03. Stop-loss: $9.03.

What are the risks of investing in TROX?

Target reached (-29.4% upside); Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0).

Is TROX overvalued or undervalued?

Tronox Holdings plc trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -53.7). TrendMatrix value score: 4.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TROX?

15 analysts cover TROX with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $8.

What does Tronox Holdings plc do?Tronox Holdings plc operates as a vertically integrated manufacturer of TiO2 pigment in North America, South and...

Tronox Holdings plc operates as a vertically integrated manufacturer of TiO2 pigment in North America, South and Central America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. The company operates titanium-bearing mineral sand mines; and engages in beneficiation and smelting operations. It offers TiO2 pigment; ultrafine specialty TiO2; zircon; high purity pig iron; monazite; feedstock; and titanium tetrachloride products. The company's products are used for the manufacture of paints, coatings, plastics, and paper, as well as various other applications. Tronox Holdings plc was incorporated in 2018 and is based in Stamford, Connecticut.