Skip to main content

Targa Resources, Inc. (TRGP) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 4/5High Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

Earnings in 6 days (2026-05-07). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $257.50 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (-1.4% away).

Targa Resources is a leading midstream infrastructure company gathering, processing, and transporting natural gas and NGLs primarily across the Permian Basin, Eagle Ford, Anadarko, and Williston Basin through Gathering & Processing and Logistics & Transportation segments.... Read more

$257.50-1.3% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#31 of 41 Oil & Gas Midstream
Stop $245.97Target $254.08(resistance)A.R:R -0.7:1
Analyst target$265.10+2.9%21 analysts
$254.08our TP
$257.50price
$265.10mean
$231
$327

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $257.50 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (-1.4% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 69, MACD bullish. Score 5.4/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (-1.4% away)
Leverage penalty (D/E 5.5): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)29.5
P/E (Fwd)21.6
Mkt Cap$53.8B
EV/EBITDA14.7
Profit Mgn11.3%
ROE51.4%
Rev Growth-7.9%
Beta0.81
Dividend1.70%
Rating analysts30

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.47bullish
IV50%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCommodityNGL products
    10-K Item 1A: 'A reduction in demand for NGL products by the petrochemical, refinery or other industries or by the fuel or export markets...could materially adversely affect our business'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.6
52w Position
9.9

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.3
Value Rank
3.2
Quality Rank
6.1
Superior ROE vs peers
GatesA.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dMomentum 6.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
69 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $229.23Resistance $259.27

Price Targets

$246
$254
A.Upside-1.3%
A.R:R-0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-7.4% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:6d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-07 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TRGP stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $257.50 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (-1.4% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 69, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $245.97. Score 5.4/10, high confidence.

What is the TRGP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $254.08 (-1.3% upside). Prior stop was $245.97. Stop-loss: $245.97.

What are the risks of investing in TRGP?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (-1.4% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 5.5): -1.5.

Is TRGP overvalued or undervalued?

Targa Resources, Inc. trades at a P/E of 29.5 (forward 21.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TRGP?

30 analysts cover TRGP with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $265.

What does Targa Resources, Inc. do?Targa Resources is a leading midstream infrastructure company gathering, processing, and transporting natural gas and...

Targa Resources is a leading midstream infrastructure company gathering, processing, and transporting natural gas and NGLs primarily across the Permian Basin, Eagle Ford, Anadarko, and Williston Basin through Gathering & Processing and Logistics & Transportation segments. Revenue predominantly fee-based, with some commodity-exposed percent-of-proceeds contracts.

Related stocks: FRO (Frontline Plc) · CQP (Cheniere Energy Partners, LP) · LNG (Cheniere Energy, Inc.) · DTM (DT Midstream, Inc.) · AM (Antero Midstream Corporation)