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Western Midstream Partners, LP (WES) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

Earnings in 6 days (2026-05-06). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $42.79 — A.R:R is negative (-2.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: Occidental (60.0%).

Western Midstream Partners, LP, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a midstream energy company primarily in the United States. The company is involved in gathering, compressing, treating, processing, and transporting natural gas; gathering, stabilizing, and transporting... Read more

$42.79-1.9% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#13 of 41 Oil & Gas Midstream
Stop $41.41Target $41.96(resistance)A.R:R -2.2:1
Analyst target$41.83-2.2%12 analysts
$41.96our TP
$42.79price
$41.83mean
$38
$48

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $42.79 — A.R:R is negative (-2.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: Occidental (60.0%). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: Occidental (60.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.4% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.2
P/E (Fwd)11.4
Mkt Cap$17.2B
EV/EBITDA10.9
Profit Mgn30.0%
ROE32.2%
Rev Growth11.1%
Beta0.70
Dividend8.81%
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.69bearish
IV62%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerOccidental60%
    10-K Item 1A: 'We rely on Occidental for over 50% of revenues... 60% of Total revenues and other... were attributable to production owned or controlled by Occidental.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.2
52w Position
9.1
GatesA.R:R -2.2=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dMomentum 6.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
71 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $39.90Resistance $42.82

Price Targets

$41
$42
A.Upside-1.9%
A.R:R-2.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-14.9% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:6d<=7d

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-06 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WES stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $42.79 — A.R:R is negative (-2.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: Occidental (60.0%). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $41.41. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WES stock price target?

Take-profit target: $41.96 (-1.9% upside). Prior stop was $41.41. Stop-loss: $41.41.

What are the risks of investing in WES?

Concentration risk — Customer: Occidental (60.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.4% away).

Is WES overvalued or undervalued?

Western Midstream Partners, LP trades at a P/E of 14.2 (forward 11.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about WES?

18 analysts cover WES with a consensus score of 3.3/5. Average price target: $42.

What does Western Midstream Partners, LP do?Western Midstream Partners, LP, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a midstream energy company primarily in the...

Western Midstream Partners, LP, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a midstream energy company primarily in the United States. The company is involved in gathering, compressing, treating, processing, and transporting natural gas; gathering, stabilizing, and transporting condensate, natural gas liquids (NGLs), and crude oil; and gathering and disposing of produced water. It also buys and sells residue, NGLs, and condensates. The company operates assets located in Texas, New Mexico, and the Rocky Mountains. It also provides water handling solutions. The company was formerly known as Western Gas Equity Partners, LP and changed its name to Western Midstream Partners, LP in February 2019. Western Midstream Partners, LP was incorporated in 2007 and is based in The Woodlands, Texas.

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